Goodfella10's Plays - 1-9-12

Goodfella10 · 01-09-12, 06:50 PM

UPGRADING UCONN to ****.

Madison · 01-09-12, 07:02 PM

Hey Goodfellea,

One thing I feel this board lacks is analysis pre or post game. Lots of folks making predictions however I'd prefer a little more capping talk pre and post. I for one truly appreciate the logic that backs your bets.

I posted in another thread about Penn St. I was floored when they put up 82 the other night. I had them penned in as under based on pace and ability to shoot and was obviously wrong. Any thoughts here? BOL.

Madison · 01-09-12, 07:06 PM

Right now liking St Mary's just hate giving the big #'s... 16.5

Goodfella10 · 01-09-12, 07:08 PM

Originally posted by Madison

Hey Goodfellea, One thing I feel this board lacks is analysis pre or post game. Lots of folks making predictions however I'd prefer a little more capping talk pre and post. I for one truly appreciate the logic that backs your bets. I posted in another thread about Penn St. I was floored when they put up 82 the other night. I had them penned in as under based on pace and ability to shoot and was obviously wrong. Any thoughts here? BOL.

I'm sure you know this already, but boxscores have a wealth of information. I use them quite frequently to analyze games and find team's strengths and weaknesses.

In reference to IU/Penn St and the fact that Penn State scored 82 points, 2 things stand out to me from the boxscore. I didn't watch the game, so I have to go by the stats.

1. Fouls/Free throws - Penn State got to the line 25 times and converted 21 times. Indiana plays physical basketball and it appears that the refs decided to call the game with a tight whistle. There was also 32 free throws attempted by Indiana, which stops the clock and leads to more possessions.

2. Turnovers - Usually Penn State isn't a up and down team, but when you get 16 turnovers it leads to fastbreak opportunities and results in a faster paced game.

Both of these things result in easier baskets and more points for a team that usually struggles offensively. These are also things that are very hard to predict by looking at stats beforehand, but it is really a guessing game.

Madison · 01-09-12, 07:19 PM

Originally posted by Goodfella10

I'm sure you know this already, but boxscores have a wealth of information. I use them quite frequently to analyze games and find team's strengths and weaknesses. In reference to IU/Penn St and the fact that Penn State scored 82 points, 2 things stand out to me from the boxscore.

OK, you got me. If you would have showed me IU shooting 16/24 from 3 or the like and scoring 88 pts I'd be broke right now. I know I'm not the sharpest tool in the shed but what stands out to you that I'm missing.

Goodfella10 · 01-09-12, 07:20 PM

Originally posted by Madison

OK, you got me. If you would have showed me IU shooting 16/24 from 3 or the like and scoring 88 pts I'd be broke right now. I know I'm not the sharpest tool in the shed but what stands out to you that I'm missing.

Sorry, it was a premature post. I have updated.

Madison · 01-09-12, 08:16 PM

Originally posted by Goodfella10

I'm sure you know this already, but boxscores have a wealth of information. I use them quite frequently to analyze games and find team's strengths and weaknesses. In reference to IU/Penn St and the fact that Penn State scored 82 points, 2 things stand out to me from the boxscore. I didn't watch the game, so I have to go by the stats. 1. Fouls/Free throws - Penn State got to the line 25 times and converted 21 times. Indiana plays physical basketball and it appears that the refs decided to call the game with a tight whistle. There was also 32 free throws attempted by Indiana, which stops the clock and leads to more possessions. 2. Turnovers - Usually Penn State isn't a up and down team, but when you get 16 turnovers it leads to fastbreak opportunities and results in a faster paced game. Both of these things result in easier baskets and more points for a team that usually struggles offensively. These are also things that are very hard to predict by looking at stats beforehand, but it is really a guessing game.

Thanks so much for your time. I didn't see the game either but PS is a defendable team w/o fouling. @ PS so I sure would like to hear from someone who actually saw the game. How they get to the line that many times is perplexing. Agreed to's are tough to predict but again from a small sample PS didn't impress me a s a pressure D.

Goodfella10 · 01-09-12, 08:35 PM

Originally posted by Madison

Thanks so much for your time. I didn't see the game either but PS is a defendable team w/o fouling. @ PS so I sure would like to hear from someone who actually saw the game. How they get to the line that many times is perplexing. Agreed to's are tough to predict but again from a small sample PS didn't impress me a s a pressure D.

Yea, from what I have seen of Penn St this year, I wouldn't have guessed they would score 82 either. They aren't known for their defensive pressure and creating turnovers and Indiana is usually pretty strong with the ball and limit turnovers. Again, I think the key is being able to guess or predict how teams are going to perform, which is very, very difficult to do. I believe that watching as many games as you can is helpful, but few people have the time to do so.