Lorne's 2011-12 NCAA Thread

[Lorne]

Hey guys, new here but been capping for years now. Fade or follow at your own risk. I'm sure I will have some people who hate me or love me. I have a math model that has worked for me, and play a money-management game, so thought it would be fun to keep track of my plays throughout the year. So thanks for checking in and hopefully I can be of some help to someone. I'm starting with a bankroll of 1,000 dollars and will be playing everything I post. 1 unit for me is $100, just so you know how I will be playing my own money.

Plays for Tuesday 11/15/11

Colorado St -4.5 1 unit

George Mason -12.5 1.5 units

Stanford -15 2 units


All in all tonight im risking $450. All 3 bets are based off of -110.

[Lorne]

Plays for Tuesday 11/15/11

Colorado St -4.5 1 unit WIN

George Mason -12.5 1.5 units LOSS

Stanford -15 2 units WIN


Well day one showed a profit as I went 2-1 +1.5 units. I will have my plays for today out soon once I run my math model on the games today. Thanks again for reading.

[Lorne]

Will add throughout the day. The first game I see that my math model likes is...

Duke -6 1.5 Units

[Ktown]

Great start! Good luck with your plays.

[Lorne]

Thanks ktown, Bol to you too.

[Lorne]

Okay I am done capping for today, might add a play later if more lines come out, but I think this is way more than enough for today.

Tuesday 11/15/11

Duke -6 1.5 Units
Texas -15 1 Unit
Northern Colorado +5 1 Unit
San Diego St. +9 2 Units
Utah State +3 2.5 Units

[Lorne]

What a horrible day for me and my handicapping. Duke was up 20 and should have covered if not for their 5 sec violation. San Diego st would have pushed if I would have waited for the +10. The other 3 bets were just not what I expected and just went with the horrible day.

So in all Tuesday I went 0-5, down 8 units on the day.

For the year I'm 2-6 -6.5 units

[Lorne]

Tuesday 11/15/11

Duke -6 1.5 Units LOSS
Texas -15 1 Unit LOSS
Northern Colorado +5 1 Unit LOSS
San Diego St. +9 2 Units LOSS
Utah State +3 2.5 Units LOSS

YEAR TO DATE 2-6 -6.5 UNITS

[Lorne]

Hopefully my system can start to bring me out of a hole. Sticking with it because it has been profitable over the season for me thus far in the past. Only three plays tonight.

Wednesday 11-16-11

Pittsburgh -13.5 1.5 UNITS
Tenn -21.5 1 Unit
Princeton +13 1 Unit

[Ktown]

A winning Wednesday, tailed you for a unit each. plus the fact I liked them as well

[Lorne]

Thanks Ktown, hopefully we can keep being in the positive.

Wednesday 11-16-11

Pittsburgh -13.5 1.5 UNITS LOSS
Tenn -21.5 1 Unit WIN
Princeton +13 1 Unit WIN

Year to date 4-7 -6 UNITS

[Lorne]

Four plays today, trying to get my bankroll back up because I would have made some of these 2 unit plays if I had the bankroll. Here are the four plays my system likes today.

Thursday 11-17-11

Pacific +14
Purdue -3.5
Northwestern -9
Maryland +8