This is what I posted over at therx:
I've hit my last 6 plays, although only 4 of them were posted. Two plays for Wednesday although I guess nobody cares since I get zero responses from my threads LOL. I feel like doing a write-up for tomorrow's plays which is quite rare.
San Diego State +8.5
Yes its another homer play but I feel there is a lot of value on this line. The line does seem fishy but bookmakers set this line out with "The Pit" factor and The Pit hasn't been as tough in recent years as it was back in the day. If #12 UNLV can go into #22 SDSU as a -3.5, there's no way #16 SDSU should be a +8.5 coming into #28 UNM. These are two similar games with a 12 point swing on the spread. Plus SDSU has won its last 4 of 6 at The Pit with one overtime loss and one blowout loss. I'm also going to throw a little bit on the ML as well which should be around +300.
Creighton -1
These guys are doing very well ATS and have proven they can play well on the road. They lost only 1 road game at a solid St. Joe's and won two tough games at Wichita St. and San Diego St. Creighton lost to Missouri St. at home the first time these two teams met so the revenge factor comes into play with the better team only laying 1 point. These guys have proven all "trap" thinkers wrong and I think they continue to do so tomorrow.
Best of luck
San Diego State +8.5
Yes its another homer play but I feel there is a lot of value on this line. The line does seem fishy but bookmakers set this line out with "The Pit" factor and The Pit hasn't been as tough in recent years as it was back in the day. If #12 UNLV can go into #22 SDSU as a -3.5, there's no way #16 SDSU should be a +8.5 coming into #28 UNM. These are two similar games with a 12 point swing on the spread. Plus SDSU has won its last 4 of 6 at The Pit with one overtime loss and one blowout loss. I'm also going to throw a little bit on the ML as well which should be around +300.
Creighton -1
These guys are doing very well ATS and have proven they can play well on the road. They lost only 1 road game at a solid St. Joe's and won two tough games at Wichita St. and San Diego St. Creighton lost to Missouri St. at home the first time these two teams met so the revenge factor comes into play with the better team only laying 1 point. These guys have proven all "trap" thinkers wrong and I think they continue to do so tomorrow.
Best of luck
