Arkansas State +4 now. I worked on this thing last year based off the Ken Pomeroy ratings where you take a dog of +5 or more that is much better defensively. It hit really well but the rankings were more solid because I didn't get it rolling til more than halfway thru the season. Still this one is interesting.
Arkansas State 68th defensively while AP is 180th
Comment
firehoyt
SBR MVP
12-02-10
3569
#4
I've got em at +4.5. Hope it continues to grow. AP is pathetic this year.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#5
Yeah the market is shitting on me here and I don't know why. That is usually a bad sign.
Comment
HoulihansTX
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
02-12-09
30566
#6
It was RAS.
I like Ark even more
Comment
firehoyt
SBR MVP
12-02-10
3569
#7
RAS is on AP?
Comment
TPowell
SBR Posting Legend
02-21-08
18842
#8
good play. Arkansas State is well coached under Brady, while APSU has had the same coach since I was born (1990!!!!). The guy is simply an average coach at best, while Brady is an above average coach. APSU has plenty of talent with Edmonson and some other guys, but they don't play very smart basketball. I was hoping for more than 3.5 so I waited overnight. Hoping I can get this line around 5 or so
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#9
Now I am curious why RAS likes the Peay. I mean I get that Austin Peay's schedule is rated 18th, but by the same token, they also lost to Lipscomb and Bowling Green. Ark State just beat a Pomeroy Top 100 team on the road and they rank a good 68th in defensive efficiency.
Comment
BernardMadoff
SBR Hall of Famer
12-12-09
6679
#10
I think its more of Austin Peay is due for a win.
Comment
TPowell
SBR Posting Legend
02-21-08
18842
#11
Originally posted by LT Profits
Now I am curious why RAS likes the Peay. I mean I get that Austin Peay's schedule is rated 18th, but by the same token, they also lost to Lipscomb and Bowling Green. Ark State just beat a Pomeroy Top 100 team on the road and they rank a good 68th in defensive efficiency.
more individual talent on APSU, but thinking they have chemistry problems from my talks with somebody close to the program (live an hour from campus). If they put it together, they COULD run Arky State out of the gym but I have no reason to think that happens tonight
Comment
RoadDog
SBR MVP
05-11-11
2666
#12
After capping this game I felt that Arkansas St. is going to have a very tough time scoring and that was enough for me to make this a no play. That's all I can really think of here.
Comment
szyy604
SBR High Roller
11-07-11
107
#13
a lot of people seem to be on ark st today, kind of reminds me of the baylor matchup yesterday where they should be about -3 instead. But teams like peay and long beach state are gonna keep on getting juiced because of their ridiculous schedule i guess.
Btw lt, what do you think about the flo st game? no one seems to talk about them, 18.5 is way too much imo against a good shoont CSU. I know flo is the better school, more athletic, better on d. but 18.5??????
Comment
RoadDog
SBR MVP
05-11-11
2666
#14
Originally posted by szyy604
a lot of people seem to be on ark st today, kind of reminds me of the baylor matchup yesterday where they should be about -3 instead. But teams like peay and long beach state are gonna keep on getting juiced because of their ridiculous schedule i guess.
Btw lt, what do you think about the flo st game? no one seems to talk about them, 18.5 is way too much imo against a good shoont CSU. I know flo is the better school, more athletic, better on d. but 18.5??????
I'm actually leaning towards Char Southern as well
Comment
BernardMadoff
SBR Hall of Famer
12-12-09
6679
#15
Kinda think Peay covers, everybody knows Peay's record, if the Oddsmaker thought Ark. St. was more than likely to win this then the number would be closer to, I think they want you on Ark. St. for this game.
Comment
szyy604
SBR High Roller
11-07-11
107
#16
Originally posted by RoadDog
I'm actually leaning towards Char Southern as well
I'll probably use CSU for just my contests, and CSU, Boise -18 and maybe ark +4.5? but this line movement is really screwing with me.
Comment
mbs4
SBR Sharp
05-14-10
388
#17
Lt, are your plays from a system? Are you still playing Arkansas state with the line movement?
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#18
Originally posted by mbs4
Lt, are your plays from a system? Are you still playing Arkansas state with the line movement?
I put my bets in before I post them, so unfortunately I am locked in at +3.5 when game closed +5. Not a system por se, no, I combine a lot of stuff.
Comment
mbs4
SBR Sharp
05-14-10
388
#19
Originally posted by LT Profits
I put my bets in before I post them, so unfortunately I am locked in at +3.5 when game closed +5. Not a system por se, no, I combine a lot of stuff.
Thanks. Keep up the good work.
Comment
CollegeOverUnder
SBR Hall of Famer
10-20-10
5520
#20
good call on this one
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#21
What a comeback!
Comment
CollegeOverUnder
SBR Hall of Famer
10-20-10
5520
#22
oh crud i didn't see it went into OT sorry hope I didn't jinx this shit
Comment
No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#23
What a rollercoaster ride.
Reminds me of UCSB last week vs. UNLV.
Comment
TPowell
SBR Posting Legend
02-21-08
18842
#24
luckily I had +5 but tough break on the 3.5. Overtime
Comment
deadstare
SBR Wise Guy
10-02-11
661
#25
fukk man arkansas had it in the final seconds of regulation... thankfully i took +4.5
the idiots fouled AP with 2 seconds left in OT down by 3
Comment
Mr Handicapable
SBR Hall of Famer
09-23-07
6067
#26
My +5 is good.....3.5 not so much. That was a rollercoaster! Down 11 2H....then up 2 late....then OT....then down 8...lost hope and then they cut it to 4 to cover!!
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#27
Shit happens. If we all knew for sure which way the line will move, we'd all be millionaires. Luckily, I've been right more often than I've been wrong this year and this is one of the few times I got burned.
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#28
It was just one of those nights as I also lost an NHL UNDER 5.5 in a game that was 0-0 until 7:00 left in second period.
Comment
Quagmire27
SBR Wise Guy
09-30-09
626
#29
Originally posted by LT Profits
1 CBB Play Monay
Ultimate proof LT is a flamer... Friay Friay Friay
Comment
LT Profits
SBR Aristocracy
10-27-06
90963
#30
Originally posted by Quagmire27
Ultimate proof LT is a flamer... Friay Friay Friay
LOL. I'm surprised nobody caught that typo sooner. As for the flamer part, you'll have to check with my wife.