70kgman 11-12 hoops, ect...

dume walker · 12-21-11, 12:00 AM

Originally posted by 70kgman

2H: UC Davis / San Jose St. Under 73

Squeaker but it comes through. Thanks, K!

TheAntFather · 12-21-11, 12:33 AM

Thanks 70kgman. That was a close one on the Under 72. I would have gave you more points, but I owe someone else points. Thanks again.

70kgman · 12-21-11, 12:45 AM

Originally posted by TheAntFather

Thanks 70kgman. That was a close one on the Under 72. I would have gave you more points, but I owe someone else points. Thanks again.

Thanks for the points.

70kgman · 12-21-11, 02:02 AM

Just a heads up, I have a 1H ATS and Totals model I am going to start using this year for NCAA. Should start playing the ATS plays at some point this week, and totals in a few weeks.

MatI · 12-21-11, 02:05 AM

Sounds good! Have you been testing it? Just curious..

dume walker · 12-21-11, 02:23 AM

Originally posted by 70kgman

Just a heads up, I have a 1H ATS and Totals model I am going to start using this year for NCAA. Should start playing the ATS plays at some point this week, and totals in a few weeks.

Sounds great, K Man. Do you suggest we go a little easier on these models at first, or do you have the same confidence in them that you do in your 2nd half totals?

70kgman · 12-21-11, 02:35 AM

Originally posted by MatI

Sounds good! Have you been testing it? Just curious..

Yes, and making tweaks as I go along. So far, so good.

Originally posted by dume walker

Sounds great, K Man. Do you suggest we go a little easier on these models at first, or do you have the same confidence in them that you do in your 2nd half totals?

Even though my experience and tracking with these specific models is minimal, I am pretty confident they will do well and see no reason to be hesitant about playing them or going lightly on them at first. These particular models are very layered with inflexible filters (which is easier to do with 1H stuff), so anything that actually makes it through all the layers is going to make sense from just about every possible angle numbers wise. If I don't like the way they look early on, I will pull the plug on them pretty quickly. But I doubt I will have to.

MatI · 12-21-11, 02:49 AM

Thanks for the heads up, appreciate you sharing your work with us. Let's kill the books!

dume walker · 12-21-11, 03:16 AM

Thanks for the response. Sent you a PM, when you have a chance to look at it.

aussieH · 12-21-11, 05:05 AM

Sounds good 70kg. I can't follow 2 nd half plays due to timing etc. first half may be okay though. Thanks for sharing.

freshguy222 · 12-21-11, 05:07 AM

which % do you think you can hit with that model? i remember you from last year's NBA. how did you do there and will you have a model again for NBA totals?

70kgman · 12-21-11, 01:50 PM

Originally posted by freshguy222

which % do you think you can hit with that model? i remember you from last year's NBA. how did you do there and will you have a model again for NBA totals?

Yes, I am doing NBA again this year. I am not going to guess at what percentage my model related plays (non 2H plays) will win or lose at, though they hit at over 60% last year for reference.

dume walker · 12-21-11, 04:19 PM

Hey, guys. I'm about to sign up for Twitter for the first time. I know K Man's Twitter id is 70kgmansbr. But I'm not yet familiar with hashtags and any other info I might need to input on this as well such as slashes, http info etc. Appreciate any advice anyone can give me so I don't screw this up. TIA to all who respond.

Kivo35 · 12-21-11, 06:03 PM

DW,
start watching this short video http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ddO9idmax0o
and then read any article you like http://www.twitip.com/13-twitter-tip...for-beginners/

southpaw74 · 12-21-11, 06:17 PM

Originally posted by dume walker

Hey, guys. I'm about to sign up for Twitter for the first time. I know K Man's Twitter id is 70kgmansbr. But I'm not yet familiar with hashtags and any other info I might need to input on this as well such as slashes, http info etc. Appreciate any advice anyone can give me so I don't screw this up. TIA to all who respond.

It's pretty basic. Just get an account and follow him. Click on the notifications option so you get texted whenever he tweets. That's it. I don't even check my twitter account. I just get the texts

good luck

70kgman · 12-21-11, 07:50 PM

2H: UL Monroe / Indiana St. Under 66

southpaw74 · 12-21-11, 07:59 PM

Weird...it shot down to 64.5 and then back up to 65.5. Hope that's not a bad sign.

70kgman · 12-21-11, 08:30 PM

2H: Cornell / Penn St. Over 69.5

TheeArchBishop · 12-21-11, 08:32 PM

Originally posted by southpaw74

Weird...it shot down to 64.5 and then back up to 65.5. Hope that's not a bad sign.

Hope your'e not sweating. Easiest bet of the year. The 2nd half barely reaching 40 lol.

thebigd1 · 12-21-11, 08:55 PM

Originally posted by 70kgman

2H: UL Monroe / Indiana St. Under 66

thanks caught this on twitter 70k!

southpaw74 · 12-21-11, 08:56 PM

Yup...easiest under win I've seen . Just didn't know why it jumped back up. Congrats and thanks

dume walker · 12-21-11, 08:57 PM

Originally posted by 70kgman

2H: UL Monroe / Indiana St. Under 66

Strong call, K Man. Thanks!

dume walker · 12-21-11, 09:43 PM

Originally posted by 70kgman

2H: Cornell / Penn St. Over 69.5

Yeah, buddy!

MatI · 12-21-11, 09:44 PM

Originally posted by 70kgman

2H: Cornell / Penn St. Over 69.5

thanks kg man!

thebigd1 · 12-21-11, 10:02 PM

Originally posted by 70kgman

2H: Cornell / Penn St. Over 69.5

70kgman · 12-21-11, 10:32 PM

Updated Record: 42-23-1

70kgman · 12-21-11, 10:41 PM

You ever figure out that twitter stuff Dume?

dume walker · 12-21-11, 10:56 PM

Originally posted by 70kgman

You ever figure out that twitter stuff Dume?

Still working on it. (Had other stuff to do today as well.) Had Verizon add a data package so I can now receive unlimited tweets. Problem is, I actually did sign up for Twitter back in '09, but I think I screwed something up in the process. So I may have to untangle that knot first. As for today I just went old school style. Had the SBR slate up on my screen. Whenever I saw a game was in half time I started my OCD with the refresh button.

One good thing, however. While trying to look up that original Twitter sign-up info, I stumbled across the bet progression info you had given me last year (which I had printed out). This was where you talked about using a money management system in which you said, "I just started betting to win 3% of my starting available bankroll on that day for each play". Which I'm assuming to mean each of your bets was 3% of your ongoing BR balance. There's more you explained that I'm going to study as well.

BTW, how did that work out for you in the long run? Are you still going with that kind of approach this year?

Thanks again for the 2 winners tonight.

70kgman · 12-21-11, 11:31 PM

Originally posted by dume walker

One good thing, however. While trying to look up that original Twitter sign-up info, I stumbled across the bet progression info you had given me last year (which I had printed out). This was where you talked about using a money management system in which you said, "I just started betting to win 3% of my starting available bankroll on that day for each play". Which I'm assuming to mean each of your bets was 3% of your ongoing BR balance. There's more you explained that I'm going to study as well.

BTW, how did that work out for you in the long run? Are you still going with that kind of approach this year?

I use two books. My Money management is slightly different for each. One book I bet (to win) 3% of my starting day bankroll, and adjust every day. The other book I flat bet a specific amount, and withdraw any profits over my key number at the end of each month. So basically, one bankroll that I let grow from start to finish, and another I use to get paid along the way.

dume walker · 12-22-11, 02:35 AM

Hey Kivo & Southpaw. Tried to leave both of you points for your Twitter advice. Once again, SBR wouldn't let me. Still want you to know I appreciate your help. Thanks, guys.

GWOZOZO · 12-22-11, 03:33 AM

New to this. What do you mean by giving him points? How do you give points and why?

GWOZOZO · 12-22-11, 03:35 AM

Originally posted by 70kgman

Thanks for the points.

Hello
[COLOR=#000000 !important]New to this. What does he mean by giving points? How do you give points to and why?[/COLOR]

thebigd1 · 12-22-11, 12:25 PM

Originally posted by GWOZOZO

New to this. What do you mean by giving him points? How do you give points and why?

You have 34 points to use, you can either save them and purchase something from the SBR store with them or enter a contest or you can reward someone for the efforts and send them points. Look at the bottom of each post, there is a thumbs up sign and a coin. Click on the coin of the post or member you would like to donate to then enter the amount of points and send em'!!

BTW where is that picture from looks familiar.

southpaw74 · 12-22-11, 12:51 PM

Originally posted by dume walker

Hey Kivo & Southpaw. Tried to leave both of you points for your Twitter advice. Once again, SBR wouldn't let me. Still want you to know I appreciate your help. Thanks, guys.

Thanks man...hope younger it figured out soon. 70kg is too good to miss

dume walker · 12-22-11, 07:05 PM

K Man, I am tweeted up and ready to receive! (This after nearly throwing my laptop through the window a few times.) Got your tweet about last night's Cornell over so I'm guessing I am now properly linked.

BTW does anyone know how to delete old tweets from your laptop. I've got about a dozen of them from the last time I signed up. No instructions anywhere on how to delete these things. Which is one of the reasons the laptop almost went flying. Thanks all.