TOP PLAYS
4 UNIT PLAY
4 UNIT PLAY
Florida Atlantic/ Arkansas State Under 119: FAU has really played some low scoring games once Sun Belt play has started as their 3 conference games have averaged just 96 ppg. The owls have really had problems scoring of late as they have put up just 52.4 ppg in their last 5 games and they have scored just 56.7 ppg on the road this year. That's actually quite amazing, considering that they are 44th in the nation in shots per game (59.1). Probably the reason hat they are 274th in shooting (40.8%). Arkansas State does not like the uptempo game as they are 317th in shots per game (50), while theyu come in averaging just 63.5 ppg (269th). FAU has allowed 66.7 ppg on the year overall, but they have really clamped it down of late, allowing just 53.4 ppg in their last 5 games. The Red Wolves are pretty average on defense, but shouldn't have problems keeping this pathetic FAU offense down tonight. Both defenses should have a solid showing, vs a couple of teams tat just don't score well. Like the Wyoming play I look for a round 110 in this one.
3 UNIT PLAYS
Oklahoma/ Oklahoma State Over 131: Gonna go with a higher scoring game than one would expect here. The last 4 between these teams played here have averaged 161.8 ppg, with each game hitting at least 148 points. The Sooners have had some offensive problems the last 2 games, but in their previous 7 games they had averaged 74.7 ppg. Overall they are averaging 73.9 ppg on 44.3% shooting. tonight they will face a team that plays tough defense, but I really look for the Sooners to speed the game up even more than normal as they don't want OSU to get settled in their half court defense. The OSU offense has been stuck in the mud for part of the year, but they have averaged 70.2 ppg at home this year, while the Sooners have allowed 71.5 ppg on the road. Oklahoma will look to have this game at their pace. The Need chaos and that will allow both teams to score. I expect 135+ points with ease here. KEY TREND--- OKLAHOMA is 24-9 OVER after scoring 65 points or less 2 straight games since 1997. Wyoming/ Idaho State Under 118.5: Not exactly sure how Idaho State will score in this one. The Bengals come in averaging just 58 ppg in their last 5 overall and 58.6 ppg on the road, while the Cowboys play some of the best team defense this year as they have allowed just 53.2 ppg on 37.6 % shooting overall and a mere 50.2 ppg on 37.3 % shooting at home. Idaho State does allow 71.9 pg overall and 71.1 ppg on the road, But the Cowboys are not a strong offensive team as they have averaged just 66.3 ppg on the year. The Bengals are 281st in the nation in shots per game (52.1), while the Cowboys are 337th (48), so neither team pushes the ball and that will really keep the scoring chances down here as well. I expect this game to finish around 110. KEY TREND--- WYOMING is 10-2 UNDER versus teams who average 33 or less rebounds/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
5 POINT TEASER--- Georgetown -1.5 & San Francisco +21.5
OTHER PLAYS
2 UNIT PLAY
5 POINT TEASER--- Georgetown/ Cincinnati Over 120 & Oklahoma +7.5
1 UNIT PLAY
San Francisco +16.5 over ST MARY'S: SAN FRANCISCO is 16-3 ATS after 2 straight games with 9 or less offensive rebounds over the last 3 seasons, while ST MARYS-CA is 3-15 ATS in home games off a road win against a conference rival since 1997.TOP SYSTEMS OF THE DAY (5-4 ON THE YEAR)
I did this over the baseball season and tried for the most part during the early NFL and CFB seasons, but it turned, but just didn't keep up with it as tracking down these systems or looking through my own was a bit more work than expected. Well I have organized things a bit more and have found an easier less time consuming way to do this. Now as i stated these are system plays yes, but they have had some thought go into them for me to post. In other words I have to think that the sysytem play has a good shot at covering or i won't post. I could have a 30-1 system that looks good, but if I don't think it favors the right side then I will not post it. I will keep all the record for these plays right here. Play Under - All teams where the total is 129.5 or less (ARKANSAS ST) - in a game involving two poor offensive teams (63-67 PPG) after 15+ games and a close win by 3 points or less This play is 60-25 sibce 1997. Play FAU/ Arkansas State UNDER 119.
Play on underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games if they are a terrible team (<=20%) and are playing a team with a winning record. This play is 37-13 the last 5 seasons. Play on Idaho State +16 over Wyoming.
BEST OF LUCK EVERYONE