Nov. 21-23
Duke -125
UCLA +185
Memphis +300
Kansas +450
Michigan +600
Tennessee +1600
Georgetown +1800
Chaminade +12500
Brackets:
Duke
Tenn
-
Memphis
Michigan
------------
Kansas
Georgetown
-
UCLA
Chaminade
Duke (-125).....The Blue Devils should be the odds on favorite in Maui but certainly not a lock to win the tournament?? Can't see laying -125 on Duke here. Especially, considering how their bracket is much tougher. Memphis & Michigan are both capable of beating Duke in the 2nd round before they even reach the Championship game. I see no value betting Duke @ -125 in Maui.
UCLA (+185).....I have no idea why UCLA is the 2nd odds on favorite here @ +185?? They will have little trouble W/ Chaminade in round 1. But, will then have to beat Kansas (likely) in the semis & either Duke/Memphis or Michigan in the Championship. They very well may get by Kansas but will be the inferior team against any three of their likely Championship opponents. Thus +185 simply is not a good enough price on UCLA IMO??
Memphis (+300)....The Tigers return all 5 starters & very well may be the best team in the tournament?? Unfortunately, they have the toughest draw & must get by a very good Michigan team in round 1 & will have Duke waiting for them in the semis. If They can get through this they will certainly be a favorite over any team coming out of the lower bracket. Eventhough Memphis could possibly lose in round one they actually offer the best betting value of any team in the tournament @ +300 IMO
Kansas (+450).....The Jayhawks are in essentially the exact same situation as UCLA. The difference is they are +450 while UCLA is 'only' +185. Kansas has a tougher 1st round match-UP vs Georgetown but should nonetheless have minimal trouble w/ the Hoyas. A UCLA/Kansas semi would be a virtual toss UP IMO. I much rather have Kansas @ +450 rather than UCLA @ +185. I don't think Kansas wins this tournament but +450 is not a bad price & at that price I see a little value.
Michigan (+600).....This is a solid team & +600 is an attractive price but unfortunately their path to the Championship will be brutal. Will have to beat Memphis then Duke then either Kansas/UCLA. I'm not even sure +600 is enough for accomplishing that??
Tennessee (+1600).....I'd rather spend my $$ on a bag of weed & a hooker.
Georgetown (+1800).....
Chaminade (+12500).....I think they forgot to put another 0 @ the end of this #?? And even if they did I still wouldn't bet it.
My Pick: Memphis +300
Duke is probably the best team in Maui but -125 simply is not a good price considering what it's going to take to get the job done. If Duke is the best team it's not by much over Memphis?? The Tigers are deep, they're experienced, they're athletic & they're well coached. And in a tournament that requires you to play & win 3 games in 3 days to kick off the season these are big advantages for Memphis. The only reason they are +300 instead +150 is because they have the toughest draw.
Instead of betting +300 though you could likely profit more by betting a correlated three game ML chase & actually UP this price from +300 to approx. +450
Duke -125
UCLA +185
Memphis +300
Kansas +450
Michigan +600
Tennessee +1600
Georgetown +1800
Chaminade +12500
Brackets:
Duke
Tenn
-
Memphis
Michigan
------------
Kansas
Georgetown
-
UCLA
Chaminade
Duke (-125).....The Blue Devils should be the odds on favorite in Maui but certainly not a lock to win the tournament?? Can't see laying -125 on Duke here. Especially, considering how their bracket is much tougher. Memphis & Michigan are both capable of beating Duke in the 2nd round before they even reach the Championship game. I see no value betting Duke @ -125 in Maui.
UCLA (+185).....I have no idea why UCLA is the 2nd odds on favorite here @ +185?? They will have little trouble W/ Chaminade in round 1. But, will then have to beat Kansas (likely) in the semis & either Duke/Memphis or Michigan in the Championship. They very well may get by Kansas but will be the inferior team against any three of their likely Championship opponents. Thus +185 simply is not a good enough price on UCLA IMO??
Memphis (+300)....The Tigers return all 5 starters & very well may be the best team in the tournament?? Unfortunately, they have the toughest draw & must get by a very good Michigan team in round 1 & will have Duke waiting for them in the semis. If They can get through this they will certainly be a favorite over any team coming out of the lower bracket. Eventhough Memphis could possibly lose in round one they actually offer the best betting value of any team in the tournament @ +300 IMO

Kansas (+450).....The Jayhawks are in essentially the exact same situation as UCLA. The difference is they are +450 while UCLA is 'only' +185. Kansas has a tougher 1st round match-UP vs Georgetown but should nonetheless have minimal trouble w/ the Hoyas. A UCLA/Kansas semi would be a virtual toss UP IMO. I much rather have Kansas @ +450 rather than UCLA @ +185. I don't think Kansas wins this tournament but +450 is not a bad price & at that price I see a little value.
Michigan (+600).....This is a solid team & +600 is an attractive price but unfortunately their path to the Championship will be brutal. Will have to beat Memphis then Duke then either Kansas/UCLA. I'm not even sure +600 is enough for accomplishing that??
Tennessee (+1600).....I'd rather spend my $$ on a bag of weed & a hooker.
Georgetown (+1800).....

Chaminade (+12500).....I think they forgot to put another 0 @ the end of this #?? And even if they did I still wouldn't bet it.
My Pick: Memphis +300
Duke is probably the best team in Maui but -125 simply is not a good price considering what it's going to take to get the job done. If Duke is the best team it's not by much over Memphis?? The Tigers are deep, they're experienced, they're athletic & they're well coached. And in a tournament that requires you to play & win 3 games in 3 days to kick off the season these are big advantages for Memphis. The only reason they are +300 instead +150 is because they have the toughest draw.
Instead of betting +300 though you could likely profit more by betting a correlated three game ML chase & actually UP this price from +300 to approx. +450
