Filmoz's NCAA BB 2011-2012

[allidoiswin89]

ughh I had to leave at 530 to go to a comedy thing in chicago. missed out on all the late winners

[Filmoz]

12/11/11

Iona +2 -109 5x

[Filmoz]

Santa Clara +5.5 -105 3x

[rb3b3]

Damn dude, you somehow know how to only tail my winners lol. Let's try this: I make my picks, then you tell me which ones you are tailing, and then I tail you on my own plays minus the ones you are not on lol

on your big win buddy

haha we kill it today

[Filmoz]

Murray St +10 -109 7x

[Filmoz]

12/11/11

Iona +2 -109 5x
Santa Clara +5.5 -105 3x
Murray St +10 -109 7x

[rb3b3]

12/11/11

Iona +2 -109 5x
Santa Clara +5.5 -105 3x
Murray St +10 -109 7x

filmoz you know i have been tailing for what is awhile now... forgive me for asking this.... a 7x play?????? 5x play????? im just wondering if these plays have bigger unit assignments because of the down day yesterday, or do you really like these plays 7x and 5x? im tailing but i just want to make sure im not tailing FULL TILT MODE.:-)

[Filmoz]

filmoz you know i have been tailing for what is awhile now... forgive me for asking this.... a 7x play?????? 5x play????? im just wondering if these plays have bigger unit assignments because of the down day yesterday, or do you really like these plays 7x and 5x? im tailing but i just want to make sure im not tailing FULL TILT MODE.:-)

No, the plays more or less accurately reflect how much I like them, but I am admittedly chasing a little bit. Scale back the plays a unit or two if you are concerned, no one has a gun to your head.

[19th Hole]

Same plays as COU??

[rb3b3]

No, the plays more or less accurately reflect how much I like them, but I am admittedly chasing a little bit. Scale back the plays a unit or two if you are concerned, no one has a gun to your head.

that is very true, but when tailing i use your unit guide, soo if your going 7x and 5x, then im doing the same..:-)

[allidoiswin89]

Same plays as COU??

Its a small day in college basketball, I capped my games this morning before looking on here and at the lines and agreed with all three of these picks and 5 of COU's

[allidoiswin89]

MOZ, after capping games this morning, I put Murray St. at +7 and saw they opened at +10 or +11 at some places. I feel like the public is going to be on Murray St. and the books are begging us to take Murray St. Kinda of worried about this play but I agree with you on that it would be my biggest best of the day

[Filmoz]

Same plays as COU??

Didn't even look at that thread until you just pointed it out. He made a play on like every game today, do I have to fade all of them in order for my plays to be my plays?

[Filmoz]

WMU -8 -102 5x

[Filmoz]

12/11/11

Iona +2 -109 5x
Santa Clara +5.5 -105 3x
Murray St +10 -109 7x
WMU -8 -102 5x

[Capybara]

ughh I had to leave at 530 to go to a comedy thing in chicago. missed out on all the late winners

They're called smart phones, brother, invest in one. So anyway, who'd you see, hope it was a funny show?

[Capybara]

MOZ, after capping games this morning, I put Murray St. at +7 and saw they opened at +10 or +11 at some places. I feel like the public is going to be on Murray St. and the books are begging us to take Murray St. Kinda of worried about this play but I agree with you on that it would be my biggest best of the day

You know, it's a very good point. Line's at +10.5 with most of the public on Murray State (which actually surprises me), and that line's not giving at all. Memphis is of course also a very scary team to fade, as scary fast as those guys can sometimes play. A one-point game can become Memphis by 13 during a quick trip to piss. Reaks of a game we could have for 38 minutes and then sit there slack-jawed as we lose the cover. Just thinking out loud...

[Filmoz]

You know, it's a very good point. Line's at +10.5 with most of the public on Murray State (which actually surprises me), and that line's not giving at all. Memphis is of course also a very scary team to fade, as scary fast as those guys can sometimes play. A one-point game can become Memphis by 13 during a quick trip to piss. Reaks of a game we could have for 38 minutes and then sit there slack-jawed as we lose the cover. Just thinking out loud...

Well that's always a possibility huh. Every game always boils down to a handful of archetypal scenarios. When playing long road dogs, its: (1) Get off to a bad start and never recover, getting blown out by 20+ pts; (2) Silence the home crowd and surprise the fukk out of the home favorite, usually by some distinct advantage like shooting great from 3, rebounding, causing lots of turnovers, etc. easily covering the spread the whole game and maybe even winning straight up; (3) hang with the home team the whole game, with the cover always alive and the result coming down to the end game.

Murray might get killed, but I see enough scenarios that fall in categories (2) and (3) that I like the play.

[Capybara]

Well that's always a possibility huh. Every game always boils down to a handful of archetypal scenarios. When playing long road dogs, its: (1) Get off to a bad start and never recover, getting blown out by 20+ pts; (2) Silence the home crowd and surprise the fukk out of the home favorite, usually by some distinct advantage like shooting great from 3, rebounding, causing lots of turnovers, etc. easily covering the spread the whole game and maybe even winning straight up; (3) hang with the home team the whole game, with the cover always alive and the result coming down to the end game.

Murray might get killed, but I see enough scenarios that fall in categories (2) and (3) that I like the play.

Yes, of course. I'm personally feeling Option 3 for this one, where the cover is touch and go late, so I'll probably play it smaller, but Option 2 would surely kick ass!

By the way, as simply an FYI (no recommendation either way): I see Sonny is opposite of Iona and WMU. He seems to be heating up too. Ah well, I usually default to my 'Moz if I'm gonna play it.

Shit, time running out for further NFL capping! I am such a terribly unorganized gambler. Slept all friggin' morning.

[allidoiswin89]

They're called smart phones, brother, invest in one. So anyway, who'd you see, hope it was a funny show?

I have a smart phone....but when I am out at a comedy show that is pitch black, I"m not going to have my bright ass phone on to annoy everyone else, and 2) I wanted to join the second city which is one of the best comedy groups out there

[Capybara]

I have a smart phone....but when I am out at a comedy show that is pitch black, I"m not going to have my bright ass phone on to annoy everyone else, and 2) I wanted to join the second city which is one of the best comedy groups out there

Cool. Wait a minute, join Second City? What you mean? Are you the second comic at SBR?

[shocktopme]

I have a smart phone....but when I am out at a comedy show that is pitch black, I"m not going to have my bright ass phone on to annoy everyone else, and 2) I wanted to join the second city which is one of the best comedy groups out there

[allidoiswin89]

Shit, time running out for further NFL capping! I am such a terribly unorganized gambler. Slept all friggin' morning.

Teaser

Patriots -2
Over 40

[allidoiswin89]

Cool. Wait a minute, join Second City? What you mean? Are you the second comic at SBR?

*enjoy

[doin]

luck with 2nd city allido.............share your best one liner?

[Capybara]

Teaser

Patriots -2
Over 40

Don't like it. Maybe Pats and the Under 54 or whatever. But still would tease something else.

[shocktopme]

*enjoy

Second city comedy ROCKS!!!!!!!!!

[19th Hole]

Didn't even look at that thread until you just pointed it out. He made a play on like every game today, do I have to fade all of them in order for my plays to be my plays?

[allidoiswin89]

Don't like it. Maybe Pats and the Under 54 or whatever. But still would tease something else.

What didn't you like about this? Pats d is the worst? Already well on it way to over 40

[Capybara]

What didn't you like about this? Pats d is the worst? Already well on it way to over 40

Well I was afraid of the teaser because of both parts. Possibility of Wash winning where you lose it, and also I saw it as defensive, with the Skins D still a very good one, and the Pats D bearing down in the red zone (which people don't notice) plus Grossman missing BOTH his starting tackles.
However, you were right and I was wrong with the O/U, so let's hope the Pats pull this out for you -- I hope they will, I'm diehard Pats!!

[19th Hole]

Well that's always a possibility huh. Every game always boils down to a handful of archetypal scenarios. When playing long road dogs, its: (1) Get off to a bad start and never recover, getting blown out by 20+ pts; (2) Silence the home crowd and surprise the fukk out of the home favorite, usually by some distinct advantage like shooting great from 3, rebounding, causing lots of turnovers, etc. easily covering the spread the whole game and maybe even winning straight up; (3) hang with the home team the whole game, with the cover always alive and the result coming down to the end game.

Murray might get killed, but I see enough scenarios that fall in categories (2) and (3) that I like the play.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
Mekes perfect sense.
Good Luck!!

[Capybara]

Moz, Murray St. gettin' 11.5 now.

Can't decide whether to stay far away or add more units!

[thebigd1]

SC gettin 6.5, hour til showdown still with it moz?

[MatthewPV]

The coin flipping machine not on our side today...

[allidoiswin89]

coppin st. +21.5