Hoosiers +775 B1G conf tourney

[Frisco]

Anyone else think this is a good play w/ them playing well and it being held in Indy?

I think i'm going to parlay the following:

Duke or the field: field (-475), Mich State or field: field (-385), Mizzou or field: field (-245).

Don't think any of these teams will win

[SASH]

+775...... whaddya have to lose?

[SASH]

betting on the winner of the conference tournament is a total and complete crap shoot as i see it, but at 775 I'd say you got a good deal. Best of luck

[Frisco]

betting on the winner of the conference tournament is a total and complete crap shoot as i see it, but at 775 I'd say you got a good deal. Best of luck

thx lol that was my line of thinking. If it hits great, if it doesn't it's not like i'm going to be living in a cardboard box

[SASH]

^^lol

[JD426]

I liked it when it opened at +575. Really like it now that it's up to 775. I think they handle Wisconsin pretty easily and Michigan state never does well in the conference tourney.

[rjp322]

I love this bet. IU will definitely come to play and they have already shown they can hang with anyone...on their home floor but this is going to seem like home cuz its such a short drive

[Frisco]

I liked it when it opened at +575. Really like it now that it's up to 775. I think they handle Wisconsin pretty easily and Michigan state never does well in the conference tourney.

Yea MSU is going to be dead in the water w/ that Frosh getting injured. Only other team i can see winning this is Ohio State so +775 in a 2 horse race at home seems like a decent bet.

[TPowell]

lmao Michigan is the team to beat, outside of OSU

[Frisco]

lmao Michigan is the team to beat, outside of OSU

That was a good joke!! Lol i needed a laugh

[CoachemUp]

I liked it when it opened at +575. Really like it now that it's up to 775. I think they handle Wisconsin pretty easily and Michigan state never does well in the conference tourney.

I totally disagree they handle Wisconsin easily. Up at the Kohl Center they were I think 9 point dogs and lost by 7. Wisconsin will be favored by 3-5 points in a rematch. Can Indiana win? Sure... but they won't be playing a game in the low 70's which is what they want. They'll have the home crowd in Indy, but the shooting background won't be like the friendly Assembly Hall.

All this said there is definitely some value at +775. But like most 7.75 to 1 shots don't expect to cash it!

[rjp322]

No one expects IU to win this tourney, no one expected to have a good season this year, no one expected them to crack the top 10. They have done alot this year that no one expected. At +775 it has great value but like others said its not something you can expect to cash

[JD426]

You're right, maybe they won't beat Wisconsin easily, but I think they will be favored and I think they've been playing much better than Wisconsin lately. Wisconsin is +800 to win the tourney, while Indiana has gone down to +650. The one thing that Wisconsin will have going for them is that they will be fresh while Indiana will be playing their second game in 2 days. Hopefully they can blow out Penn St. so they can rest the starters. 4 games in 4 days is pretty rough.

[LT Profits]

I totally disagree they handle Wisconsin easily. Up at the Kohl Center they were I think 9 point dogs and lost by 7. Wisconsin will be favored by 3-5 points in a rematch. Can Indiana win? Sure... but they won't be playing a game in the low 70's which is what they want. They'll have the home crowd in Indy, but the shooting background won't be like the friendly Assembly Hall.

All this said there is definitely some value at +775. But like most 7.75 to 1 shots don't expect to cash it!

Indiana will be favored if they meet in this tourney, they are +605 to win this at Pinny, Wiscy is +736

[TPowell]

Indiana will be favored if they meet in this tourney, they are +605 to win this at Pinny, Wiscy is +736

Would wager otherwise, no way in hell Indiana would be favored on a neutral site

[LT Profits]

Would wager otherwise, no way in hell Indiana would be favored on a neutral site

Of course they would, that's why their odds are lower. I am assuming it's because "they" don't consider Indianapolis neutral.

[Mr. Doughnut]

Would wager otherwise, no way in hell Indiana would be favored on a neutral site

That game in Madison was down to the wire, a 50/50 game in the final minutes. Terrible officiating took IU out of that one. They will be favored on a neutral site. Better talent and playing better as of late.

There's a reason Bo wins at a clip of like 95% in Madison, zebras allow them to hack everyone who touches the ball. That won't fly in Indy this week.

[JD426]

Neutral... Indiana will have 10x more fans there than Wisconsin.

[LT Profits]

Wisconsin would be favored at a true neutral site, they are ranked higher on both Pomeroy and Sagarin. Based on the odds to win Big Ten Tournament though, books are not treating Indy as neutral.

[CoachemUp]

I didn't realize (although I should have) there'd be a bunch of IU homers in this thread. +775 has value... but I still expect Wisco to not only be FAVORED, but to win on Friday.

Hey Donut, if you can take off the Crimson and Cream glasses for a second go back and look at the box score from the game. Indiana shot 9 less free throws in the game, but that number is skewed because 4 of wisconsin's ft's came inside 20 seconds when IU was fouling intentionally. So Wisco attempted 5 more free throws, a far cry from anything as bad as you make it sound. Also Wisconsin is a team whose style is going to shoot more free throws then Indiana. None of what I said can be argued.

I don't have a problem with Indiana being good again, but I do have a problem with Indiana fans who think they are a legitimate top 15 team outside of Bloomington. Maybe next year... but they're still a year away (on the road at least).

[LT Profits]

I didn't realize (although I should have) there'd be a bunch of IU homers in this thread. +775 has value... but I still expect Wisco to not only be FAVORED, but to win on Friday.

Hey Donut, if you can take off the Crimson and Cream glasses for a second go back and look at the box score from the game. Indiana shot 9 less free throws in the game, but that number is skewed because 4 of wisconsin's ft's came inside 20 seconds when IU was fouling intentionally. So Wisco attempted 5 more free throws, a far cry from anything as bad as you make it sound. Also Wisconsin is a team whose style is going to shoot more free throws then Indiana. None of what I said can be argued.

I don't have a problem with Indiana being good again, but I do have a problem with Indiana fans who think they are a legitimate top 15 team outside of Bloomington. Maybe next year... but they're still a year away (on the road at least).

Dude, Wiscy CAN'T be favored otherwise it would not make sense that Indiana's odds to win this tourney are lower than the Badgers'. This isn't rocket science. Nothing major mind you, the tournament odds extrapolate to about Indiana -118 on ML, so line will be -1 or -1.5. Also don't forget Indiana isn't really "on the road".

[LT Profits]

the tournament odds extrapolate to about Indiana -118 on ML, so line will be -1 or -1.5.

Actually scratch this, Indiana will be a slightly bigger favorite, I forgot they have an extra game today. So now I get roughly -128, so line should open around Indiana -2.5.

[CoachemUp]

If Penn St beat them today I'd laugh my ass off

[LT Profits]

If Penn St beat them today I'd laugh my ass off

Right but that is beside the point. I am purely talking about what the line will be if the game comes off tomorrow.

[LT Profits]

I guess I was right the first time, it is Indiana -1.5

[JD426]

You must be mistaken LT, coachemup says there's no way that's possible