Sonny,Bean,Buck and Ayo's Hoops thread

**RetardStrength** · 02-09-17, 06:30 PM

Good luck Ayo!

Love Tenn Chat but I am not going anywhere near that UAB team.

Appreciate your picks

**mohye1980** · 02-09-17, 06:40 PM

Good luck tonight fellas. Let's get this train back on the money trails!!!

**PokeyAristocrat** · 02-09-17, 06:45 PM

Originally posted by mohye1980

Good luck tonight fellas. Let's get this train back on the money trails!!!

Yeah boiiiiiiiii

**Anish** · 02-09-17, 07:38 PM

Ayo I appreciate your input as my unit size is $500 with mostly 2-3x plays. Do you worry about a regression towards something closer to 50-55% after such a monster January? Hence the caution you provide? Thanks for all you do here.

**Grivas_Digeni** · 02-09-17, 08:01 PM

Doesn't everyone hitting 55-60% worry about regression?

Originally posted by Anish

Ayo I appreciate your input as my unit size is $500 with mostly 2-3x plays. Do you worry about a regression towards something closer to 50-55% after such a monster January? Hence the caution you provide? Thanks for all you do here.

**DOM_Toretto** · 02-09-17, 08:14 PM

Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY

What up Ayo
Hey I got a buddy who is saying take the dons tonight -5
Because The Dons are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a favorite. San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last five home games. The Dons are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS win. The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as an underdog.
Lot of stats i know
Do you have a feel on the Dons tonight and they will be revenging a loss at santa clara as well and santa clara just got done playing the Zags which is tough

You opinion is appreciated bud😆

Sounds like your buddy read the matchup analysis on Bovada lol. Of all the things I consider - earlier meetings between teams, rebounding, FT %, fouls, A/TO ratios, home court advantage, schedules/travel, injury report, positional mismatches, etc., etc. - one thing I take very little stock in is situational ATS trends. They're on betting sites for a reason, similar to the board showing recent numbers hit next to a roulette table.

**Anish** · 02-09-17, 08:16 PM

Originally posted by Grivas_Digeni

Doesn't everyone hitting 55-60% worry about regression?

Thanks for the captain obvious approach. More of you is exactly what this place needs

**Grivas_Digeni** · 02-09-17, 08:27 PM

You are talking about captain obvious?

That's just great.

Originally posted by Anish

Thanks for the captain obvious approach. More of you is exactly what this place needs

**Mackballs** · 02-09-17, 09:00 PM

Another sick loss

**readytowinem** · 02-09-17, 09:04 PM

Originally posted by Mackballs

Another sick loss

When you are cold you are cold. Damn. Almost hedged 2nd half on the chat game but when i saw it was +.5 chat figured we had this. Unreal.

**knicksrulez** · 02-09-17, 09:05 PM

One of the overs cashed, gotta be patient with this, let's hope UAB cashes and move on...

Much like basketball, gambling is a game of runs

**Capybara** · 02-09-17, 09:11 PM

Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY

What up Ayo
Hey I got a buddy who is saying take the dons tonight -5
Because The Dons are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a favorite. San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last five home games. The Dons are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS win. The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as an underdog.
Lot of stats i know
Do you have a feel on the Dons tonight and they will be revenging a loss at santa clara as well and santa clara just got done playing the Zags which is tough

You opinion is appreciated bud

I say let's DO this, Harry. I like 'em.

**SEAHAWKHARRY** · 02-09-17, 11:30 PM

Looking good Dons

**readytowinem** · 02-09-17, 11:44 PM

Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY

Looking good Dons

Ya me and cap hammered the 1st half. Just need the fg to come through too.

**tecmoslayer** · 02-10-17, 01:09 AM

Originally posted by SEAHAWKHARRY

What up Ayo
Hey I got a buddy who is saying take the dons tonight -5
Because The Dons are 6-0 ATS in their last six games as a favorite. San Francisco is 5-0 ATS in its last five home games. The Dons are 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 games following a ATS win. The Broncos are 1-5 ATS in their last six games as an underdog.
Lot of stats i know
Do you have a feel on the Dons tonight and they will be revenging a loss at santa clara as well and santa clara just got done playing the Zags which is tough

You opinion is appreciated bud

**weekndornah** · 02-10-17, 09:52 AM

WTF at USF blowing their lead?!?!?!?!

Ayo, looking forward to a big Saturday to melt this cold streak!

**Qasdf** · 02-10-17, 09:59 AM

Your the man, boss. Thx 4 winning me all of this money dis season.

Lookin' forward very much to continued success tracking toward the end of the season.

**Conor McBettor** · 02-10-17, 01:30 PM

May all of you have a blessed and prosperous weekend. Much love.

**Earlerock** · 02-10-17, 02:31 PM

Originally posted by CantTouchAyo

3-2 +2.65x tonight.

tomorrow:
JMU -2.5 3x
Wofford -3 3x
NKU +19 2x
Indiana -1 2x

Originally posted by CantTouchAyo

Today: 7-0 +16x
Since Jan 1: 91-49-3 +76.05x
Season: 146-109-3 +58.05x

This was a year ago today/tomorrow. I'm looking forward to the stretch run!

Whoever was talking ab regression after such a big January... he had a +50-unit January last year and had a regression all the way down to only +40-units for February... +30 in march.

Im just trying to stay out of my own way and not blow too much profit during ayos little breakeven stretch.

It's ab time for joesharp to get on a lville/Ayo parlay streak.

**The Hat** · 02-10-17, 04:19 PM

Documenting units per month is illusory and makes the February stretch look worse than it is.

Had he had this little cold spell at the end of January after absolutely killing January, then there would be less concern.

But the fact that 'the February record' is in the red has people alarmed...

It's just all in how you parcel it out....you could look at say the record over the last 20 days and things don't look so bad. Look at it over the last 30 days and things look good....over the last 40, really good.

No worries..

**Snowden** · 02-10-17, 06:25 PM

Originally posted by The Hat

Documenting units per month is illusory and makes the February stretch look worse than it is.

Had he had this little cold spell at the end of January after absolutely killing January, then there would be less concern.

But the fact that 'the February record' is in the red has people alarmed...

It's just all in how you parcel it out....you could look at say the record over the last 20 days and things don't look so bad. Look at it over the last 30 days and things look good....over the last 40, really good.

No worries..

Money mgt busts 90-99% of gamblers so most people are doomed regardless of how Ayo does this year.

**Earlerock** · 02-11-17, 09:16 AM

Originally posted by Snowden

Money mgt busts 90-99% of gamblers so most people are doomed regardless of how Ayo does this year.

Nah, ayo is the Robin Hood of sports betting. I know a few guys who would be in deep w their bookie if it were not for Ayo. Instead they get to feel that joy of the $ being handed their way.

I suck at sports betting and hadnt done it in years until my buddy told me ab Ayo. Sure, now I take some of that profit and lose it back betting on my plays but it's peanuts compared to what I'm up overall w ayo's picks.

**Snowden** · 02-11-17, 09:26 AM

Originally posted by Earlerock

Nah, ayo is the Robin Hood of sports betting. I know a few guys who would be in deep w their bookie if it were not for Ayo. Instead they get to feel that joy of the $ being handed their way.

I suck at sports betting and hadnt done it in years until my buddy told me ab Ayo. Sure, now I take some of that profit and lose it back betting on my plays but it's peanuts compared to what I'm up overall w ayo's picks.

Great to hear Ayo has made you $$$$$. The man has been solid for the 5 years I have been lurking on this site.

**Curen$y07** · 02-11-17, 09:53 AM

sooo... i probably shouldnt takw Woffard +3 vs chattanoga today? haha i didnt know those were picks from a year ago

Originally posted by Earlerock

This was a year ago today/tomorrow. I'm looking forward to the stretch run!

Whoever was talking ab regression after such a big January... he had a +50-unit January last year and had a regression all the way down to only +40-units for February... +30 in march.

Im just trying to stay out of my own way and not blow too much profit during ayos little breakeven stretch.

It's ab time for joesharp to get on a lville/Ayo parlay streak.

**Earlerock** · 02-11-17, 10:01 AM

Originally posted by Curen$y07

sooo... i probably shouldnt takw Woffard +3 vs chattanoga today? haha i didnt know those were picks from a year ago

Its prob still good. Let's fire it in there and find out!

**hoops2016** · 02-11-17, 11:38 AM

Been putting in 3 teamers while waiting for the mans locks. K state +17. Kentucky pk. Clemson +18

**CantTouchAyo** · 02-11-17, 11:43 AM

Richmond +3

St. John's 1h +1

St. joes -2

Coastal/Ga Southern o147.5

Bonnies -1

2x each

**Earlerock** · 02-11-17, 11:47 AM

Im putting small bets on clemson game, ML, and 1h ML. If things start to get out of hand I should be able to get it all back by live betting duke. Clemson is quick to quit.

**PokeyAristocrat** · 02-11-17, 11:47 AM

Thanks Ayo, we really appreciate you placing everything in one post.

**averageweeks** · 02-11-17, 11:55 AM

If you come at the king, you best not miss!!!!

AYO you are the king, I'm feeling a BIG BOUNCE BACK TODAY

**Earlerock** · 02-11-17, 01:02 PM

1-0! Let's gooooo!!!

**CantTouchAyo** · 02-11-17, 01:38 PM

Morehead -3 -120

Chattanooga -3

Davidson 1h +4

Long Beach -1.5

2x each

**readytowinem** · 02-11-17, 01:59 PM

**TheChamp1** · 02-11-17, 03:07 PM

I locked St Joes in last night. But ehh, they're looking rough

**readytowinem** · 02-11-17, 03:21 PM

Originally posted by TheChamp1

I locked St Joes in last night. But ehh, they're looking rough

Umass only up a few. They have shot over 50% from field and 3. Joes 30% both. Joes looks good for 2nd half