1 CBB Play Monay

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  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    1 CBB Play Monay
    Arkansas State +3.5 -107 (5 Dimes)

    YTD: 72-48, 60.0%, +20.81
  • balls2wall
    SBR MVP
    • 12-20-09
    • 2642

    #2
    Awesome start to the year LT


    keep up the good work
    Comment
    • Mr Handicapable
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-23-07
      • 6067

      #3
      Arkansas State +4 now. I worked on this thing last year based off the Ken Pomeroy ratings where you take a dog of +5 or more that is much better defensively. It hit really well but the rankings were more solid because I didn't get it rolling til more than halfway thru the season. Still this one is interesting.
      Arkansas State 68th defensively while AP is 180th
      Comment
      • firehoyt
        SBR MVP
        • 12-02-10
        • 3569

        #4
        I've got em at +4.5. Hope it continues to grow. AP is pathetic this year.
        Comment
        • LT Profits
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-27-06
          • 90963

          #5
          Yeah the market is shitting on me here and I don't know why. That is usually a bad sign.
          Comment
          • HoulihansTX
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 02-12-09
            • 30566

            #6
            It was RAS.

            I like Ark even more
            Comment
            • firehoyt
              SBR MVP
              • 12-02-10
              • 3569

              #7
              RAS is on AP?
              Comment
              • TPowell
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 02-21-08
                • 18842

                #8
                good play. Arkansas State is well coached under Brady, while APSU has had the same coach since I was born (1990!!!!). The guy is simply an average coach at best, while Brady is an above average coach. APSU has plenty of talent with Edmonson and some other guys, but they don't play very smart basketball. I was hoping for more than 3.5 so I waited overnight. Hoping I can get this line around 5 or so
                Comment
                • LT Profits
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-27-06
                  • 90963

                  #9
                  Now I am curious why RAS likes the Peay. I mean I get that Austin Peay's schedule is rated 18th, but by the same token, they also lost to Lipscomb and Bowling Green. Ark State just beat a Pomeroy Top 100 team on the road and they rank a good 68th in defensive efficiency.
                  Comment
                  • BernardMadoff
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 12-12-09
                    • 6679

                    #10
                    I think its more of Austin Peay is due for a win.
                    Comment
                    • TPowell
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 02-21-08
                      • 18842

                      #11
                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                      Now I am curious why RAS likes the Peay. I mean I get that Austin Peay's schedule is rated 18th, but by the same token, they also lost to Lipscomb and Bowling Green. Ark State just beat a Pomeroy Top 100 team on the road and they rank a good 68th in defensive efficiency.

                      more individual talent on APSU, but thinking they have chemistry problems from my talks with somebody close to the program (live an hour from campus). If they put it together, they COULD run Arky State out of the gym but I have no reason to think that happens tonight
                      Comment
                      • RoadDog
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-11-11
                        • 2666

                        #12
                        After capping this game I felt that Arkansas St. is going to have a very tough time scoring and that was enough for me to make this a no play. That's all I can really think of here.
                        Comment
                        • szyy604
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 11-07-11
                          • 107

                          #13
                          a lot of people seem to be on ark st today, kind of reminds me of the baylor matchup yesterday where they should be about -3 instead. But teams like peay and long beach state are gonna keep on getting juiced because of their ridiculous schedule i guess.

                          Btw lt, what do you think about the flo st game? no one seems to talk about them, 18.5 is way too much imo against a good shoont CSU. I know flo is the better school, more athletic, better on d. but 18.5??????
                          Comment
                          • RoadDog
                            SBR MVP
                            • 05-11-11
                            • 2666

                            #14
                            Originally posted by szyy604
                            a lot of people seem to be on ark st today, kind of reminds me of the baylor matchup yesterday where they should be about -3 instead. But teams like peay and long beach state are gonna keep on getting juiced because of their ridiculous schedule i guess.

                            Btw lt, what do you think about the flo st game? no one seems to talk about them, 18.5 is way too much imo against a good shoont CSU. I know flo is the better school, more athletic, better on d. but 18.5??????
                            I'm actually leaning towards Char Southern as well
                            Comment
                            • BernardMadoff
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-12-09
                              • 6679

                              #15
                              Kinda think Peay covers, everybody knows Peay's record, if the Oddsmaker thought Ark. St. was more than likely to win this then the number would be closer to, I think they want you on Ark. St. for this game.
                              Comment
                              • szyy604
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 11-07-11
                                • 107

                                #16
                                Originally posted by RoadDog

                                I'm actually leaning towards Char Southern as well
                                I'll probably use CSU for just my contests, and CSU, Boise -18 and maybe ark +4.5? but this line movement is really screwing with me.
                                Comment
                                • mbs4
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 05-14-10
                                  • 388

                                  #17
                                  Lt, are your plays from a system? Are you still playing Arkansas state with the line movement?
                                  Comment
                                  • LT Profits
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 10-27-06
                                    • 90963

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by mbs4
                                    Lt, are your plays from a system? Are you still playing Arkansas state with the line movement?
                                    I put my bets in before I post them, so unfortunately I am locked in at +3.5 when game closed +5. Not a system por se, no, I combine a lot of stuff.
                                    Comment
                                    • mbs4
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 05-14-10
                                      • 388

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by LT Profits
                                      I put my bets in before I post them, so unfortunately I am locked in at +3.5 when game closed +5. Not a system por se, no, I combine a lot of stuff.
                                      Thanks. Keep up the good work.
                                      Comment
                                      • CollegeOverUnder
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-20-10
                                        • 5520

                                        #20
                                        good call on this one
                                        Comment
                                        • No coincidences
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-18-10
                                          • 76300

                                          #21
                                          What a comeback!
                                          Comment
                                          • CollegeOverUnder
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 10-20-10
                                            • 5520

                                            #22
                                            oh crud i didn't see it went into OT sorry hope I didn't jinx this shit
                                            Comment
                                            • No coincidences
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-18-10
                                              • 76300

                                              #23
                                              What a rollercoaster ride.

                                              Reminds me of UCSB last week vs. UNLV.
                                              Comment
                                              • TPowell
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 02-21-08
                                                • 18842

                                                #24
                                                luckily I had +5 but tough break on the 3.5. Overtime
                                                Comment
                                                • deadstare
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 10-02-11
                                                  • 661

                                                  #25
                                                  fukk man arkansas had it in the final seconds of regulation... thankfully i took +4.5
                                                  the idiots fouled AP with 2 seconds left in OT down by 3

                                                  Comment
                                                  • Mr Handicapable
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-23-07
                                                    • 6067

                                                    #26
                                                    My +5 is good.....3.5 not so much. That was a rollercoaster! Down 11 2H....then up 2 late....then OT....then down 8...lost hope and then they cut it to 4 to cover!!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #27
                                                      Shit happens. If we all knew for sure which way the line will move, we'd all be millionaires. Luckily, I've been right more often than I've been wrong this year and this is one of the few times I got burned.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LT Profits
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-27-06
                                                        • 90963

                                                        #28
                                                        It was just one of those nights as I also lost an NHL UNDER 5.5 in a game that was 0-0 until 7:00 left in second period.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Quagmire27
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 09-30-09
                                                          • 626

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                          1 CBB Play Monay
                                                          Ultimate proof LT is a flamer... Friay Friay Friay
                                                          Comment
                                                          • LT Profits
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-27-06
                                                            • 90963

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Quagmire27
                                                            Ultimate proof LT is a flamer... Friay Friay Friay
                                                            LOL. I'm surprised nobody caught that typo sooner. As for the flamer part, you'll have to check with my wife.
                                                            Comment
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