Tuesday's leans

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    Tuesday's leans
    Northwestern -1.5 vs. Michigan
    UMass -1 vs. Xavier
    UNC-Greensboro +1.5 vs. Wofford
    Seton Hall +1.5 vs. Georgetown
    Mississippi State +9 vs. Kentucky
    Colorado State +6 vs. New Mexico

    To be honest, I like the first two so much it's scary. Northwestern desperately needs this win to bolster their NCAA Tournament hopes. I'm going to sleep on it, but I might be making a play in the 10-20U range on the Wildcats.
  • tdforte22
    SBR High Roller
    • 02-07-12
    • 233

    #2
    Seton hall

    REALLY?
    Comment
    • tdforte22
      SBR High Roller
      • 02-07-12
      • 233

      #3
      Just FYI--

      Northwestern is 0-3 straight up as a home favorite of 3 or less and 1-5 in their last 6 vs teams who allow 65 or less points. The Wildcats are just 2-6 vs teams ranked in the top RPI this season.

      (credit cappers blog)
      Comment
      • No coincidences
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 01-18-10
        • 76300

        #4
        Adding:

        Wisconsin-GB +1.5 vs. Cleveland State
        Miami (Ohio) +3 vs. Kent State
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Originally posted by tdforte22
          Seton hall

          REALLY?
          Like Northwestern, this is basically their season.
          Comment
          • RyDawgg10
            SBR Rookie
            • 02-07-12
            • 29

            #6
            Will be tailing on most of these...thanks
            Comment
            • PickWinnerAllDay
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-31-11
              • 12722

              #7
              Definitely called you slobbing all over Northwestern!
              Comment
              • HoulihansTX
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 02-12-09
                • 30566

                #8
                I got Evansville +12.
                Comment
                • HOT WINGS
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-29-10
                  • 8055

                  #9
                  Like Northwestern as well. Michigan coming off there biggest win of this season against Ohio State. Then go on the road against a team they have struggled with recently. Also I am sure Northwestern remembers choking away the game in Ann Arbor when they led for the entire game and lost in OT. Shurna will have a big game.
                  Comment
                  • BiffTFinancial
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 01-29-09
                    • 22670

                    #10
                    Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                    Like Northwestern as well. Michigan coming off there biggest win of this season against Ohio State. Then go on the road against a team they have struggled with recently. Also I am sure Northwestern remembers choking away the game in Ann Arbor when they led for the entire game and lost in OT. Shurna will have a big game.
                    will be on NU, just trying to decide if i want to go 1H, game or ML.
                    Comment
                    • firehoyt
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-02-10
                      • 3569

                      #11
                      Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                      will be on NU, just trying to decide if i want to go 1H, game or ML.
                      Northwestern last 10 home games they have been leading at the half 8/10 times averaging 35.7 points while holding opponents to 28.8 points..
                      Comment
                      • BiffTFinancial
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 01-29-09
                        • 22670

                        #12
                        Originally posted by firehoyt
                        Northwestern last 10 home games they have been leading at the half 8/10 times averaging 35.7 points while holding opponents to 28.8 points..
                        yep, and UM off huge win over OSU while NU in must-win spot. NU will be intent on having a halftime lead, 1H may be my play. thanks for the details, i knew that they had been good at home this season (and UM bad on road) but didn't realize quite how good in 1H.
                        Comment
                        • firehoyt
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-02-10
                          • 3569

                          #13
                          Credit goes to chadnov59 on twitter for the stats.
                          Comment
                          • BiffTFinancial
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 01-29-09
                            • 22670

                            #14
                            Originally posted by firehoyt
                            Credit goes to chadnov59 on twitter for the stats.
                            following him now, thanks pal.
                            Comment
                            • GoBlue23
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-04-10
                              • 1302

                              #15
                              I like NU 1H better than the game line as well. Michigan is notorious this year for starting sluggish on the road.
                              Comment
                              • HOT WINGS
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-29-10
                                • 8055

                                #16
                                Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
                                will be on NU, just trying to decide if i want to go 1H, game or ML.
                                1st half seems good to me also, but ill probably just go with game line at -2 to -3 range. I want to see if line stays steady before I make a play though. GL Biff
                                Comment
                                • zoo youk
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-23-11
                                  • 10701

                                  #17
                                  really like NU today. BOL.
                                  Comment
                                  • BiffTFinancial
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 01-29-09
                                    • 22670

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by HOT WINGS
                                    1st half seems good to me also, but ill probably just go with game line at -2 to -3 range. I want to see if line stays steady before I make a play though. GL Biff
                                    thanks, Hotwings. when the line dropped to -2, i went ahead and grabbed the 1H at -1. BOL to you tonight, pal.
                                    Comment
                                    • arnoldrothstein
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 07-23-10
                                      • 764

                                      #19
                                      Michigan and Xavier both win going away. Take it to the bank
                                      Comment
                                      • PickWinnerAllDay
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 08-31-11
                                        • 12722

                                        #20
                                        Yeah... Michigan really looks like a public team that is going to win and piss off all the wannabe sharps. Been happening all year.
                                        Comment
                                        • chinoloco212
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-24-11
                                          • 1095

                                          #21
                                          liking miami ohio and miss st bol brother
                                          Comment
                                          • jimminn
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-23-11
                                            • 1176

                                            #22
                                            I have michigan at +2.5 and feel very confident they will win
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #23
                                              Going to play Seton Hall and Northwestern for sure. Just trying to decide how big.
                                              Comment
                                              • naslax13
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 01-03-11
                                                • 1220

                                                #24
                                                dammit why do u all u dudes have to be slobbing over nwestern.. its a 10x play for me stop jinxing it
                                                Comment
                                                • sushikillah
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 03-15-10
                                                  • 20

                                                  #25
                                                  Miss St 1st Half +5
                                                  Comment
                                                  • JamesBrown
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-07-08
                                                    • 3860

                                                    #26
                                                    NC -

                                                    Im on Seton Hall 1H. I really like this play tonight. BOL as always!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Hangoverblack
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-27-12
                                                      • 1900

                                                      #27
                                                      I get it. 90 % on Kent St spread, like 95% on Kent St moneyline. Miami Ohio was the RLM play against Tennessee St last game, at -3, and failed to win/ or cover.

                                                      Be very careful here. This team is awful. There is no precedent recently for Miami Ohio to win as an RLM play.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by JamesBrown
                                                        NC -

                                                        Im on Seton Hall 1H. I really like this play tonight. BOL as always!
                                                        Yeah, I'm kind of thinking the same thing. Maybe Northwestern, Seton Hall and Mississippi State 1H and go from there -- either cash in or cut my losses.

                                                        Good luck JB.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jihadvillager
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-25-11
                                                          • 2134

                                                          #29
                                                          How many units on each nc?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • No coincidences
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-18-10
                                                            • 76300

                                                            #30
                                                            Northwestern -140 (10U) (wish I'd locked it in when it dipped to -125)
                                                            Seton Hall 1H +1.5 (3U)
                                                            UMass -1 (3U)

                                                            Might play Mississippi State and Colorado State later. We'll see.

                                                            Good luck everyone.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • No coincidences
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 01-18-10
                                                              • 76300

                                                              #31
                                                              Seton Hall +3 (3U)
                                                              Comment
                                                              • No coincidences
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 01-18-10
                                                                • 76300

                                                                #32
                                                                Tempted to add Maryland, but can't figure out why they're +3. Should probably just lay off.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • No coincidences
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 01-18-10
                                                                  • 76300

                                                                  #33
                                                                  We'll see what happens with this Miami (Ohio) game, but this really caught my eye last night at Pinny when other books were moving to 2.5 or 3:

                                                                  02/21 12:39 AM -1½ -137 +1½ +124
                                                                  02/20 10:13 PM -1½ -132 +1½ +120
                                                                  02/20 10:12 PM -1½ -137 +1½ +124
                                                                  02/20 10:08 PM -1½ -126 +1½ +114
                                                                  02/20 10:02 PM -1½ -122 +1½ +111
                                                                  02/20 09:24 PM -1½ -126 +1½ +114
                                                                  02/20 09:14 PM -1½ -118 +1½ +107
                                                                  02/20 09:14 PM -1½ -111 +1½ +101
                                                                  02/20 07:55 PM -1½ -105 +1½ -105
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • naslax13
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-03-11
                                                                    • 1220

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                                    Seton Hall +3 (3U)

                                                                    i think gtown is too much for them to handle, line movement has re-enforced this
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • No coincidences
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 01-18-10
                                                                      • 76300

                                                                      #35
                                                                      The Hall JB!

                                                                      Comment
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