NCAA Basketball with John Ryan

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  • tzMoney
    SBR Sharp
    • 04-16-10
    • 331

    #141
    While I am a fan of John Ryan, I am not a follower of Washington. I've made a few bucks off of Marquette this season and while I studied this game for about 5 minutes I think Marquette is a scary team when they are on. But due for a letdown, they are very deceptive when they're off. The neutral ground should make this one closer.
    Comment
    • spike1519
      SBR High Roller
      • 10-07-11
      • 145

      #142
      Great pick John thanks again. Don't know what happened to hawaii or Miami but i split tonight with my picks. I'll take that. rather than a loss and with the odds actually won a few bucks. If i was a newbie to football I'm an infant at college basketball. Look forward to a good time with this thread I.E hopefully no J.R's lol this sports stuff has meant alot to me after coming home without some friends of mine you've really helped me keep my mind on other things. Want you to know it means alot to me regardless of the money. Lay a wreath on a veterens grave on the 10th of december there provided in most locations. That said thanks again John ...........spike.............
      Comment
      • John Ryan
        SBR MVP
        • 11-20-10
        • 2428

        #143
        The 8 1/2 was at Ladbrokes and bookmaker. It must have come down right after the posting. Sorry about that. Don't ever not make a pick because of a subsequent line movement. These events will always even themselves out over time. Thanks again
        Comment
        • John Ryan
          SBR MVP
          • 11-20-10
          • 2428

          #144
          Originally posted by spike1519
          Great pick John thanks again. Don't know what happened to hawaii or Miami but i split tonight with my picks. I'll take that. rather than a loss and with the odds actually won a few bucks. If i was a newbie to football I'm an infant at college basketball. Look forward to a good time with this thread I.E hopefully no J.R's lol this sports stuff has meant alot to me after coming home without some friends of mine you've really helped me keep my mind on other things. Want you to know it means alot to me regardless of the money. Lay a wreath on a veterens grave on the 10th of december there provided in most locations. That said thanks again John ...........spike.............
          Spike, I would be honored to do that at several cemeteries on December 10. I will make some rounds with some buddies of mine. Awesome idea.
          Comment
          • spike1519
            SBR High Roller
            • 10-07-11
            • 145

            #145
            Originally posted by John Ryan
            Spike, I would be honored to do that at several cemeteries on December 10. I will make some rounds with some buddies of mine. Awesome idea.
            off subject I know but get in touch with a V.A or boy scouts of america or a patriot guard riders group in your area and they will hook you up with the wreaths. My group will be escorting 3 semi's full of them in georgia and Alabama. nuff said. Wow what a night of hoops tonight a full schedule and some decent lines out there just starting to look at them now. The books have this stuffed nailed pretty good but I was concidering some games like Tulsa V.S Wichita or Georgia Tech V.s Georgia also Delaware V.S Pensylvania, mid Tenn V.S U.A.B or Illinois V.S Morehead to name a few. Looks like alot of work ahead of me today hope you got some good ones John cause I'm all over the place lol..........spike.........
            Comment
            • spike1519
              SBR High Roller
              • 10-07-11
              • 145

              #146
              man I gotta tell ya I dont see any reason why middle tenesee st is only favored by 4 points over uab this game should be a blow out uab hasnt scored 0ver 56 all year except one game. Tenn. scores in the 70's and 80's against much better competition am i missing something why is this just a 4 point spread looks like easy money unless theres somethin I'm missing anyone know? .........spike.............
              Comment
              • Urbanwildlife
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-06-11
                • 5958

                #147
                That is exactly the question I am also asking spike1519, and hopefully someone will respond.
                Comment
                • spike1519
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 10-07-11
                  • 145

                  #148
                  I took Middle Tenn for 5* it's my first 5* bet that is actually one hundred a unit. I've used the kelly system to build my Bankroll and yesterday was the first day that my unit's finally built up enough to be $100. So today and from now on (hopefully) my units are $100 wish me luck ........... A nervous.......spike........... (mind you I'm not stating that John is betting this I'm just saying that I'm betting it, still looking forward to Johns picks for tonight if any)
                  Comment
                  • balls2wall
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-20-09
                    • 2642

                    #149
                    Originally posted by spike1519
                    I took Middle Tenn for 5* it's my first 5* bet that is actually one hundred a unit. I've used the kelly system to build my Bankroll and yesterday was the first day that my unit's finally built up enough to be $100. So today and from now on (hopefully) my units are $100 wish me luck ........... A nervous.......spike........... (mind you I'm not stating that John is betting this I'm just saying that I'm betting it, still looking forward to Johns picks for tonight if any)


                    Good luck with the higher units spike.

                    When I bump mine up it is usually followed by a slide in my winning %. Funny how that happens, not


                    Comment
                    • supbro
                      Restricted User
                      • 11-03-11
                      • 15

                      #150
                      any picks for tonight john?
                      Comment
                      • SlickRick1382
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-15-11
                        • 3838

                        #151
                        Originally posted by spike1519
                        I took Middle Tenn for 5* it's my first 5* bet that is actually one hundred a unit. I've used the kelly system to build my Bankroll and yesterday was the first day that my unit's finally built up enough to be $100. So today and from now on (hopefully) my units are $100 wish me luck ........... A nervous.......spike........... (mind you I'm not stating that John is betting this I'm just saying that I'm betting it, still looking forward to Johns picks for tonight if any)
                        Good luck buddy. I'm sure it's going to work out for you ...
                        Comment
                        • John Ryan
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-20-10
                          • 2428

                          #152
                          I have a 5* play On Delaware +4 -110 versus Penn.
                          5* play Colorado State +22 1/2 versus Duke
                          5* Idaho -2 versus Washington State


                          These three plays. I will get these out at 4:00 PM ET from now on in order to provide more time for everyone to get them. Thanks again and BOL.
                          Comment
                          • John Ryan
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-20-10
                            • 2428

                            #153
                            Originally posted by spike1519
                            man I gotta tell ya I dont see any reason why middle tenesee st is only favored by 4 points over uab this game should be a blow out uab hasnt scored 0ver 56 all year except one game. Tenn. scores in the 70's and 80's against much better competition am i missing something why is this just a 4 point spread looks like easy money unless theres somethin I'm missing anyone know? .........spike.............
                            I checked all of my resources for possible injuries and suspensions. Cam up empty. BUt I agree with all of you and for that exact reason this line smells like a trap to me. It makes no sense at all, but this is one of those head scratchers that if it is too good to be true, (and the public is all over MTS), then it probably is too good to be true.

                            I certainly don't want to minimize someone's conviction on MTS, but I would suggest passing on this game. I wouldn't be surprised if UAB wins.
                            Comment
                            • spike1519
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 10-07-11
                              • 145

                              #154
                              and I think your right John again 18 years experience pay's off with just plain common sense gambling on sports, something I'm gonna have to learn. The hard way of course lol, I will keep trying but it looks pretty ugly right now. Sometimes the best lessons are the hardest learned ones......spike...........
                              Comment
                              • degenerate23
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 11-30-11
                                • 103

                                #155
                                tough day at the office for us John, lets hope the 10 in a row come soon
                                Comment
                                • willybc
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 11-03-11
                                  • 10

                                  #156
                                  I won a 4team parlay, UAB moneyline, Pepperdine ML, wisconsin -20 and bonaventure +10. I think im starting to understand some traps
                                  Comment
                                  • tzMoney
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 04-16-10
                                    • 331

                                    #157
                                    Any thoughts on this one John? Tonight's card is crappy but I like Western Michigan to pull of an upset.

                                    Western Michigan is 1-6 but has played a lot tougher competition than Detroit 4-6. Detroit is 0-3 on 2 days rest and the public likes them due to the recent win against St. John.

                                    Concensus is 79% in favor of Detroit -5 and 96% on the Detroit ML.

                                    Post matchups favor Western Michigan with the 7" 280 lb center.
                                    Guard matchups favor Detroit with their 6"7 stud guard Chase Simon.

                                    I think this line will move in Western Michigan's favor throughout the day. It's already at +5.5 from +4.5 -- I'm hoping to grab it at +6 by the end of the day.

                                    DET are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
                                    DET are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. Mid-American.
                                    • Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. win.
                                    • Broncos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
                                    • Broncos are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
                                    Comment
                                    • John Ryan
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-20-10
                                      • 2428

                                      #158
                                      For Thursday night:

                                      5* play on Oral Roberts plus 6 -110 over Oklahoma
                                      5* play on Western Michigan plus 5 -110 over Detroit
                                      5* play HARVARD CRIMSON plus 6 -110 over UCONN


                                      See above about the WM 'Paint Presence' Laugh. great research by tzMoney. Thanks!!!!
                                      Comment
                                      • John Ryan
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-20-10
                                        • 2428

                                        #159
                                        Book Keeping: 16-19-1 ATS through 36, 5* releases. I am surprised we have not had any 10* Titan come up yet, but rest assured the 10 and 20* plays will appear...

                                        Speaking fo 10* plays I have on on the NFL thread for tonight's Cleveland-Pittsburgh game. Thanks again. Sorry for the sub standard start, but rest assured things will get a whole lot better. March Madness has nearly ALWAYS been my best month of the calendar year. It seems that CBB and the NBA get better and better as the season unfolds. There will, of course, be losing streaks in April, but they are generally short lived.
                                        Comment
                                        • jjaycuny
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-01-11
                                          • 1617

                                          #160
                                          Thanks for the picks, BOL
                                          Comment
                                          • snoopaloop31
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 11-22-11
                                            • 422

                                            #161
                                            Thanks JR
                                            Comment
                                            • rockaflocka
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 08-07-10
                                              • 482

                                              #162
                                              GL tonight john
                                              Comment
                                              • cjjohn11
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 10-21-11
                                                • 14

                                                #163
                                                John,

                                                Dont know if anybody has asked you this before, but do you use public betting trends or "reverse line movement" when analyzing basketball games, or any games for that matter?
                                                Comment
                                                • chief42
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 01-06-10
                                                  • 315

                                                  #164
                                                  man these college bball are killing me from making any headway, lets hope this ship gets turned around soon
                                                  Comment
                                                  • chief42
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 01-06-10
                                                    • 315

                                                    #165
                                                    on a positive note, betting the second half of these seems to work out much better. I haven't checked all of them, but seems that way recently.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JJJ
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-03-11
                                                      • 2610

                                                      #166
                                                      at this rate wont be able to make it to March wow
                                                      Comment
                                                      • willybc
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 11-03-11
                                                        • 10

                                                        #167
                                                        record 16-22-1 0-6 last 2 days. are u kidding me? your analysis is not working john, you should change something in your simulator.
                                                        by just probability, if any person picks randomly 6 picks, at least they are hitting 2. you have been very very unlucky and
                                                        hopefully you get back on track soon because you are starting to lose credibility.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • spike1519
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 10-07-11
                                                          • 145

                                                          #168
                                                          Wow, since I started betting hundred dollar units I've lost every bet lol am I suddenly jinxed. Feeling like irregardless of the odds I may need to just pick some m/l winners to break this cycle as alway's thank's so much for your hard work and the pick's John I can feel were on the verge of something great. A few guy's in my unit wish to also send there thanx so I'm passing that along for them as well............spike........ For all of you who are doubting John just because of a slump I'm here to tell you I've followed him all thru pro Football and theres been slumps there to. Learn what a neural network is and you will see that it takes alot of info before it can make it's best Decisions it is still early in the season. I really take offense to anyone who says John is losing or has no CREDIBILITY. if you've only bet his picks it means one thing you can't make your own so dont bite the hand that will be feeding you or question his credibility he is a great guy and I'd be proud to have him in my fox hole any day of the week !!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • spike1519
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 10-07-11
                                                            • 145

                                                            #169
                                                            Originally posted by John Ryan
                                                            I checked all of my resources for possible injuries and suspensions. Cam up empty. BUt I agree with all of you and for that exact reason this line smells like a trap to me. It makes no sense at all, but this is one of those head scratchers that if it is too good to be true, (and the public is all over MTS), then it probably is too good to be true.

                                                            I certainly don't want to minimize someone's conviction on MTS, but I would suggest passing on this game. I wouldn't be surprised if UAB wins.
                                                            see where he mentions the public being all over MTS i think that answer's the question if he takes into account public betting trends. Think you'll find that John uses every insight and tool at his disposal.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Salvatore Bing
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 10-29-11
                                                              • 15

                                                              #170
                                                              John given your slow start and atrocious last two days, should we have just waited till March to start tailing you?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • John Ryan
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-20-10
                                                                • 2428

                                                                #171
                                                                Hang in there everyone. Very unusual that I lost six straight games ATS, but it has happened. The most important thing is maintain the discipline adn focus and keep moving to the next opportunity.

                                                                Tonight one play and it is a 5* on IOWA STATE playing against IOWA.

                                                                Here is the link for the detailed research: http://www.sbrforum.com/ncaa-basketb...picks-a-22410/
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cjjohn11
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 10-21-11
                                                                  • 14

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Originally posted by willybc
                                                                  record 16-22-1 0-6 last 2 days. are u kidding me? your analysis is not working john, you should change something in your simulator.
                                                                  by just probability, if any person picks randomly 6 picks, at least they are hitting 2. you have been very very unlucky and
                                                                  hopefully you get back on track soon because you are starting to lose credibility.
                                                                  What probability are you talking about? If you randomly pick 6 games you should expect to win 3, given each game is a coin flip. I have seen John win 3 or more in a row a few times. You know what the probability of picking three consecutive winners is? .125(12.5%), and he's done plenty of times. Winning streaks and losing streaks come and go. I have followed him through the NFL thread and he has done quite well and I will continue to follow him through losing streaks. He has lost ZERO credibility with me.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • PassUrChipZ
                                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                                    • 09-21-10
                                                                    • 105

                                                                    #173
                                                                    I was hoping you had a different play today. I took +9.5 late last night. Iowa State does put up points but the teams they have played play absolutely no defense. Even UNI and Michigan are not as good defensively as they have been in the past and they struggled to score against them. I think its a close one tonight. GL all.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • aussieH
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-04-11
                                                                      • 1188

                                                                      #174
                                                                      Good luck jr. Streak coming up
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • NeverBackDown
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 11-30-11
                                                                        • 543

                                                                        #175
                                                                        Comment
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