Hatter's Hoop Shots '11.... Tea Party Midcourt!

[Maddhatter]

Sun 11/27

Indiana St +1 -105 10u W
Indiana St 1H +0.5 -110 10u W
E Washington -12 -105 4u W
Depaul -1.5 -105 3u W
Villanova 2H -5 -110 2u L
Indiana -11 -115 4u W
Indiana 2H -7 -110 4u W
Dayton +4 -105 2u W
Dayton ML +160 1u W
Dayton 1H ML +120 2u W
Dayton 2H +4.5 -110 10u W
Dayton 2H ML +225 5u W
VCU +16 -115 3u W
St Louis -4.5 -105 5u W
VCU 2H ML +360 1u L
VCU 2H +8.5 -110 5u L

13-3 +61.55 Units for the day. 2-1 5u, 4-0 10u Plays. Riding this train til it stops! Another huge day on a day I thought was a mediocre card for me. Tomorrow's another day.


NCAA Record: 237-204 +109.89 Units, 53.7% (47-45-3 5u, 37-28-2 10u Plays)
NFL Record: 76-67 +3.18 Units, 53.1% (13-14 5u Plays, 8-9 10u Plays)
NCAAF/NFL: 313-271 +113.07 Units, 53.6% (60-59-3 5u Plays, 45-37-2 10u Plays)

NCAAB: 239-197, +351.43 Units, 54.9% (49-35-1 5u, 64-36-4 10u Plays)

[Maddhatter]

Thanks for the advice hatter!

You're welcome. Glad I did manage to give advice that ended up being on the correct side.

[MikeT007]

I tried to give u points but it said u can't receive them...

[RyDogg]

how did i manage to follow 2 picks today and they were both loses when you only lost 3?? good shit MH, you're on fire

[Maddhatter]

I tried to give u points but it said u can't receive them...

2 pts is max for non pros. Thanks anyway bud

[MikeT007]

I got u!

[Maddhatter]

how did i manage to follow 2 picks today and they were both loses when you only lost 3?? good shit MH, you're on fire

Thanks man. Doing my best to keep it up. Sorry you followed and lost bud.

[Maddhatter]

Thanks for the pts Sambo, House and Mike!

[Maddhatter]

Mon 11/28

LB State +10 -115 3u
Kent St -14 -105 3u
xavier +4 -105 4u
Pepperdine +12 -105 5u
Montana St +4 -105 3u
Akron +10 -105 4u
Tennessee -3 -115 10u

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

Colorado -3 -115 3u

[LOCKNESSMONSTER]

hey man I parlayed pepperdine and Tennessee together, you think its safe?

[Maddhatter]

hey man I parlayed pepperdine and Tennessee together, you think its safe?

I don't think parleys in themselves are "safe" but there are those cappers that do it regularly and succeed. I have done my own parley streaks in the past but usually I consider them as "risk" bets. I'd say they have a good chance of hitting. Looking at my past results you will see that I'm hitting 58% on 5u bets and 64% on 10u plays. I'm not a mathmetician but I think that's around 13% chance of you hitting both based upon my averages for those plays. If I were playing $100 on Tenn game and $50 on Pepperdine. Throwing a $10-20 two teamer would be feasible in my own estimation (although, I wouldn't bother with two teamers vs the spreads... ML parleys mixed in is a different question altogether). I guess what I'm trying to say is.... if you placed bets on each game individually with a "reasonable" amt on the parley then yeah its safe. If you are just playing the parley, then I would say its not. That's my own play style. I don't want to dictate anyone else's unit or play style so its my own personal choice. I hope I helped answer your question.

[Maddhatter]

SEASON PROGRESSION...

11/9 1-4 - 9.00 Units
11/11 8-6 - 1.40 Units
11/12 3-3 + 4.20 Units
11/13 5-3 - 0.15 Units
11/14 22-15 +43.32 Units
11/15 11-15 -25.60 Units
11/16 7-7 + 2.55 Units
11/17 21-16 + 9.54 Units
11/18 21-24 - 3.75 Units
11/19 11-12 +14.77 Units
11/20 16-9 +30.40 Units

11/21 15-15 + 2.60 Units
11/22 16-16 +37.52 Units
11/23 14-14 + 4.20 Units
11/24 15-12 - 6.90 Units
11/25 21-12 +81.75 Units
11/26 20-12 +84.53 Units
11/27 13-3 +61.55 Units

Total: 114-84 +265.25 Units This Week


NCAAB: 239-197, +351.43 Units, 54.9% (49-35-1 5u, 64-36-4 10u Plays)

[Nomadik]

Adding...

Colorado -3 -115 3u

That's my alma mater Hatt! Go Buffs! I think this young Georgia team in going to be in for a treat when they hit the Boulder Altitude.

[Wrestler31]

SEASON PROGRESSION...

11/9 1-4 - 9.00 Units
11/11 8-6 - 1.40 Units
11/12 3-3 + 4.20 Units
11/13 5-3 - 0.15 Units
11/14 22-15 +43.32 Units
11/15 11-15 -25.60 Units
11/16 7-7 + 2.55 Units
11/17 21-16 + 9.54 Units
11/18 21-24 - 3.75 Units
11/19 11-12 +14.77 Units
11/20 16-9 +30.40 Units

11/21 15-15 + 2.60 Units
11/22 16-16 +37.52 Units
11/23 14-14 + 4.20 Units
11/24 15-12 - 6.90 Units
11/25 21-12 +81.75 Units
11/26 20-12 +84.53 Units
11/27 13-3 +61.55 Units

Total: 114-84 +265.25 Units This Week


NCAAB: 239-197, +351.43 Units, 54.9% (49-35-1 5u, 64-36-4 10u Plays)

UMMMM I THINK I FOUND MY NEW NCAAB CAPPER!!!!!!!!!!

[Time2Score]

Great work Hatter! Just curious, how many units a day do you play? I'll be checkin in everyday to see what we have in common.

[bfritsc3]

great work hatter...i am on all your picks but the montana st. one. Can you explain why you chose this pick. It seems like a popular one today

[jrs362]

New to the thread in the last few days, Hatter. Been playing your 5u and 10u plays when I see them in time. Thanks! You're killing it lately.

Stay hot and keep making that $$.

[Maddhatter]

great work hatter...i am on all your picks but the montana st. one. Can you explain why you chose this pick. It seems like a popular one today

I'm going to back off this play and just eat the juice.

Adding....

San Jose St -5 -105 3u

Not comfortable with the early line moves and with information about Singleton's injury status. Maybe I get lucky and hit the # at -4 or -5. This is a NO PLAY on Montana St if you haven't played it or try to get a good # and get out if you have.

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

Tennessee 1H-2 -110 10u

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

St Mary's -9 -115 4u

[Maddhatter]

That's my alma mater Hatt! Go Buffs! I think this young Georgia team in going to be in for a treat when they hit the Boulder Altitude.

Thanks man. I hope I can continue doing good.

Great work Hatter! Just curious, how many units a day do you play? I'll be checkin in everyday to see what we have in common.

Depends how strongly I feel about certain plays. 180u on Sat vs 70u yesterday approx. 2H plays and the being able to monitor and watch how the flow of the game goes makes a difference also. For example, looking back at the Dayton game... there was a huge opportunity in the 2H which I took advantage of. Adding 15u to win 21u plus my original 3u play b4 the game started. Sometimes, I have initial leans on a game but don't play them, I'll add to my plays on the 2H lines if it looks good. I lose just as much as I win on those I think. But the amt of units will vary from day to day. I will admit that being in the plus gives me slightly more liberty in playing more games. Perhaps this is bad, but its always worked for me as long as I don't mess with my unit size. Hope I answered your question.

[Maddhatter]

New to the thread in the last few days, Hatter. Been playing your 5u and 10u plays when I see them in time. Thanks! You're killing it lately.

Stay hot and keep making that $$.

Thanks bud! I'm enjoying this train ride as long as it continues (hopefully it never ends).

[Maddhatter]

great work hatter...i am on all your picks but the montana st. one. Can you explain why you chose this pick. It seems like a popular one today

Singleton on Montana St is the key to this team. Fairly deep at guard play but relatively inexperienced. They were expecting a HS standout to come in and show immediate promise but he has some problems with his AS degree req. Montana St lost to Idaho and Seattle and played Arizona St fairly close losing by 6. I believe the oddsmakers have them slightly undervalued thruout this early season and took them as a small play not knowing about Singleton's injury. It wasn't a strong play so I am happy bailing out on this.

San Jose St shot 27.6% against UC-Irvine. They played a decent SF team and lost in OT by 2 and got demolished by a good Santa Clara team. SJS were getting outrebounded 2-1 in almost every game except vs UC-Irv which they only outgained them by a small margin. Montana St hasn't been very good also in the rebounding catagory but they have a slight edge here. Both teams aren't that good in the big picture but fairly evenly matched. I felt there was a good possibility that Montana St could squeek out a win here. Now I'm not so sure.

[YouHave2outs]

hitting 58% on 5u bets and 64% on 10u plays. I'm not a mathmetician but I think that's around 13% chance of you hitting both based upon my averages for those plays.

37% the parlay hits if you use 58% and 64%

[Maddhatter]

37% the parlay hits if you use 58% and 64%

Lol thanks. Didn't wanna wrack my brain too hard on that one but threw it out there anyway.

[Time2Score]

Thanks for the answer Hatter!

[BrigadierPudding]

I'm going to back off this play and just eat the juice.

Adding....

San Jose St -5 -105 3u

Not comfortable with the early line moves and with information about Singleton's injury status. Maybe I get lucky and hit the # at -4 or -5. This is a NO PLAY on Montana St if you haven't played it or try to get a good # and get out if you have.

RAS is on SJSU. That's why the line moved. It's since been bet back to 4, which is good news for Montana St backers. Lines don't often move opposite of RAS.

[visualrealism]

I personally think SJSU is a good bet. That shamburger kid is definitely a good guard, especially at home.

[jaeguyoon]

Hatter, I to you. You've been on a roll! I'm on Tenn and Tenn 1h. let's get em!

[Wesley]

any 2nd half plays hatter?

[Maddhatter]

Waitin for line. Colorado 2H is a play.

[Maddhatter]

Adding...

Colorado 2H -2 -110 10u

[snoopaloop31]

Would you play colorado 2nd half @-3.5=?

[Maddhatter]

Yes. I feel they should come back and get the win. Hopefully by 7-8 pts