One play- Gonzaga +3.5

panikpoker · 01-12-12, 11:28 AM

gaels are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 home games
gaels are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss
gaels are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs a team with a winning SU record

southpaw74 · 01-12-12, 11:32 AM

Home team gets the green light here. Might be too close to call though. Maybe a halftime play?

Luckotheirish · 01-12-12, 12:01 PM

Might as well bet on a coin toss, SMU Zag is always a toss up. No locks. EVER.

Bullet Kays · 01-12-12, 12:38 PM

Zaga is +4 now. Still like them for the game and possibly to win outright tonight despite SMU's trends.

Bullet Kays · 01-12-12, 12:49 PM

Originally posted by Luckotheirish

Might as well bet on a coin toss, SMU Zag is always a toss up. No locks. EVER.

There are no locks ever on any game, but if you were in a best of coin flip would you rather start out ahead 4 flips or behind 4 flips?

Ambition · 01-12-12, 12:53 PM

I'm leaning towards SMU but, no play.

Bullet Kays · 01-12-12, 01:12 PM

It's hard for me to bet against a team on an 8 game win streak, most of those wins against above average teams and 2 lone losses against Mich st, who hasn't lost since November, and Illinois, a solid team who just knocked off Ohio st. Mich st has been burying teams and Zaga played tough in both of those games. Gonzaga: #10 RPI, better back court, deeper bench, no sun belt losses, etc. St. Mary's is definitely a legit squad and this is a rivalry game but Gonzaga has seen much tougher competition than St. Mary's this year. 4 pts is too much to give the zags in a game like this, gotta roll with Gonzaga

zephyr · 01-12-12, 01:57 PM

Gonzaga, on a long win streak, going on the road, in conference play, against an excellent team with a good home court advantage -- I can bet against such a team.

Bullet Kays · 01-12-12, 02:10 PM

Good luck Zephyr

aman86 · 01-12-12, 02:25 PM

e z winner

SASH · 01-12-12, 02:38 PM

this play is high on my radar too bullet kays

....have to do some homework on it however

zephyr · 01-12-12, 03:10 PM

Originally posted by Bullet Kays

Good luck Zephyr

Vaioice · 01-12-12, 03:24 PM

Yes that tiny little high school gym is a big advantage for Mary, against any team other then the Zags. They've proven they can play on the road, and they've won the last 2 times they played there. both as dogs of +4, +4.5. Zags have won 4 of last 6 matchups. Better team, tougher schedule to date. Only edge for Mary was is home court...and thats not much of an edge vs the Zags. Gotta take the points, feel just as good bout Zags winning SU.

-V

zephyr · 01-12-12, 03:38 PM

For the record, I'm laying off this game. I feel Gonzaga will have its hands full at St. Mary's, and just wanted to make the point that their win streak is not a reason for me to play them (I actually am more impressed by their good ATS results lately). But I was not impressed at all when St. Mary's let San Diego stay in the game with them a few back. So I just expect a hell of a game. No play for me. I see better plays, for me. Good luck to y'all who play this.

Bullet Kays · 01-12-12, 03:54 PM

Originally posted by SASH

this play is high on my radar too bullet kays

....have to do some homework on it however

Best play on the board for me tonight. Good luck if you play.. Spread has moved in our favor, I could see it getting to +4.5 before game time. I'm looking into a couple 1h plays tonight as well

Bullet Kays · 01-12-12, 03:56 PM

Originally posted by Vaioice

Yes that tiny little high school gym is a big advantage for Mary, against any team other then the Zags. They've proven they can play on the road, and they've won the last 2 times they played there. both as dogs of +4, +4.5. Zags have won 4 of last 6 matchups. Better team, tougher schedule to date. Only edge for Mary was is home court...and thats not much of an edge vs the Zags. Gotta take the points, feel just as good bout Zags winning SU.

-V

Yep, might add a little on the ML as well

DavieVegas · 01-12-12, 03:57 PM

St marys lost the last 2 times at home in 2011 vs gonzaga..I'm going with gonzaga also

Bullet Kays · 01-12-12, 05:38 PM

Gl Davie, line seems to be moving in our favor

DavieVegas · 01-12-12, 05:50 PM

Yes, I even took them ML on single bet...let's hope for the best

Quagmire27 · 01-12-12, 06:03 PM

Over bitches

Bullet Kays · 01-12-12, 06:26 PM

Im on the ML as well now Davie, big night..looking forward to it

Bullet Kays · 01-12-12, 10:49 PM

Good luck all!

rumple · 01-13-12, 12:45 AM

This Gonzaga team absolutely sucks, no defense or rebounding freaking bums.

Bullet Kays · 01-13-12, 12:58 AM

You're exactly right.

polishkielbasa10 · 01-13-12, 01:04 AM

******* zags. ******* morons

polishkielbasa10 · 01-13-12, 01:05 AM

Why even get off the bus with that effort

Vaioice · 01-13-12, 01:06 AM

BLAH

Quagmire27 · 01-13-12, 03:44 AM

You're f'n retarded betting sides in this game.

The only way this game goes under is if it's a 20 point blow out either way.

Oh snap... it was a 20 point blow out and still inched over.

Know the roll already, win even when your prediction is off

Anyway, beware of sleeping on the zags going forward.
Sacre sat many minutes in that game, they are better than they showed there, bet on that.

Also, notice the backgrounds @ McKeon, fixed for the visitor first half, then home sweetness.

Sure seems to help the straight away shots for the team headed that way.

Have watched many games @ McKeon and never noticed that before, maybe worth considering.

Moraga is a wonderful place, kind folks & too many cute young ladies.