Ballsyman's College Hoops Picks with write ups for Tuesday

[ballsyman]

5-2 +10.6 units in college hoops



TOP PLAYS

4 UNIT PLAY

POWER ANGLE PLAY

Drake/ Creighton Under 147: WINNER Not a very high scoring series between these teams as just 1 of the last 10 have put up more than 147 points in a game, while last year the teams averaged just 130.5 ppg in the two games. Drake has allowed 87.3 ppg on the road, but if you take out the 108 they allowed at Boise then they have allowed 75 ppg in their other two games. Overall Drake is not a bad defensive team, allowing just 66.8 ppg on 43.7% shooting overall, plus they seem to always play good defense in MVC games. Creighton has scored a ton this year at 83.1 ppg overall and 88.7 ppg at home, but in their 2 MVC games this year they have averaged just 66.5 ppg. Drake has averaged 70 ppg in their first 2 MVC games, but overall they have put up just 67.6 ppg, including just 64.3 ppg on the road. Offenses do get a bit tighter once conference play begins and that has been the case for Creighton this year and I see them having some problems with this Drake defense tonight. I don't expect this game to hit 140 at all. POWER ANGLE FOR THIS PLAY--- Play Under - Home teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (CREIGHTON) - after 3 straight games committing 14 or less turnovers and their opponent has forced forced their last opponent to commit 8 or less turnovers. +4.0 units

3 UNIT PLAYS

MISSOURI -13 over Oklahoma:WINNER This is not a good spot for the Sooners. The Tigers needed a late comeback vs an inferior foe (ODU) in their last game and you can bet Frank Haith is not happy and will have his team ready for this Big 12 opener tonight. The Sooners are picked near the bottom of the Big 12 standings and recent history has shown that they have struggled in this spot. They have lost 16 of their last 17 conference road games and in their last 12 meetings with ranked foes they are 0-12 and have been outscored by 15.4 ppg, plus they are 1-8 ATS when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 80%) over the last 2 seasons and 0-7 ATS in road games after playing a game away from home over the last 3 seasons. With this being the first real road game of the season for the Sooners, the team will certainly learn a lot about itself and how it stacks up against the rest of the elite in the Big 12 and the nation. Unfortunately for Oklahoma, the Tigers just have too many weapons to turn to that can give them a lift when they are in need. Missouri by at least 17 in this game.+3.0 units
Michigan State +6 over WISCONSIN:WINNER The Spartans are rolling right now as they have won 13 in a row. They are very balanced at both ends of the floor and are just playing with a whole lot of confidence. Draymond Green is just a monster, leading the team in scoring, rebounding, steals and blocks, while Kieth Appling has put up 19.3 ppg in his last 3 games. This is a team that is ready for a serious sun through the Big 10. Even though the Badgers play the best defense in the nation they will need to get better consistency from their offense if tey hope to stay in the Big 10 race. Iowa showed that if their defense has a bad night the offense won't be able to score enough to help them win, even though they played a bad defensive team (Iowa is 255th in scoring defense). Michigan State does play excellent defense as they have allowed just 59.5 ppg (40th) on 37.6% shooting (17th). I do not see the Badgers being able to score enough in this game to pull away for an easy win. Actually I don't see them scoring enough to win this one out right, even though Sparty has not won here while Ryan has been coach of the Badgers. Look for an outright win by Michigan State here. +3.0 units



5 POINT TEASER--- Louisville -3 & Michigan State +11.5 WINNER +3.0 units

OTHER PLAYS

2 UNIT PLAYS

Connecticut -3 over SETON HALL: LOSEThe Pirates have been most onmpressive this yera as they have gone 12-2 to start the yera, but they really haven't played anyone yet and in their lone game vs a ranked foe (Syracuse) they were blown out by 26 points. UConns is also off to a good start at 12-1 which includes a 2-0 mark in the Big East. The Huskies hold a commanding 42-18 series lead over the Pirates, which includes victories in each of the past 11 meetings and they should make it 12 in a row with an easy win tonight.-2.2 units

5 POINT TEASER--- Oklahoma/ Missouri Over 147 & Alabama/ Georgia Tech Over 110 LOst -2.2 units

1 UNIT PLAY

Ohio State/ Nebraska Under 124: WINNER The Huskers come in averaging just 63.56 ppg overall, but vs two tough Big 1o defenses this year they have averaged just 47.5 ppg. Now they get to face an angry Buckeye squad that just allowed Indiana to put up 74 points. That doesn't sit well with OSU and they should come up with a much better defensive effort tonight. The Buckeyes come in allowing just 56.4 ppg (12th) on 40.1% shooting (77th) and they should have no problems holding down the Huskers here. The Buckeyes are putting up 78.6 ppg, but Nebraska has played solid defense this year as they are 70th in points allowed (61.8 ppg). The have needed to pay good defense since their offense is so bad. I look for this game to finish at about 115.+1.0 units

BEST OF LUCK EVERYONE 7-4(+6.4 Units) in college hoops

[ballsyman]

Great Night in COLLEGE HOOPS going 5-2 +10.6 units won(overall 12-6 +17 units since joining )