Lost by 8 @ home already this year? Why take UNC W?
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#3
Originally posted by BigDeem5
Lost by 8 @ home already this year? Why take UNC W?
Because JMU is easy money for the afternoon degens.
Comment
BigDeem5
SBR Posting Legend
02-26-11
17191
#4
Can't fade the public everytime
Comment
lite1up
SBR MVP
10-27-11
2459
#5
Not sure why the public is hammering JMU here. James Madison has been a great fade this season.
Makes me like this play even more.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#6
Originally posted by BigDeem5
Can't fade the public everytime
I don't -- but I definitely am here.
Why in the hell would UNC-W only be +2 here? They were +3 at home and lost by 8, now they're on a neutral court and they're +2?
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#7
Originally posted by lite1up
Not sure why the public is hammering JMU here. James Madison has been a great fade this season.
Makes me like this play even more.
Both teams are awful.
Tiebreaker goes to the weird line.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#8
JMU hasn't beaten a team not named Towson in well over a month.
Comment
lite1up
SBR MVP
10-27-11
2459
#9
Originally posted by No coincidences
JMU hasn't beaten a team not named Towson in well over a month.
Then again, UNC-Wilmington hasn't beaten a team not named William & Mary in almost 2 months.
Really don't know what to think anymore. I still think James Madison is worse. 91% on James Madison and the aforementioned reasoning behind this being a strange line make UNCW the only play here.
It seems like following RLM and playing into these strange lines has actually been profitable over the past month or so. Have nothing concrete to back that up, however.
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PickWinnerAllDay
SBR Posting Legend
08-31-11
12722
#10
The one thing that concerns me is that uncw lost by nearly 30 to hofstra? That is a sign of a team who has quit to me.
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tony_come
SBR Posting Legend
03-31-10
21695
#11
dont do it
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drfunkmaster
SBR Posting Legend
11-29-08
11162
#12
James madison wins!!!
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BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#13
under. early game at Richmond Coliseum, which has one of the worst shooting backgrounds in all of college hoops.
Comment
lite1up
SBR MVP
10-27-11
2459
#14
Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
under. early game at Richmond Coliseum, which has one of the worst shooting backgrounds in all of college hoops.
Thanks for the tip....only area of concern here is that both teams play at a decent tempo and neither plays much defense. Really gonna have to be a brickfest to feel safe taking the under.
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Owls
SBR High Roller
01-01-12
240
#15
Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
The one thing that concerns me is that uncw lost by nearly 30 to hofstra? That is a sign of a team who has quit to me.
Isn't it actually a worse sign if a team loses by 30 to Hofstra after trying their best? I'd rather have a team that didn't try their best lose by 30 than a team that tried their best and lost by 30.
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ridims
SBR MVP
11-15-10
3863
#16
UNC-WILMINGTON is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all tournament games since 1997
Thats all i need to know.
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lite1up
SBR MVP
10-27-11
2459
#17
Originally posted by ridims
UNC-WILMINGTON is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all tournament games since 1997
Thats all i need to know.
This is also probably the worst UNC Wilmington team since 1997. So you can probably throw that figure out the window. I think they cover, but this isn't why. JMU is just flat out awful.
Comment
BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#18
Originally posted by lite1up
Thanks for the tip....only area of concern here is that both teams play at a decent tempo and neither plays much defense. Really gonna have to be a brickfest to feel safe taking the under.
UNCW tempo 67.8, JMU 66.4, average tempo = 67.4. you are correct about both teams being subpar on defense, taking an under with two teams with PomOff above 105 does feel risky. however, both teams are struggling to score more than 60 or so lately. also, if you look past CAA quarterfinal scores, particularly the early games, they can be tough on shooters. when the Richmond Coliseum is empty, it's like shooting in a barn. bad lighting, drafty.
Comment
lite1up
SBR MVP
10-27-11
2459
#19
Thanks Biff, you really know your CAA
Not to hijack this thread and I already have a thread about it...but I'd like to hear your thoughts on Delaware -12 vs. Towson and Georgia State -5.5 vs. Hofstra. Everything I'm looking at points to the favorites here easily covering.
Comment
BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#20
Originally posted by lite1up
Thanks Biff, you really know your CAA
Not to hijack this thread and I already have a thread about it...but I'd like to hear your thoughts on Delaware -12 vs. Towson and Georgia State -5.5 vs. Hofstra. Everything I'm looking at points to the favorites here easily covering.
i would agree that the faves are the plays there so far as sides. this is the last chance to fade this Towson team. don't get caught watchin the paint dry.
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Darkside Magick
SBR Posting Legend
05-28-10
12638
#21
i like the under in this game!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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southpaw74
SBR Hall of Famer
12-21-09
7104
#22
CBB(839) UNC-WILMINGTON @ (840) JAMES MADISON | 03/02/2012 - 12:00 PMPlay AGAINSTJAMES MADISON in the first half in All games as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line The record is 7 Wins and 31 Losses for the last three seasons (-27.10 units)
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ridims
SBR MVP
11-15-10
3863
#23
Couple things i keep thinking about before I go pull the trigger here for some action....
Towson's only win this season was against UNCW.
UNCW has less seniors then JM.....
This is a coin flip if any. Both teams are very bad. Small bet if any.
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#24
I'm taking App. State at +6 and UNC-W at +3.
Figure I'll get a split at worst.
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#25
App St is where your free breakfast is today boys
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#26
Other leans:
Youngstown State +5
Akron +3
Evansville +2
William & Mary +5 Drake + whatever (8 or 9 I'm assuming)
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Chet86
SBR Hustler
02-29-12
82
#27
Jmu -3 bang it
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BigDeem5
SBR Posting Legend
02-26-11
17191
#28
App St and UNCW looking great =)
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#29
So far so good.
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blackeyeshamus
SBR Hall of Famer
02-19-11
6632
#30
Originally posted by No coincidences
So far so good.
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BigDeem5
SBR Posting Legend
02-26-11
17191
#31
1-0 on App St. UNCW pending and I took the under
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dudekid
SBR MVP
12-08-09
3200
#32
i got UNCW on the ML +135 but i still feel far from confident about this game...gotta think JMU comes out a little more inspired (and probably less fouls) in the 2h...hope they can hold onto the lead but the fact that app st. is already winning as a big dog makes me feel worse about it
Comment
BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#33
Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
under. early game at Richmond Coliseum, which has one of the worst shooting backgrounds in all of college hoops.
woot!
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CappinTerp
SBR Hall of Famer
11-26-09
9650
#34
Good luck.!
Comment
PickWinnerAllDay
SBR Posting Legend
08-31-11
12722
#35
This smells like a day where the public gets buried so im thinking of playing Illinois state. Public is all over northern Iowa im guessing