Apom's 2012 NCAABB Thread

[apom12]

Starting up my 2012 NCAABB Plays as well as an NBA in the appropriate forum.

I am making this thread mostly just to track my own plays on a daily basis. I have been pretty hot this January (+28u) - obviously not posted - so hopefully if you want to follow along, I can bring some good luck to some of you, and I don't jinx myself at the same time!

I have 3 different types of bets.
ATS Plays which are most common (January was 38-35 +5.16 units)
Money Line: I have made a rediculous amount of money over the last 2 years (Jan was 51-12 +31.8 units) - I like to parlay games that have a ML of -250 or greater in 2-4 team sets. Many things need to align for me to make these picks - just because someone is a -500 fave doesnt mean its automatically played. If the line is greater than -250 or more, I usually parlay or lay off it.
Totals: I usually have 1 or 2 each day. Really just experimenting with this, and hasnt been working out so far . (Jan was 10-16 / -8.7 units)

Plays are usually posted mid-day, same day of the games...

I also welcome anyones opinions / comments on any posted plays - feel free to follow along!!!

Best of luck....

[apom12]

1/30 plays

ATS
PRINCETON +2 /// 0.5 unit(s)
SIU EDWARD +17.5 /// 1 unit(s)
ALABAMA ST +4 /// 1 unit(s)

MONEY LINE
2T PARLAY (W VA/WOFFORD) -140 /// 1 unit(s)
CHARLESTON -174 /// 1 unit(s)

TOTALS
PITT / W VIRGINIA O135 /// 1 unit(s)
SE MIZZO / E ILLINOIS O136 /// 1 unit(s)

[agendaman]

c/o apom 12/nice approach/lay your picks for all to see and track/i won the last 2 sbr nhl contests w 22-5 and 19-4-1 records using picks on this sbr forum from others/gl

[Bohemian Aggie]

Apom how much do you consider one unit?

[apom12]

Apom how much do you consider one unit?

Personally I lay $50/unit based on a $3,000 bankroll. Everyone is different - thats why we say "units" - I started out at $10/unit, but have built up a bankroll since I started.

[apom12]

c/o apom 12/nice approach/lay your picks for all to see and track/i won the last 2 sbr nhl contests w 22-5 and 19-4-1 records using picks on this sbr forum from others/gl

I just find it helpful to myself to post the plays. I usually lose track after a while from posting on the forums. But I like hearing suggestions from others on certain plays - helps out with my own little personal strategy. If you find someone thats hot on the forums - it's always good to keep track of what they're doing!

[apom12]

ATS
PRINCETON +2 /// 0.5 unit(s) --- LOSS
SIU EDWARD +17.5 /// 1 unit(s) --- LOSS (BY 0.5 PTS!!!! )
ALABAMA ST +4 /// 1 unit(s) --- WIN

MONEY LINE
2T PARLAY (W VA/WOFFORD) -140 /// 1 unit(s) --- LOSS
CHARLESTON -174 /// 1 unit(s) --- WIN

TOTALS
PITT / W VIRGINIA O135 /// 1 unit(s) --- WIN
SE MIZZO / E ILLINOIS O136 /// 1 unit(s)

--- LOSS

ATS: 1-2 -0.65u
ML: 1-1 -0.4u
TOTALS: 1-1 - EVEN

Well lost a unit today - when if SIU could have held Murphy to UNDER 50 POINTS lol - we could have been positive one unit.... Get em today...

[apom12]

1/31 plays

ATS:
MICHIGAN -1.5 [0.5u]
KENT ST -5 [0.5u]
WISCONSIN -8 [1u]
ARKANSAS +2.5 [1u]

ML
3T PARLAY (WI-MIL/WISCONSIN/NEW MEXICO) -105 [1u]
2T PARLAY (MICH ST/KENT ST) +165 [0.5u]
2T PARLAY (NO. IOWA/VIRGINIA) -200 [0.5u]

TOTALS
CLEM / VA --- UNDER 111 [0.5u]
TENN / KENT ST --- OVER 131.5 [0.5u]

Good luck

[apom12]

ATS:
MICHIGAN ST -1.5 [0.5u] --- LOSS
KENT ST -5 [0.5u] --- WIN
WISCONSIN -8 [1u] --- LOSS
ARKANSAS +2.5 [1u] ---WIN

ML
3T PARLAY (WI-MIL/WISCONSIN/NEW MEXICO) -105 [1u] --- LOSS
2T PARLAY (MICH ST/KENT ST) +165 [0.5u] --- LOSS
2T PARLAY (NO. IOWA/VIRGINIA) -200 [0.5u] --- WIN

TOTALS
CLEM / VA --- UNDER 111 [0.5u] --- LOSS
TENN / KENT ST --- OVER 131.5 [0.5u] --- LOSS

Good luck

Another few bad breaks --- Mich St being the worst - two nights in a row - could have been positive nights... I am also done w/ totals for the time being

ATS = 2-2 -0.15u
ML = 1-2 -1.05u
TOTALS = LOL

Looking like a bright night in NBA!

[apom12]

2/1 Big Card

Huge card tonight… This is why I recommend playing a bankroll of 100 units…

ATS
HOFSTRA -13.5 [2u] --- WIN
INDIANA +4 [1.5u] --- LOSS
MASSACHUSETTS -3.5 [1.5u] --- LOSS
HOUSTON +9 [1.5u] --- LOSS
GEORGETOWN -2.5 [1u] --- WIN
DREXEL -4 [1u] --- WIN
GEORGIA ST -5 [0.5u] --- WIN
VA COMMONWEALTH -14.5 [0.5u] --- LOSS
OHIO U -15 [0.5u] --- LOSS
WYOMING -3.5 [0.5u] --- LOSS
DRAKE +5.5 [0.5u] --- LOSS
NC STATE -10 [0.5u] --- LOSS


ML PARLAYS
3-TEAM PARLAY (FLA ST + GEO MASON + AKRON) -125 [1u] --- LOSS
3-TEAM PARLAY (CREIGHTON + BAYLOR + NC ST) -120 [1u] --- WIN
2-TEAM PARLAY (INDIANA + DREXEL) +300 [0.5u] --- LOSS



ATS PICKS: 4-8 -3.2 units
ML PAYLAYS: 1-2 -0.8units

Overall: 5-10 -4 units

Get em tonight

[apom12]

Today's Plays:

SOUTHERN ALABAMA +3.5 [1u] - WIN
FLORIDA -14 [1u] - LOSS
ST MARY'S-CA -19 [1u] - LOSS
SANTA CLARA -5 [1u] - LOSS
THE CITADEL +10 [1u] - LOSS
SIU EDWARDS [1u] - WIN
MONTANA ST -4.5 [1u] - LOSS
W ILLINOIS -7.5 [1u] - WIN
WRIGHT ST +10.5 [0.5u] - LOSS
OREGON -10 [0.5u] - WIN
IDAHO +3.5 [0.5u] - LOSS
TENN TECH +2.5 [0.5u] - WIN
E KENTUCKY +3 [0.5] - WIN

6-7 -2.1 units.... Keep pushing...