4 Plays with mini write ups

[chiliv5]

Toledo -1.5
This looks better on paper for Wilmington, who is 3-1 ATS, and Toledo hasn't really played anyone. But they covered vs Maryland, Marshall and Davidson who I don't think any of the are great. Maryland looked ok last night. UNC has one guy that avg's 15 and one with 13 then 6 points is their next highest scorer. PEarson for Tol scores 20, with 3 other in double figures. Anyway, Toledo hasn't played anyone but Ill-Chi and won by 15 with the spread -2.5. I don't have a ton (none) stock in UNC Wilmington. So, Toledo gets this one by a bucket at home.

La Salle -4.5
They are 4-1 ATS. I am in fade mode after N'eastern just beat St. John's (overrated win) traveling to La Salle. N'eastern got drilled at Umass, which I don't think they will get drilled tonight, but I think La Salle by 8-10 pulling away late.

Creighton +2.5/ML
They are lights out behind the arc. If they are even close to shooting a normal game they win this outright. All there is to this one.

Ohio +7.5
This was a 1 point game last year. Both teams are very close statistically, with Ohio having a good advantage from 3. I think this may come down to Ohio fouling at the end, but maybe a 5 point win by Marshall not 8.

[ThingsFallApart]

Betting on mid majors and shitty teams never ends well. These games are so unpredictable they are essentially a coin toss even if you know the teams well.

I do like Creighton though, MVC is about the lowest I can go without just throwing my money on a roulette table.

[NickJ3]

I like the write ups explaining the picks best of luck to you. Might throw some units on the creighton game

[uxler]

Toledo not a good bet tonight. They are almost 100 spots behind UNCW on Pomeroy ratings due to their extremely weak schedule. UNCW in a good spot to pick up their first win tonight against a team they beat by 18 last year. And dont forget, Toledo opened the season with a loss to Texas State at home, making them the only D1 team Texas State has beaten this year.

[chiliv5]

Yeah they lost to Tx St. 94-91. My thoughts they weren't ready to play, figured it was a win and lost. That sure goes against why I am playing them, but it could be an easy answer. Who knows, liked how they won their last one at home vs. Ill-Chicago enough to think they may get this one tonight.... being at home is key in a close game....

[uxler]

BOL but I dont think it will be very close. I've got UNCW by 6-8 points.

[chiliv5]

Did you take them?

[uxler]

$160.00$1,040.00Pending3 Team Parlay



Pending11/30/11 7:00pm College Basketball 745 NC Wilmington +150* vs Toledo



Pending11/30/11 7:30pm College Basketball 761 Florida State +9½ -175* vs Michigan State



Pending11/30/11 8:00pm College Basketball 775 UAB -4 -110* vs South Alabama

[chiliv5]

I did take a look at that UAB game. I would have been on your side on that one.

[chiliv5]

well a freshman has 17 at half againt Tol.. if they can figure him out and make someone else score this may be interesting, or if he doesnt shoot 70% from the floor the 2nd half.... Toledo by 6 2nd half to cover!

[uxler]

Smith dropped 23 on Maryland, but hopefully someone else can step it up for UNCW 2nd half. Would have liked a bigger lead at the break.

[chiliv5]

man that smith can play.... why did he go to Wilmington?

[chiliv5]

not a bad start 3-0, calling Toledo by 2 was right on the mark! hope creighton rolls it for a perfect night!