Roaddog's thursday play

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  • RoadDog
    SBR MVP
    • 05-11-11
    • 2666

    #1
    Roaddog's thursday play
    Southern Illinois +5.

    Let's go through this one logically. Indiana St. and SIU have played twice this year. The first meeting happened at SIU where SIU won outright 73-67. The second meeting was at Indiana St where Indiana St. won 78-68. In that game Indiana St went 12-12 from the three point line. That's right, 12-12. After all that hot shooting, the Sycamores were only up 2 at half in that game, and only wound up winning by 10. Maybe it was because they turned the ball over 18 times . The spread for that game was 8 if I remember correctly.

    Indiana St is night and day when they play home and away. They are awful on the road. The game tonight happens to be in St. Louis, which is a neutral site and a pretty quick drive from SIU. Not trying to say that there will be an all-SIU crowd, but they should get some students, parents, alumni down for the game. That should make the game feel like SIU has the home court advantage. (For whatever that's worth) I feel like Indiana St is a very fragile team when they leave the Hulman Center.

    In the two matchups SIU scored 73 and 68, respectively. It took a 12-12 three point effort and a 56% shooting night AT HOME for the Sycamores to put up 78 points. If SIU can score around the same amount of points they have in the past two games, I see no way Indiana St can cover 5. Also helps that the public is pounding Indiana St and will continue to pound them based off of records. SIU +5 is the play. My opinion anyways.

    Hit this winner.
  • southpaw74
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-21-09
    • 7104

    #2
    Good info...it makes sense! Do you know if one team has more experience in the tourneys? I.e. starting juniors or seniors
    Comment
    • Joe D. 416
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-17-11
      • 675

      #3
      Good work. If only we could get one of these daily.
      Comment
      • RoadDog
        SBR MVP
        • 05-11-11
        • 2666

        #4
        Originally posted by Joe D. 416
        Good work. If only we could get one of these daily.
        Is that sarcarm?
        Comment
        • RoadDog
          SBR MVP
          • 05-11-11
          • 2666

          #5
          Originally posted by southpaw74
          Good info...it makes sense! Do you know if one team has more experience in the tourneys? I.e. starting juniors or seniors
          Both teams are junior and senior heavy. SIU is deeper as it stands right now. Indiana St. has been playing its starting 5 extensively. They're basically rolling with a 6 man rotation. Foul trouble could ruin Indiana St. tonight.
          Comment
          • RoadDog
            SBR MVP
            • 05-11-11
            • 2666

            #6
            We also have some nice RLM on this game. Take that for what you will.
            Comment
            • salvador_7764
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-17-10
              • 743

              #7
              Roaddog thanks for the play while I was in Vegas.thank you
              Comment
              • RoadDog
                SBR MVP
                • 05-11-11
                • 2666

                #8
                Originally posted by salvador_7764
                Roaddog thanks for the play while I was in Vegas.thank you
                You're welcome. BOL.
                Comment
                • salvador_7764
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-17-10
                  • 743

                  #9
                  Goodluck with your play tonight.godbless
                  Comment
                  • RoadDog
                    SBR MVP
                    • 05-11-11
                    • 2666

                    #10
                    Anyone else think tonights card sucks (except this game lol) ?
                    Comment
                    • mynameismud
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 02-13-12
                      • 5462

                      #11
                      Originally posted by RoadDog
                      Anyone else think tonights card sucks (except this game lol) ?
                      im not too happy with tonights card either. although i do think the michigan vs. Ill. and florida st vs. virgina games are intriguing
                      Comment
                      • RoadDog
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-11-11
                        • 2666

                        #12
                        Last time Michigan was a small dog on the road I thought it was a trap (against Northwestern last week). The Big 10 is the absolute worst.
                        Comment
                        • Dom177
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-11-11
                          • 1080

                          #13
                          Nice write up, gonna look at this game a little more after seeing this. I have having a really hard time picking spots for tonight. This could be one of my only plays except maybe Virginia in a teaser.
                          Comment
                          • H8_2_W8
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 02-09-12
                            • 83

                            #14
                            Originally posted by RoadDog
                            Both teams are junior and senior heavy. SIU is deeper as it stands right now. Indiana St. has been playing its starting 5 extensively. They're basically rolling with a 6 man rotation. Foul trouble could ruin Indiana St. tonight.
                            Thanks RoadDog for the pick and taking the time to explain your thoughts.

                            Always appreciated!!
                            Comment
                            • RoadDog
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-11-11
                              • 2666

                              #15
                              Originally posted by H8_2_W8
                              Thanks RoadDog for the pick and taking the time to explain your thoughts.

                              Always appreciated!!
                              Yea, not every one of my picks may win, but I think its valuable to explain why I'm making a pick. Too many threads out there that would just say "Southern Illinois is a lock, take it!!!" A lot of wannabe cappers out there. I wish they would at least explain themselves with ONE sentence regarding the game.
                              Comment
                              • HoulihansTX
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-12-09
                                • 30566

                                #16
                                looks solid roadDog, GL
                                Comment
                                • RoadDog
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 05-11-11
                                  • 2666

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Dom177
                                  Nice write up, gonna look at this game a little more after seeing this. I have having a really hard time picking spots for tonight. This could be one of my only plays except maybe Virginia in a teaser.
                                  If I didnt spot the Southern Illinois game, I might have taken the night off. Was having trouble picking spots tonight as well. Very weak card. Also, love your avatar. Funniest show on tv.
                                  Comment
                                  • Joe D. 416
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-17-11
                                    • 675

                                    #18
                                    No sarcasm intended, I just think it's a convincing wrtie up.
                                    Comment
                                    • salvador_7764
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-17-10
                                      • 743

                                      #19
                                      Line is up to 6
                                      Comment
                                      • Jayvegas420
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 03-09-11
                                        • 28229

                                        #20
                                        I think I've found the 2nd end of my 2 game parlay tonight.
                                        Comment
                                        • RoadDog
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-11-11
                                          • 2666

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by salvador_7764
                                          Line is up to 6
                                          I dont see the line posted as 6 anywhere? Care to elaborate?
                                          Comment
                                          • No coincidences
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-18-10
                                            • 76300

                                            #22
                                            Like it as well.
                                            Comment
                                            • drfunkmaster
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-29-08
                                              • 11162

                                              #23
                                              good luck on your game
                                              Comment
                                              • Jayvegas420
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 03-09-11
                                                • 28229

                                                #24
                                                +5 flat at Bet365
                                                Comment
                                                • RoadDog
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-11-11
                                                  • 2666

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Jayvegas420
                                                  +5 flat at bet365
                                                  That's what I'm seeing everywhere.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • salvador_7764
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-17-10
                                                    • 743

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by RoadDog
                                                    I dont see the line posted as 6 anywhere? Care to elaborate?
                                                    sir I just called my bookie and he gave me 6.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • chinoloco212
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 03-24-11
                                                      • 1095

                                                      #27
                                                      you might have convinced me to play this game
                                                      Comment
                                                      • RoadDog
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 05-11-11
                                                        • 2666

                                                        #28
                                                        Line just dropped to 4. Thats all you need to know.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Jayvegas420
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 03-09-11
                                                          • 28229

                                                          #29
                                                          Sal better make a 2nd call & double up on his bet,
                                                          And gimme his bookie's #
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Jayvegas420
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 03-09-11
                                                            • 28229

                                                            #30
                                                            damn.
                                                            sitting typing away like a donk & I missed the +5
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RoadDog
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-11-11
                                                              • 2666

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by salvador_7764
                                                              sir I just called my bookie and he gave me 6.
                                                              Line dropped to 4. I dont want to tell you how to bet, but 6 is looking reaaaaally nice.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • chinoloco212
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 03-24-11
                                                                • 1095

                                                                #32
                                                                i pounded this along with the kings tonight!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RoadDog
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-11-11
                                                                  • 2666

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by chinoloco212
                                                                  i pounded this along with the kings tonight!
                                                                  What number did you get?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • chinoloco212
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-24-11
                                                                    • 1095

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by RoadDog
                                                                    What number did you get?

                                                                    i got +4 for both but i feel they win the game, i threw down on ML +165 too


                                                                    BOL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • smilarsmith
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 02-11-12
                                                                      • 37

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Are u the same everyedge member?
                                                                      Comment
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