iowa will do today what illinois and northwestern could not do when they played indiana in their last two games. they will score enough points to cover the spread and maybe even win the game outright. indiana is 2-5 ats on the road in the big 10 and their two covers came when their opponent scored 61 and 57 points. everyone who scored more than that covered at home against indiana. iowa shot over 63% from the field earlier this season at indiana but they could not overcome the 12 pts edge that hoosiers had from the free throw line. they lost by only 13 despite commiting 4 more turnovers and grabing 17 less rebounds. expect a much better effort on the loose balls today for iowa and a lower free throw percentage on the road for indiana. take iowa +4.5 points in what could be a tight game from start to finish.
