Superman's 2011/2012 CBB Picks

[SupermanX]

Hey guys, Im new to the forum, mainly come here to follow hockey picks cuz I suck at capping hockey. Anyway, I know how this works usually....Guy has been doing well, wants to post his picks, then gets murdered the first few nights lol.......Lets hope things are a lil different this time around.

I play alot of picks with varying units from 1x up to 10x, 10x being my best plays of the night of course, its early in the season so we'll see slightly more variance than usual but variance works both ways, lets keep it on the upside.

12/1/ Plays:

10u M Tenn -4.5
10u Kentucky -22
9u Davidson -6.5
9u Georgia State -9.5
8u Charleston OVER 142
8u Loyola IL UNDER 122
8u Tenn Chat +1.5
7u Loyola IL 1H UNDER 56.5
7u San Francisco +5.5
7u St Bon -11.5
7u Kentucky 1H -13
6u Miss +1
6u Detroit -8.5
6u Cleveland St -6
5u M Tenn 1H -2.5
5u Samford -1.5
5u Kent -14
4u M Tenn OVER 137
4u Siena +5
4u Marist +13
4u Davidson 1H UNDER 60.5
4u George Wash. 1H +6.5
4u Murray 1H UNDER 61.5
4u Alabama -7.5
4u Tenn Chat 1H UNDER 64.5
4u S. Carolina 1H UNDER 62
3u Murray UNDER 133
3u Siena UNDER 120.5
3u Marist 1H +7
3u S. Carolina -5
3u San Francisco 1H +3
3u Miss 1H Under 68.5
2u San Francisco 1H UNDER 63
2u Samford UNDER 126
2u Davidson 1H -3.5
2u Tenn Chat UNDER 138.5
1u Charleston 1H -9.5
1u Marist 1H UNDER
1u Miss 1H +.5
1u St Bon 1H UNDER 57

[SupermanX]

ADDING...

4u UNC Greensboro 1H UNDER 67.5

[spankmythighs]

GL

[makaylismama]

Let's get them Superman!

[SupermanX]

GL

Thanks buddy, gl.

[SupermanX]

Wow, Talk about a frustrating night!! This was one of those nights where if you looked away for a second, a game flipped on you. We had 5 games comes down to a half a point and we werent on the upside of those. Kentucky gives up a late meaningless rally to push, Marist blew a massive lead to push in the final seconds, M Tenn ST 1H went the same way.... All decided by 1/2 point.

This really was a night where depending what time you placed your bets, you're either down 1u or up 30u lol, kinda sick.

For the night, We went........

19-20-2
-1u

Disappointing by my standards but we'll get em back tonight.

[SupermanX]

12/2 Plays:

20u Iona OVER 163
20u Iona -13.5
10u Iona 1H OVER 77
10u Iona 1H -7.5
8u Cinn UNDER 123
8u Cinn 1H UNDER 57
8u Florida +6.5
6u Oklahoma OVER 135.5
4u Nevada +4.5
4u Nevada 1H UNDER 70
3u Fairfield 1H -4
3u Columbia 1H UNDER 62
3u Lousiville 1H UNDER 63
3u Fairfield -7.5
2u Florida OVER 147
2u Rider -4.5
1u Florida 1H +4
1u Oklahoma -20

YTD:
Overall: 19-20-2 (-9.1)
Top Plays: 2-1-1 +8.27

[makaylismama]

I was one of those that got to cash in on Kentucky! Gl tonight playa!

[SupermanX]

FML. Period.

Running behind so ill update later but Plays up til 2:00....
10u Kentucky
8u Kentucky 1H
9u Iowa St
8u Richmond
8u Valpraiso
4u Valpraiso 1H
4u WI-Milwaukee
3u Cleveland St
3u WI-Mil UNDER
3u WI-Mil 1H UNDER
3u Kentucky 1H UNDER
3u Iowa St 1H UNDER

[SupermanX]

Ok now to catch up, yesterday was an awesome day, only got some of my picks posted but heres all the catch up work........
20u Iona OVER 163
20u Iona -13.5
10u Iona 1H OVER 77
10u Iona 1H -7.5
8u Cinn UNDER 123
8u Cinn 1H UNDER 57
8u Florida +6.5
6u Oklahoma OVER 135.5
4u Nevada +4.5
4u Nevada 1H UNDER 70
3u Fairfield 1H -4
3u Columbia 1H UNDER 62
3u Lousiville 1H UNDER 63
3u Fairfield -7.5
2u Florida OVER 147
2u Rider -4.5
1u Florida 1H +4
1u Oklahoma -20
12-6, -18.64
Clearly, put all my eggs in one basket and screwed myself....Too much weight on too little games.

10u Kentucky - WIN
8u Kentucky 1H - LOSE
9u Iowa St - LOSE
8u Richmond - WIN
8u Valpraiso - WIN
4u Valpraiso 1H - WIN
4u WI-Milwaukee - LOSE
3u Cleveland St - WIN
3u WI-Mil UNDER - LOSE
3u WI-Mil 1H UNDER - WIN
3u Kentucky 1H UNDER - LOSE
3u Iowa St 1H UNDER – WIN
7-5, +8.45

4u N Iowa - LOSE
4u Iowa - WIN
3u Ball St - WIN
3u Xavier - LOSE
3u Gonzaga - LOSE
2u Gonzaga 1H Under - WIN
7u Hofstra - LOSE
8u Deleware - WIN
6u Delaware 1H - WIN
4u Charleston - LOSE
3u Charlestone 1h - LOSE
3u Tulsa - LOSE
4u Wisconsin - LOSE
10u Texas - WIN
8u Texas 1H - LOSE
6u Texas OVER – LOSE
6-10, -15

10u Oregon St - WIN
10u Fairfield - WIN
6u Stanford - LOSE
4u Clemson - LOSE
10u VA Commonwealth - WIN
4u VA Commonwealth 1H - WIN
6u M Tenn St - WIN
3u Marist - WIN
3u Manhattan – WIN
7-2, +31.8

After that Iona DISASTER on the 2nd, I retooled my numbers a little bit since its so early and it shows with a +25u posted record past 2 days, like i said, only got half my plays posted yesterday so it should have been more but legit is legit.

Overall: 51-43-2 (-2.3)
So after dropping 60u on Iona on the 2nd, only down 2.3 units overall.......that bomb wont be happening again.

[SupermanX]

Mon 12/5 Plays:

10u Boise State -18
8u Arkansas State +3.5
4u Detroit +1
4u Elon Under 145.5
4u Depaul -3

1st Half Plays coming later

[SupermanX]

1st Half Plays:

6u Boise State 1H -10
7u Arkansas State 1H +2
3u Detroit 1H +.5
3u Providence 1H -7
4u Elon 1H Under 69

[SupermanX]

Adding......

3u Providence -12.5

[SupermanX]

Nice solid night last night, Elon once again bent me over though so Im just gonna stay away from them for awhile.

Tuesday 12/6 Plays:

10u Missouri -8
10u Marquette -8
8u Kent -1
5u Missouri 1H -4
5u Memphis 1H +.5
5u Marquette 1H -4
4u E. Carolina +1
3u TCU -6.5
3u N. Iowa -8
3u Kansas -12.5
3u Marquette Under 156.5
2u Missouri Under 149.5

Im really loving the marquette game, trying to restrain from making it a 20u game...Might upgrade later on if I cant find a reason not to.

I have some more leans but we'll see how if they become plays later on. So we're finally in the positive recovering from the 60u Iona beatdown last week.
OVERALL: 59-47-2, +12.33 Units

[SupermanX]

ADDING.....
2u Northeastern +2
2u Northeastern ML (+110)
2u Marquette 1H UNDER 74
2u Syracuse 1H Under 65.5

[SupermanX]

Adding...

I dont normally do this but this card seems a good spot to.......

4u, 4.5 Point Teaser (+315)
George Mason +14.5
Northeastern +6.5
Marquette -3
Memphis +6

[jack1go]

Nice solid night last night, Elon once again bent me over though so Im just gonna stay away from them for awhile.

Tuesday 12/6 Plays:

10u Missouri -8
10u Marquette -8
8u Kent -1
5u Missouri 1H -4
5u Memphis 1H +.5
5u Marquette 1H -4
4u E. Carolina +1
3u TCU -6.5
3u N. Iowa -8
3u Kansas -12.5
3u Marquette Under 156.5
2u Missouri Under 149.5

Im really loving the marquette game, trying to restrain from making it a 20u game...Might upgrade later on if I cant find a reason not to.

I have some more leans but we'll see how if they become plays later on. So we're finally in the positive recovering from the 60u Iona beatdown last week.
OVERALL: 59-47-2, +12.33 Units

[SupermanX]

We're gonna let Syracuse 1H Under ride and take the 2nd half under

2u Syracuse 2H Under 72.5

[SupermanX]

We're going to take our winnings from Mizzou 1H and let them ride here taking .....

4u Mizzou 2H -1

with as GOD AWFUL as they were shooting in this game, (37%!!!) to even be in this game is a miracle let alone to be leading by double digits. We're outrebounding them and not turning the ball over. Averaging 57% FG for the season, i fully expect them to step it up and start shooting around 45% the 2nd half and when we start hitting 45%++ we're really gonna roll them. I look for them to continue to dominate the boards and get somewhat hot the rest of the game and win this one nicely.

[Dom177]

OVERALL: 59-47-2, +12.33 Units

Good job so far, definitely going to start tailing some of these since i'm new to college bball. What exactly is a top play for you, 10u? Or is it just anything from like 8 and up? Thanks man

[SupermanX]

Hey buddy, thanks. Generally It'd be my 9u or 10u plays that i consider my top plays. Very rarely will I have a 20u play especially after getting burnt on my last ones but I think i got that lil glitch figured out now. If you're new, check out guys like filmoz, madhatter, collegeoverunder, lt profits, young buck etc.........all these guys really know their stuff and you'll learn things reading their insights on games.

[SupermanX]

Well unfortunetaly they didnt heat up enough to hit some free throws at the end to win our 2H but still up 15 units so far tonight with 3/4 of the bets still live, hopefully we keep it up.

[SupermanX]

Adding....

5u Marquette 2H -4

[SupermanX]

Started off great then faded as marquette let me down. Was a flat night going 9-10, -2.64.

OVERALL: 68-57-2, +9.69

Wednesday, 12/7 Plays:

20u Boise State -13.5
10u Va Tech -6
10u Buffalo -7.5
10u Wisconsin -19
8u Buffalo 1H -4.5
8u Boise State 1H -7.5
8u M. Tennesee -3
6u Davidson +2.5
6u N. Arizona -1.5
6u Florida 1H -6.5
5u Va Tech 1H -3.5
4u Manhattan Under 131
4u Florida -11
4u Davidson 1H +1.5
4u Manhattan 1H Under 61
4u N. Arizona 1H -.5
4u Manhattan -7.5
3u Purdue -25
3u S. Alabama +3.5
3u Air Force -7
2u Iona -2
2u Toledo +11.5
2u Moorehead State +3.5
2u Mizz State -2
2u Toledo 1H +6.5

[makaylismama]

NO picks today

[SupermanX]

So the good news for last night.....Top plays went 4-0 for +45.4 units. Bad news, every other fukcing game lost! Well for the most part. 8-14-2 on the night. What a disgrace. And btw, FU middle tennesee. Anyway, still rounded out the night completely flat again with a 6 unit loss. Im tightening down for a lil while, my top plays minus iona on the 2nd are 11-2-1, +98.17 this week and including iona are 11-6-1, +38.17.....My biggest problem right now is im missing 1st halves by a basket. Last night I went 1-6-1 in 1st halves. Needless to say, todays top play is....a first half play

12/8 Plays:

10u West Virginia 1st Half +2.5
3u West Virginia 1H ML +150
2u West Virginia +4.5
2u West Virginia ML +175

8u Providence Under 141
3u Providence 1st Half Under 67
3u Providence -13

[Maddhatter]

Hey buddy, thanks. Generally It'd be my 9u or 10u plays that i consider my top plays. Very rarely will I have a 20u play especially after getting burnt on my last ones but I think i got that lil glitch figured out now. If you're new, check out guys like filmoz, madhatter, collegeoverunder, lt profits, young buck etc.........all these guys really know their stuff and you'll learn things reading their insights on games.

Thanks for the compliment bud! Love the WV 1H pick. K St is talented but for some reason they don't focus for the 1H of games as much as they do 2H. Coming from behind in games when they should have the lead throughout. On it also. Let's get it!

[SupermanX]

Thanks hatter, def agree, it was my top rated play tonight. Was strong enough to be a 20u play but after last night I didnt have the confidence to make it one.


That WVU 1H ML shoulda won but cant complain. Plays coming later.

Nice solid night, 5-2, +18.41 units.

[SupermanX]

After 1 week of a roller coaster ride the record looks like this.....

Past 5 days, top plays: 12-2, +100.89

OVERALL: 81-73-4, +20.92

Re-tooled numbers on the 3rd, and now Im tightening up my standards to try and improve the win% and keep some of those units from the top plays.



Wow this card sucks, not much value on this one IMO.

12/9 Plays:

3u Iowa State -9.5
3u Oregon St. -13
2u Oregon St. 1H -7.5
2u Oregon St. Over
2u Wyoming Under

[SupermanX]

12/10 Plays:

10u Tennessee -12.5
3u BYU -22.5
6u Wisconsin -8.5
6u Toledo -4.5
9u Princeton +6.5
4u Princeton Under 113
2u Michigan Under 153
10u M. Tennessee -20
6u Buffalo Under 142
4u WVU -6.5
3u Valpraiso -7.5
6u E. Illinois Over 124
2u Weber St Over 139.5

1st Half Plays later......

[SupermanX]

12/10 1st Half Plays:

6u Tennessee -7.5
3u BYU -13
4u Wisconsin -4.5
4u Toledo -4
9u Princeton +3.5
4u Under 51
4u Clemson +3.5
3u M. Tennessee -12.5
3u Buffalo Under 66.5
3u WVU -3.5
2u Vapraiso -4
2u Weber State -6.5

[SupermanX]

12/11 Plays:

20U New mexico State -5.5
10u Iona +2
10u Illinois -18
5u FSU -25.5
5u Montana -6

[SupermanX]

That was without a doubt the most pitiful 2 days of betting in my entire life. Im bout to start fading myself at this point.

12/12 Plays:
5u Portland State +14.5
3u Portland State 1H +8
3u Siena Under 128.5

[SupermanX]

Hopefully I can gain some footing with the small win last night. Sticking with a few plays til things get back on track.

12/13 Plays:

5u UC Santa Barbera -9.5
4u Wisconsin -10
5u Wyoming -16
3u Wyoming 1H -9
Leans: Florida Atlantic +14.5, Drexel -6,

[SupermanX]

Ok so after a miserable 4 days I have redesigned my system adjusting the amount of weight I put on each statistic. Its still early in the season so of course a statistical based formula can only go so far and thats why it just isnt going so well. Im still in the positive in the win % but down 19.76 units since 12/01. Ive been tracking my adjustments and its a vast improvment, still not perfect but its certainly more consistant and solid. I always start this way in any sport, slow and flat and then it turns up for the rest of the year. With that being said, Im implementing the new version now cuz to be honest, it cant get any worse that it has been the past 4 days lol. Version 1 ends at 119-114-7, -19.76u, Begin Version 2.

12/14 Plays:
7u Cinn -4
5u UL Lafayette +14
4u Maryland -11
4u Depaul -11.5
3u E. Washington +8
1u Tenn +3.5