Goodfella10's Plays - 1-17-12

[Goodfella10]

RECORD (33-24) +21 UNITS
PLAY OF THE DAY (3-5) -5.3 UNITS

**LSU -8.5
- Auburn has managed to look half decent at home against UK and beat Ole Miss in OT, but make no mistake about the fact that they are terrible on the road. A 30pt loss to Vandy, 29pt loss to FSU, 22pt loss at Seton Hall and a 3pt win at Hawaii. LSU is solid at home and should be able to win this one by 10pts.

GOOD LUCK TO ALL

[darkenergy]

Gl today GF.
I'm on Colorado St. -7, big play.
Root for me

[Goodfella10]

Gl today GF. I'm on Colorado St. -7, big play. Root for me

Since I have no action on the game, I will be happy to root for you. Best of luck.

[Goodfella10]

ADDING:

**FSU -11
-Maryland has played ONE true road game this season against NC State and lost by 5pts. FSU is an up and down team and when they are hot, they are very good. I am bit concerned there may be a hangover from the UNC game, but they could also come out extremely hot as well. It should also be noted that Maryland has played a fairly weak schedule as well, with their best opponent this season being Alabama (20pt loss). They have however played many teams that are solid, but not the caliber of FSU. Another thing to consider is that outside of losing to Princeton, no opponent has come within 12pts of FSU at home this year.

***KENTUCKY -16
-UK has been awful against the spread this year, but tonight I see a cover. Arkansas has played three games on the road and lost all three of them (Oklahoma 15pts, Ole Miss 8pts, UConn 13pts). Arkansas is undersized and play a style of play that really favors Kentucky. If they choose to press, and I think they will, UK will be at a large advantage. In the games that UK has struggled this year and the blueprint for pulling off an upset against them is to make it a half court game and to be physical. An undersized team that presses is the opposite of the blueprint. I will take the Wildcats and I think they win by 20+ points tonight.