I can still get 158.5 and pinny has it juiced at 160 (-113). Quite the edge, but 158.5 is a huge number
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#2
burp
Comment
BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#3
i like the over but i'm cold.
Comment
JR007
SBR Hall of Famer
02-21-10
5279
#4
gotta watch the line being pushed beyond it's fair value, you are at that point now, ...under
when the books are agressively moving the line, fade the move IMO,
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#5
Originally posted by JR007
gotta watch the line being pushed beyond it's fair value, you are at that point now, ...underwhen the books are agressively moving the line, fade the move IMO
You say that without anything to substantiate your claim.
35% on the Over but its climbing
Comment
JR007
SBR Hall of Famer
02-21-10
5279
#6
In my opinion anything more than a two point move,, is a fade, but i would watch any move to the under, late, i never make plays till the last possible second on totals, I always see unders as value plays
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#7
Originally posted by JR007
In my opinion anything more than a two point move,, is a fade, but i would watch any move to the under, late, i never make plays till the last possible second on totals, I always see unders as value plays
Your 2 point rule is extremely arbitrary. Why not 3? Why not 1.5? And by definition the closer is as close to a coin flip as there could be MOST times
Comment
JR007
SBR Hall of Famer
02-21-10
5279
#8
I use that as a yardstick for public moves, again IMO......for an over..at this price you need balanced scoring, one of these teams have a bad shooting night the over is toast, in any total in any sport, i take the view to bet against events occuring, rather than, on them occuring......but again the late move, might alter that...bookmaker opened at 156.5 now -160.5, four point move, I have learned the hard way over the years tailing these kinds of moves, ......
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#9
Winner!
Comment
HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#10
I was rooting for San Fran.
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#11
Originally posted by JR007
I use that as a yardstick for public moves, again IMO......for an over..at this price you need balanced scoring, one of these teams have a bad shooting night the over is toast, in any total in any sport, i take the view to bet against events occuring, rather than, on them occuring......but again the late move, might alter that...bookmaker opened at 156.5 now -160.5, four point move, I have learned the hard way over the years tailing these kinds of moves, ......
there is just as much a chance as the late move going your way as the other way. don't be afraid
Comment
BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#12
great hit, Romanov. i was afraid and am now kicking myself for it.
used to have a dog named Herzog. great book.
Comment
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#13
Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
great hit, Romanov. i was afraid and am now kicking myself for it. used to have a dog named Herzog. great book.
ol' bellow is a trip
Comment
BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#14
Originally posted by Romanov
ol' bellow is a trip
sure is. i have to find time to go back and re-read Herzog. problem is, whenever i have time to read (not often), i just re-read a few chapters of Confederacy of Dunces.