Shit surprise early Friday morning

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Shit surprise early Friday morning
    UNC-Wilmington +2 vs. James Madison

  • BigDeem5
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 02-26-11
    • 17191

    #2
    Lost by 8 @ home already this year? Why take UNC W?
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Originally posted by BigDeem5
      Lost by 8 @ home already this year? Why take UNC W?
      Because JMU is easy money for the afternoon degens.
      Comment
      • BigDeem5
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-26-11
        • 17191

        #4
        Can't fade the public everytime
        Comment
        • lite1up
          SBR MVP
          • 10-27-11
          • 2459

          #5
          Not sure why the public is hammering JMU here. James Madison has been a great fade this season.

          Makes me like this play even more.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by BigDeem5
            Can't fade the public everytime
            I don't -- but I definitely am here.

            Why in the hell would UNC-W only be +2 here? They were +3 at home and lost by 8, now they're on a neutral court and they're +2?
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by lite1up
              Not sure why the public is hammering JMU here. James Madison has been a great fade this season.

              Makes me like this play even more.
              Both teams are awful.

              Tiebreaker goes to the weird line.
              Comment
              • No coincidences
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-18-10
                • 76300

                #8
                JMU hasn't beaten a team not named Towson in well over a month.
                Comment
                • lite1up
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-27-11
                  • 2459

                  #9
                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                  JMU hasn't beaten a team not named Towson in well over a month.


                  Then again, UNC-Wilmington hasn't beaten a team not named William & Mary in almost 2 months.

                  Really don't know what to think anymore. I still think James Madison is worse. 91% on James Madison and the aforementioned reasoning behind this being a strange line make UNCW the only play here.

                  It seems like following RLM and playing into these strange lines has actually been profitable over the past month or so. Have nothing concrete to back that up, however.
                  Comment
                  • PickWinnerAllDay
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-31-11
                    • 12722

                    #10
                    The one thing that concerns me is that uncw lost by nearly 30 to hofstra? That is a sign of a team who has quit to me.
                    Comment
                    • tony_come
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 03-31-10
                      • 21695

                      #11
                      dont do it
                      Comment
                      • drfunkmaster
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-29-08
                        • 11162

                        #12
                        James madison wins!!!
                        Comment
                        • BiffTFinancial
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 01-29-09
                          • 22670

                          #13
                          under. early game at Richmond Coliseum, which has one of the worst shooting backgrounds in all of college hoops.
                          Comment
                          • lite1up
                            SBR MVP
                            • 10-27-11
                            • 2459

                            #14
                            Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                            under. early game at Richmond Coliseum, which has one of the worst shooting backgrounds in all of college hoops.
                            Thanks for the tip....only area of concern here is that both teams play at a decent tempo and neither plays much defense. Really gonna have to be a brickfest to feel safe taking the under.
                            Comment
                            • Owls
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 01-01-12
                              • 240

                              #15
                              Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay
                              The one thing that concerns me is that uncw lost by nearly 30 to hofstra? That is a sign of a team who has quit to me.
                              Isn't it actually a worse sign if a team loses by 30 to Hofstra after trying their best? I'd rather have a team that didn't try their best lose by 30 than a team that tried their best and lost by 30.
                              Comment
                              • ridims
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-15-10
                                • 3863

                                #16
                                UNC-WILMINGTON is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all tournament games since 1997

                                Thats all i need to know.
                                Comment
                                • lite1up
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-27-11
                                  • 2459

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by ridims
                                  UNC-WILMINGTON is 31-13 ATS (+16.7 Units) in all tournament games since 1997

                                  Thats all i need to know.
                                  This is also probably the worst UNC Wilmington team since 1997. So you can probably throw that figure out the window. I think they cover, but this isn't why. JMU is just flat out awful.
                                  Comment
                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-29-09
                                    • 22670

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by lite1up
                                    Thanks for the tip....only area of concern here is that both teams play at a decent tempo and neither plays much defense. Really gonna have to be a brickfest to feel safe taking the under.
                                    UNCW tempo 67.8, JMU 66.4, average tempo = 67.4. you are correct about both teams being subpar on defense, taking an under with two teams with PomOff above 105 does feel risky. however, both teams are struggling to score more than 60 or so lately. also, if you look past CAA quarterfinal scores, particularly the early games, they can be tough on shooters. when the Richmond Coliseum is empty, it's like shooting in a barn. bad lighting, drafty.
                                    Comment
                                    • lite1up
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-27-11
                                      • 2459

                                      #19
                                      Thanks Biff, you really know your CAA

                                      Not to hijack this thread and I already have a thread about it...but I'd like to hear your thoughts on Delaware -12 vs. Towson and Georgia State -5.5 vs. Hofstra. Everything I'm looking at points to the favorites here easily covering.
                                      Comment
                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-29-09
                                        • 22670

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by lite1up
                                        Thanks Biff, you really know your CAA

                                        Not to hijack this thread and I already have a thread about it...but I'd like to hear your thoughts on Delaware -12 vs. Towson and Georgia State -5.5 vs. Hofstra. Everything I'm looking at points to the favorites here easily covering.
                                        i would agree that the faves are the plays there so far as sides. this is the last chance to fade this Towson team. don't get caught watchin the paint dry.
                                        Comment
                                        • Darkside Magick
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 05-28-10
                                          • 12638

                                          #21
                                          i like the under in this game!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                          Comment
                                          • southpaw74
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 12-21-09
                                            • 7104

                                            #22
                                            CBB(839) UNC-WILMINGTON @ (840) JAMES MADISON | 03/02/2012 - 12:00 PMPlay AGAINSTJAMES MADISON in the first half in All games as a favorite vs. the 1rst half line
                                            The record is 7 Wins and 31 Losses for the last three seasons (-27.10 units)
                                            Comment
                                            • ridims
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-15-10
                                              • 3863

                                              #23
                                              Couple things i keep thinking about before I go pull the trigger here for some action....

                                              Towson's only win this season was against UNCW.

                                              UNCW has less seniors then JM.....

                                              This is a coin flip if any. Both teams are very bad. Small bet if any.
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #24
                                                I'm taking App. State at +6 and UNC-W at +3.

                                                Figure I'll get a split at worst.
                                                Comment
                                                • Romanov
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-08-10
                                                  • 4137

                                                  #25
                                                  App St is where your free breakfast is today boys
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #26
                                                    Other leans:

                                                    Youngstown State +5
                                                    Akron +3
                                                    Evansville +2
                                                    William & Mary +5

                                                    Drake + whatever (8 or 9 I'm assuming)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Chet86
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 02-29-12
                                                      • 82

                                                      #27
                                                      Jmu -3 bang it
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BigDeem5
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 02-26-11
                                                        • 17191

                                                        #28
                                                        App St and UNCW looking great =)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #29
                                                          So far so good.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • blackeyeshamus
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-19-11
                                                            • 6632

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                            So far so good.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BigDeem5
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-26-11
                                                              • 17191

                                                              #31
                                                              1-0 on App St. UNCW pending and I took the under
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dudekid
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 12-08-09
                                                                • 3200

                                                                #32
                                                                i got UNCW on the ML +135 but i still feel far from confident about this game...gotta think JMU comes out a little more inspired (and probably less fouls) in the 2h...hope they can hold onto the lead but the fact that app st. is already winning as a big dog makes me feel worse about it
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BiffTFinancial
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                                  • 22670

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                                                  under. early game at Richmond Coliseum, which has one of the worst shooting backgrounds in all of college hoops.
                                                                  woot!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • CappinTerp
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 11-26-09
                                                                    • 9650

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Good luck.!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • PickWinnerAllDay
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 08-31-11
                                                                      • 12722

                                                                      #35
                                                                      This smells like a day where the public gets buried so im thinking of playing Illinois state. Public is all over northern Iowa im guessing
                                                                      Comment
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