3 short road faves that look like slam dunks Monday

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  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #1
    3 short road faves that look like slam dunks Monday
    Creighton -3 at Tulsa
    Cleveland State -1.5 at South Florida
    Southern Miss -1.5 at Arizona State

    Which one crashes and burns?
  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #2
    Also, what's with TCU being +7 at USC?

    Some weird lines on Monday. Are these more freebies given to us by oddsmakers, or will the worm begin to turn?
    Comment
    • Maddhatter
      SBR MVP
      • 06-12-09
      • 4350

      #3
      On Cleveland St and S Miss. Good luck NC!
      Comment
      • AlwaysDrawing
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 11-20-09
        • 657

        #4
        I like creighton and love TCU. USC is garbage, and no fans go to the games at home anyway.
        Comment
        • dozer
          Restricted User
          • 03-03-10
          • 1495

          #5
          What about laselle and ball st lines?
          Comment
          • RoadDog
            SBR MVP
            • 05-11-11
            • 2666

            #6
            TCU looks too good to be true.
            Comment
            • somachino1
              SBR Sharp
              • 02-11-11
              • 279

              #7
              All 4 plays look very very good. Gonna dig a little deeper into eacg of them.
              Comment
              • BigDan
                Restricted User
                • 04-28-11
                • 5104

                #8
                all 3 feel like coinflips to me...could just be i drank to much today and havnt gotten much done on these but atm i dont see much edge.. maybe that will change after i get some sleep, no early lines for me tonight
                Comment
                • iceaxe56
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 11-26-09
                  • 325

                  #9
                  usc can do it--especially since they lost saturday
                  Comment
                  • PAULYPOKER
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 12-06-08
                    • 36581

                    #10
                    here is my plays for today coin.....

                    748] ILLINOIS -16-110
                    [750] DENVER U -7½-110
                    [780] SO ILLINOIS -14½-110
                    Comment
                    • AceKingHigh
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-23-09
                      • 3888

                      #11
                      Damn, I can't believe that, but we are on the same side No Coin! LOLOL

                      Ball St -3
                      Cleveland St -1.5
                      La Salle -3.5
                      Creighton -3.5
                      South Miss -1.5
                      TCU +7
                      Comment
                      • aman86
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-29-09
                        • 3115

                        #12
                        Tcu south miss and ball st $$$
                        Comment
                        • tokio
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-30-10
                          • 2150

                          #13
                          hate betting cleveland st. team has failed to cover me a few times this season already.
                          Comment
                          • BigDan
                            Restricted User
                            • 04-28-11
                            • 5104

                            #14
                            Originally posted by tokio
                            hate betting cleveland st. team has failed to cover me a few times this season already.

                            just the way this team typically is, when they short favs or dogs usually a solid play but once you get into laying 6 or more better to fade or stay away.. obviously isnt set in stone but you def be way better off with this team if you avoid them as decent size favs and above..
                            Comment
                            • No coincidences
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-18-10
                              • 76300

                              #15
                              Originally posted by PAULYPOKER
                              here is my plays for today coin.....

                              748] ILLINOIS -16-110
                              [750] DENVER U -7½-110
                              [780] SO ILLINOIS -14½-110
                              I like Denver. Not sure on the others, though SIU being favored by that many points seems about as absurd as USC being favored by that many points. Under normal circumstances, I'd say that line is high for a reason, but college basketball's been a free-money free-for-all with these weird lines so far this year.
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #16
                                Originally posted by AceKingHigh
                                Damn, I can't believe that, but we are on the same side No Coin! LOLOL

                                Ball St -3
                                Cleveland St -1.5
                                La Salle -3.5
                                Creighton -3.5
                                South Miss -1.5
                                TCU +7
                                Not on those necessarily. In fact, I think a lot of them are traps -- just trying to figure out which.
                                Comment
                                • pacocn
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 07-05-10
                                  • 12934

                                  #17
                                  TCU opened at +8 i like em at 7
                                  Comment
                                  • No coincidences
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-18-10
                                    • 76300

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by dozer
                                    What about laselle and ball st lines?
                                    Weird too, but not as much in that I don't think they're necessarily far superior teams. Yet I do agree in that 95% plus of the public so far is on both of those road faves.

                                    Cleveland State (98% of bets in so far) is much better than South Florida.
                                    Creighton (97%) is much better than Tulsa.
                                    Southern Miss. (91%) is much better than Arizona State.
                                    Comment
                                    • No coincidences
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-18-10
                                      • 76300

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by pacocn
                                      TCU opened at +8 i like em at 7
                                      But why? Seriously, +8 to a garbage USC team? TCU isn't a world-beater, but they did win at Virginia didn't they?

                                      Only thing I can figure is that Vegas is so reliant on KenPom's prediction numbers and he's been off this year. I've never seen such shitty/soft college basketball lines for such a long period of time to open a season -- public has just gobbled them up.
                                      Comment
                                      • BigDan
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 04-28-11
                                        • 5104

                                        #20
                                        pretty sure tcu/uva was a neutral site gm..still it takes 10 min for usc to score 7 points so not sure why they should cover this.. i passed on uga cause i didnt get it, not sure if i pass again or not..
                                        Comment
                                        • pacocn
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-05-10
                                          • 12934

                                          #21
                                          Ball State 85% so far, TCU 73% so far.
                                          Comment
                                          • BigDofBA
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 09-30-09
                                            • 19313

                                            #22
                                            Didn't TCU beat USC by 20 last year?

                                            All of those games look too easy.
                                            Comment
                                            • pacocn
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-05-10
                                              • 12934

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                                              But why? Seriously, +8 to a garbage USC team? TCU isn't a world-beater, but they did win at Virginia didn't they? Only thing I can figure is that Vegas is so reliant on KenPom's prediction numbers and he's been off this year. I've never seen such shitty/soft college basketball lines for such a long period of time to open a season -- public has just gobbled them up.
                                              My point i like TCU +7 and the ml
                                              Comment
                                              • BigDan
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 04-28-11
                                                • 5104

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                Didn't TCU beat USC by 20 last year?

                                                All of those games look too easy.

                                                12 i think..
                                                Comment
                                                • pacocn
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 07-05-10
                                                  • 12934

                                                  #25
                                                  Big Dan was right it was 12 at TCU
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BigDofBA
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 09-30-09
                                                    • 19313

                                                    #26
                                                    The only thing that scares me about taking TCU is how high the line is. I would like TCU more if USC was like -4.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • BigDan
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 04-28-11
                                                      • 5104

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by BigDofBA
                                                      The only thing that scares me about taking TCU is how high the line is. I would like TCU more if USC was like -4.


                                                      if this was the same season and in conf play the rule is back the fav (or short dog) who got drilled the previous gm. unfortunately it is not same season or conf play so im just babbling...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • No coincidences
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-18-10
                                                        • 76300

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by pacocn
                                                        My point i like TCU +7 and the ml
                                                        But there has to be a reason it's +7 and not +4, right?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #29
                                                          Louisiana-Monroe +28 at UNLV?

                                                          Look at ULM's scores this year and tell me if that makes any sense.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • RoadDog
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-11-11
                                                            • 2666

                                                            #30
                                                            I know, I was all over that +29 last night. Is Vegas buttering us up for something? Does the tide start to turn tomorrow?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • BernardMadoff
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 12-12-09
                                                              • 6679

                                                              #31
                                                              TCU struggles on the road. Hard to win at South Florida for whatever reason, Creighton aint really all that, Tulsa aint gonna go away easy.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RoadDog
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-11-11
                                                                • 2666

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by BernardMadoff
                                                                TCU struggles on the road. Hard to win at South Florida for whatever reason, Creighton aint really all that, Tulsa aint gonna go away easy.
                                                                Thats not true at all. TCU has played two road games:

                                                                They won @ Houston 81-80
                                                                They won @ Evansville 70-68
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BernardMadoff
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-12-09
                                                                  • 6679

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by RoadDog
                                                                  Thats not true at all. TCU has played two road games:

                                                                  They won @ Houston 81-80
                                                                  They won @ Evansville 70-68
                                                                  Im talking historically and they scraped by in those games, besides a good record they aint that good, Ive seen them, they play to the level of their competition. Their playing a perhaps a slightly higher rated SoCal team so no need to wonder why they are getting 7.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • RoadDog
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-11-11
                                                                    • 2666

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Sorry, but you must not watch USC. If you did, you'd be wondering the same thing we all are.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BernardMadoff
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 12-12-09
                                                                      • 6679

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Ive seen USC they play a slow pace and suck and the line is set to get close to balanced wagers, besides, its clear why the line opened at 7.
                                                                      Comment
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