Can math pick college bball winners?

[winningdoc]

Even though my work field is science and medicine, I love math and have always been convinced that math can predict handicapping better than anything else, even though I have yet to see anyone do it successfully, including myself. This past week I have been using a formula that only uses slight favorites that has hit 20 out of 30 picks on the spread for college basketball. There is no way that it will stay this high, but if I can find something that will hit over 55% I will be ecstatic.

Plays for Sat. that fit the formula:

Michigan -2.5
Ill-Chicago -2
East Carolina -2
Buffalo -1
Arkansas St -3
Troy -1
Morehead St -3

We'll see if it continues to win. Has anyone else ever written a formula that has been profitable?

[DavieVegas]

Like mich also

[Mr. Doughnut]

Yes it can. However, when one says "predict", a great number is probably around 55-57%. If one can hit that, then one can make a lot with good money management.

[romoney]

all favs??

[winningdoc]

Plays for Sat. that fit the formula:
Michigan -2.5
Ill-Chicago -2
East Carolina -2
Buffalo -1
Arkansas St -3
Troy -1
Morehead St -3

We'll see if it continues to win. Has anyone else ever written a formula that has been profitable?

Adding for Sat:
Akron -3
Cornell -2
Tulane -3
Tenn Chat -3

Best of luck to everyone today, a lot college bball is going on!

[winningdoc]

So this got killed on Saturday, which is the variance that I expected at some point.
Michigan -2.5 L
Ill-Chicago -2 W
East Carolina -2 L
Buffalo -1 L
Arkansas St -3 L
Troy -1 L
Morehead St -3 P
Akron -3 W
Cornell -2 L
Tulane -3 L
Tenn Chat -3 L

A 2 Win, 8 Loss day, and 1 Push, bringing the total to 22/40, or 55%. I will keep this thread running for at least a week to see if it it stays about 55%. If not, back to the drawing board....

[winningdoc]

2 plays for Sunday:

UCLA -1.5
Canisius -2

[winningdoc]

Forgot to post this, but results for Sunday:

UCLA -1.5 W
Canisius -2 L

1/2 day, total is now 23/42 for 54.7%.

There were no plays yesterday (Monday), and no plays for today (Tuesday)

[winningdoc]

Several plays for today (entitling it Version I). I even am trying a Version II which picks underdogs:

Version I: 23/42 54.7%
Plays:
Richmond -1.5
NC Wilmington -3
Buffalo -2.5
Memphis pk
Wichita St -3
Creighton -2
Mississippi St -2

Version II 0/0
Plays:
Seton Hall +1.5
Air Force +2.5

[winningdoc]

Very blah results with this lately.

Results for January 18:
Plays:
Richmond -1.5 L
NC Wilmington -3 L
Buffalo -2.5 W
Memphis pk L
Wichita St -3 P
Creighton -2 L
Mississippi St -2 L
Version I: 24/48 50%

Version II
Results:
Seton Hall +1.5 L
Air Force +2.5 L
0/2 0%

Version I Picks for Thursday Jan. 19:
Ark-Little Rock -3
Long Beach St -3
UT Chattanooga pk
Eastern Illinois -2

Version II Picks for Thursday Jan 19:
None

[Heart]

Looks like you're formula is good at picking losers. Just play the opposite of whatever you think is a winner.

[winningdoc]

I would be happy to follow or fade this, but it's too close to 50% to be of any value currently.

Version I Results for Thursday Jan. 19: 1/4
Ark-Little Rock -3 L
Long Beach St -3 W
UT Chattanooga pk L
Eastern Illinois -2 L
Totals: 25/52 48%

Version II
Totals: 0/2 0%

No plays today.

[winningdoc]

Maybe a system to fade, who knows? I'll keep posting the plays for a while:

Version I results: 25/52 48%
Plays:
Boston College -1.5
Villanova -2.5
Georgia -3
Connecticut -2
Columbia -3
Rice +1.5
Tulane -1.5
Pittsburgh -3
Idaho -2
North Dakota St -3

Version II results: 0/2 0%
Plays:
Ark-Little Rock +1.5
Buffalo +1.5
Wofford +1.5
UT-Chattanooga +2