2011 NCAAB Plays

[Sunde91]

Don't intend to bet a lot, at least not until Winter and there is no NBA, but I'll use this to track what I do

UNC/MSU Under 134 +103
2x to win 2.03

Obvious angle here. Outdoors playing on an aircraft carrier in a harbor. Light winds. The rims will be stiff like they always are when games are played in unnatural settings. Last year all 3 FF games went under (2 of them way under) when they played in Houston's football stadium.

Rims are new and not broken in; balls roll out routinely. I am watching UNC shoot around right now. Every shot is either a clunker that flies off the rim, or a swish. Also players won't be comfortable seeing the rim, issues with depth perception in an unusal environment.

[No coincidences]

Steamed up to 136.5. Interesting.

I figured under would be a play here as well.

[Sunde91]

1-0 +2.06 (wrong to win amount in op)

Duke 2nd half -4 -110
1.1x to win 1

Like MSU to fade again in the 2nd half like they did vs. UNC before they made a run in garbage time. MSU is not reliable in the early season (2-4 ATS last November for example). Little worried Duke chokes for K, think they should come out strong though.

[Sunde91]

Iowa State -1 -108
1.08x to win 1

Fade Bronxer, one of the chosen golden fades on the forum, and nonsensical line movement for a November NCAAB game for some nice value.

[Sunde91]

1-1-1 +0.98

Duke -5 -107
1.07x to win 1

[Sunde91]

2-1-1 +1.98

UNC -7 -105
2.1x to win 2

Wisconsin is nothing outside Madison. Bo and his teams have been some of the biggest frauds of the last 10 years. They win everything at home and then beat up on a weak Big Ten. They get blown out on the road vs. top teams and lose in the round of 32 every year to teams like Cornell and UNLV. For a similar situation to tonight, I look back to 07 when Wisc was @ Duke in the Challenge and Duke (-9.5) cleaned em out 82-58.

This team lives by the 3 and needs to establish a slow pace to get set on D. If they don't get either of those going, they're done. They have nobody who can consistently create their own shot. Get a couple clunkers going to get the Offense out of rhythm and they have nothing.

UNC at home coming off an embarrassing loss should push the pace and run Wisc off the floor. They have so much more talent it's sad. Once behind by DD on the road, Wisc has 0 chance to come back.

[PAULYPOKER]

Shoot yourself dumb fukk.......