Sonny,Bean,Buck and Ayo's Hoops thread

**grounds250** · 12-28-20, 07:06 PM

Ayo is good, actually real good, history is there to verify... always easier to say when he wins one but I thought the same when I lost on Friday with MSU

**Sharpes** · 12-28-20, 07:54 PM

Always sprinkle a bit on the ML when AYO lines up a dog <--

**CantTouchAyo** · 12-29-20, 08:33 AM

Santa Clara +11 1x

**matt711** · 12-29-20, 03:25 PM

I feel a big run coming........6-0.........good luck Ayo

**CantTouchAyo** · 12-30-20, 09:42 AM

YTD: 40-31-1 +3.89x
Nov: 11-7 +3.45x
Dec: 29-24-1 +0.44x

SMU -7.5 1x

more...

**CantTouchAyo** · 12-30-20, 12:11 PM

UMASS -5.5 1x

**eaglesfan44** · 12-30-20, 04:06 PM

What a cover by SMU!! Crazy last minute thought we were going to get screwed with the no calls and missed FTs

**joco** · 12-30-20, 04:06 PM

nice hit by half a pt

**cmatth1326** · 12-30-20, 04:12 PM

Finally a college basketball player that can hit 2 free throws in a row.

**grounds250** · 12-30-20, 04:23 PM

Great pick there Ayo

**CantTouchAyo** · 12-30-20, 05:48 PM

Western Carolina +3.5 1x

**Mackballs** · 12-30-20, 08:47 PM

Umass 3 collapses in one game lol

Team is completely dreadful good God

**eaglesfan44** · 12-30-20, 09:01 PM

Umass up 8 with over a minute to go. What a collapse

**eaglesfan44** · 12-30-20, 09:04 PM

Western Carolina with a 2nd half collapse as well. Oh well we were on the right sides bad luck

**illyTheKid** · 12-30-20, 10:17 PM

The last UMASS play was over before it started. This one at least had a chance. They’re just terrible and not sure what all the fuss about trey Mitchell is.

**CantTouchAyo** · 12-30-20, 11:38 PM

I’ve seen a lot of dumb shit in my life but that UMASS home run pass with 1min left is up there for the dumbest

**CantTouchAyo** · 12-30-20, 11:40 PM

thurs:

Mich -1 1x

**pappy** · 12-31-20, 10:42 PM

Nice thanks man

**thekoreanmang** · 01-01-21, 10:53 AM

Killing it, Ayo. Thanks for being consistent and generous with your time. No matter your hits or non-hits you're still up at the end of the year. And, even if you're not in any given year (though rare), it's okay. It was our money and our decision to tail (or not tail). You don't need to hear it from me, but I hope you have a great new year and that you're safe, healthy, and happy. Cheers!

**cmatth1326** · 01-01-21, 11:09 AM

Happy new year AYO. I got laid off 2 weeks before Christmas after 20 years of service. Your picks have made life tolerable for me. Winning tends to make life better, so thanks.

**CantTouchAyo** · 01-01-21, 11:27 AM

Marshall pk EV 1x

**CantTouchAyo** · 01-01-21, 11:28 AM

Originally posted by cmatth1326

Happy new year AYO. I got laid off 2 weeks before Christmas after 20 years of service. Your picks have made life tolerable for me. Winning tends to make life better, so thanks.

Sorry to hear , happy New Years. Please play responsibly

**CantTouchAyo** · 01-01-21, 11:29 AM

Originally posted by thekoreanmang

Killing it, Ayo. Thanks for being consistent and generous with your time. No matter your hits or non-hits you're still up at the end of the year. And, even if you're not in any given year (though rare), it's okay. It was our money and our decision to tail (or not tail). You don't need to hear it from me, but I hope you have a great new year and that you're safe, healthy, and happy. Cheers!

thanks, happy New Years

**Beantownmatt** · 01-01-21, 02:12 PM

Happy New Years ayo and fellas and Good Luck in the New Year

**joco** · 01-01-21, 03:16 PM

Nice I leaned Marshall but backed off. Might add now. Bol ayo and everyone tailing

**AKAHUNSI** · 01-01-21, 03:58 PM

I'm sure we all have our models but my Model shows:

marshall	-3	144
louisiana tech	3

Started at PK and 154
Now 1.5 Marshall and 152

**2Shirts** · 01-01-21, 09:37 PM

Why you got to be an ass

Originally posted by AKAHUNSI

I'm sure we all have our models but my Model shows:

marshall	-3	144
louisiana tech	3

Started at PK and 154
Now 1.5 Marshall and 152

**AKAHUNSI** · 01-02-21, 09:36 AM

If you don't understand betting models and closing numbers refrain from comment,

Actually for this I apologize Ayo, but I'm always looking to educate and this by no means is taking away from anyone here.

If you are going to seriously wager, you must have a model, you must learn educate and improve. if you don't have a model, then follow but understand the intent of a forum is to help therefore the intent with my sharing my numbers was to help show you the potential cap. If you know the ceiling of said wager (this case being -3 Marshall by my numbers) you can truly understand the value and deviation for a wager to miss. If I said my number was -15 wouldn't you be more excited than the -3 ceiling when the current bet number was at -1.5 or -2 currently?

**Snowden** · 01-02-21, 10:26 AM

Originally posted by AKAHUNSI

If you don't understand betting models and closing numbers refrain from comment,

Actually for this I apologize Ayo, but I'm always looking to educate and this by no means is taking away from anyone here.

If you are going to seriously wager, you must have a model, you must learn educate and improve. if you don't have a model, then follow but understand the intent of a forum is to help therefore the intent with my sharing my numbers was to help show you the potential cap. If you know the ceiling of said wager (this case being -3 Marshall by my numbers) you can truly understand the value and deviation for a wager to miss. If I said my number was -15 wouldn't you be more excited than the -3 ceiling when the current bet number was at -1.5 or -2 currently?

Cool story. Best wishes.

**CantTouchAyo** · 01-02-21, 11:00 AM

YTD: 42-34-1 +2.69x
Nov: 11-7 +3.45x
Dec: 31-26-1 +0.24x
Jan: 0-1 -1.0x

Army +7.5
St. Bonnies +5

1x each.

**Capybara** · 01-02-21, 12:11 PM

Originally posted by AKAHUNSI

If you don't understand betting models and closing numbers refrain from comment,

Actually for this I apologize Ayo, but I'm always looking to educate and this by no means is taking away from anyone here.

If you are going to seriously wager, you must have a model, you must learn educate and improve. if you don't have a model, then follow but understand the intent of a forum is to help therefore the intent with my sharing my numbers was to help show you the potential cap. If you know the ceiling of said wager (this case being -3 Marshall by my numbers) you can truly understand the value and deviation for a wager to miss. If I said my number was -15 wouldn't you be more excited than the -3 ceiling when the current bet number was at -1.5 or -2 currently?

Dude, no disrespect, and I have nothing against modelling, but you can't go into a thread that is 10 years old, with 5 million views and 893 pages of history (none of which includes any predictive mathematics to my knowledge), and start preaching about your model.

I mean if you want to post, go for it; I don't think Ayo really cares. But there may be other threads where you'd enjoy modelling discussion more. Or by all means start your own, and track how well your model does. Best of luck.

**theorudy** · 01-02-21, 12:45 PM

My model is to tail Ayo's picks. I heavily research what he says. Plug it into a formula in a top secret spreadsheet. Then copy it exactly.

**Joe Sharp** · 01-02-21, 02:14 PM

Lol

**RacDex** · 01-02-21, 02:40 PM

forum

an exchange of ideas. a lot of people make statements that sometimes may be interpreted other than how they are intended when they are looking for an explanation of an opinion versus stating what is thought to be a difference of opinion. and...even if it's a differing opinion, everybody can learn something. ayo, is good, really good, but not perfect, so allow other people to ask questions or state opinions, without attacking them. who knows, someone may give ayo something to think about that might improve his already proven skill and ability. i think some of us are just wanting to know the logic behind the numbers and wanting to learn what their capping processes are versus just tailing them. btw, a couple years ago, i posted a differing opinion just wanting people to allow ayo to post his picks, but i realized i had no idea why he thought that or what was behind his or others opinions. just tailing somebody's picks didn't teach me anything.

**Buena Onda** · 01-02-21, 03:08 PM

Originally posted by RacDex

an exchange of ideas. a lot of people make statements that sometimes may be interpreted other than how they are intended when they are looking for an explanation of an opinion versus stating what is thought to be a difference of opinion. and...even if it's a differing opinion, everybody can learn something. ayo, is good, really good, but not perfect, so allow other people to ask questions or state opinions, without attacking them. who knows, someone may give ayo something to think about that might improve his already proven skill and ability. i think some of us are just wanting to know the logic behind the numbers and wanting to learn what their capping processes are versus just tailing them. btw, a couple years ago, i posted a differing opinion just wanting people to allow ayo to post his picks, but i realized i had no idea why he thought that or what was behind his or others opinions. just tailing somebody's picks didn't teach me anything.

He's not here to teach you anything. He makes it explicitly clear to use discretion when tailing his picks. Your point is valid and I agree with everything you said in principle, but if you've followed the thread for any length of time, then you know that there is rarely explanation for why a team/game is chosen. As long as discussion stays civil, I know Ayo has stated numerous times he welcomes any open exchange of ideas. I just think the hoity-toity, highbrow nature of the modeling post was asking to get made fun of. All in good fun though!
I think Capy said it best, if you want to talk about straight up modeling, there is a sub-forum dedicated entirely to exactly that where it could pick up traction.
Happy New Year everyone and keep up the grind Ayo. Appreciate the work you put in