A combined 3-7 the last 2 nights
..Lost 7.5 units......Overall 28-21 +4.2 units up since joining SBR.
Top Play on Indiana st+1 over So.illinois for 5 units LOser
Princeton/ Cornell Over 124 Winner: What's this? That Princeton offense has been scoring points of late. That's right. In their last 6 games the Tigers have put up 70+ points in 5 of those games. Granted two of those games was in OT, but they have still hit 70+ points in their of their last 5 non-OT games. The Princeton defense has not been super of last as they have allowed 66 ppg in their last 5 games. Cornell really likes to play the uptempo games, especially at home, where they have scored 75.2 ppg. Cornell though has not been great on defense as they have allowed 70.1 ppg overall, including 70.6 ppg at home, that should really help Princeton to continue to get their points. Both teams should continue to produce offensively in this game and that should easily put this game Over the total. KEY TRENDS--- PRINCETON is 15-5 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons, while CORNELL is 6-0 OVER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
5 POINT TEASER--- Northern Iowa -1 & Drake/ Evansville over 141 Loser
Creighton -2 over ILLINOIS STATE: winner CREIGHTON is 23-11 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons, while ILLINOIS ST is 2-10 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
..Lost 7.5 units......Overall 28-21 +4.2 units up since joining SBR.Top Play on Indiana st+1 over So.illinois for 5 units LOser
3 unit play
Niagara/ St Peter's Over 131 WINNER: Ok so the Peacocks have the MAAC's lowest scoring offense (59.8 ppg), but tonight they will be facing a Niagara team that has allowed 75.8 ppg (324th) on 46.8% shooting (310th), so they should have some nice scoring opportunities tonight. St Peter's has scored just 58 ppg on the road, but fear not as the purple Aces have allowed 81.4 ppg on 50.1 % shooting on their home floor this. Niagara is a team that likes the uptempo game, so they don't shoot particularly well but they get a lot of chances to score and they have averaged 69.5 ppg overall, but at home they have put up 76.1 ppg. St peter's on defense has allowed 67.2 ppg, but on the road they have allowed 70.2 ppg. Niagara's MAAC games have averaged 141.4 ppg, while their home games have averaged 157.5 ppg and playing at home i expect them to have the pace of the game where they want it. This game should hit 140+ points with ease.
3 unit play Indiana State/ Southern Illinois over 133WInner: The overall numbers for these teams have not produced many high scoring affairs, but once MVC games have started it has been a different story. ISU did play a low scoring game vs Northern Iowa (113 points), but in their other 4 MVC games their has been an average of 144 points scored. For SIU, Their MVC games have been a bit high scoring as well with all 5 of their games hitting at least 139 points. The Salukis have averaged just 65 ppg for the year, but in their last 7 games that average has gone up to 72.0 ppg, while in their last 4 MVC games they have averaged 74.5 ppg. This is a team that has changed to more of an uptempo style and as the season progresses they will continue to put up more and more points. Defense has been shaky for both of these teams once MVC play has opened as Indiana State has allowed 71.4 ppg on 45.6% shooting in league play, while Southern Illinois has allowed 74.8 ppg in their 5 league games. Both teams have played higher scoring games in conference play and i see that trend continuing tonight as these teams should combine for 140+ points here. KEY TREND--- INDIANA ST is 17-5 OVER after failing to cover the spread in 3 or more consecutive games since 1997. Princeton/ Cornell Over 124 Winner: What's this? That Princeton offense has been scoring points of late. That's right. In their last 6 games the Tigers have put up 70+ points in 5 of those games. Granted two of those games was in OT, but they have still hit 70+ points in their of their last 5 non-OT games. The Princeton defense has not been super of last as they have allowed 66 ppg in their last 5 games. Cornell really likes to play the uptempo games, especially at home, where they have scored 75.2 ppg. Cornell though has not been great on defense as they have allowed 70.1 ppg overall, including 70.6 ppg at home, that should really help Princeton to continue to get their points. Both teams should continue to produce offensively in this game and that should easily put this game Over the total. KEY TRENDS--- PRINCETON is 15-5 OVER when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons, while CORNELL is 6-0 OVER when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
5 POINT TEASER--- Northern Iowa -1 & Drake/ Evansville over 141 Loser
2 unit play
Creighton -2 over ILLINOIS STATE: winner CREIGHTON is 23-11 ATS when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons, while ILLINOIS ST is 2-10 ATS in home games versus good 3 point shooting teams - making >=37% of their attempts over the last 3 seasons.
1 UNIT PLAY
VALPO -6 over Youngstown State: winner YOUNGSTOWN ST is 6-16 ATS when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 3 seasons, while VALPARAISO is 11-1 ATS after a loss by 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons.BEST OF LUCK EVERYONE
