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betting entire account on wisc -5

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  • beckluna
    SBR Hustler
    • 08-31-10
    • 66

    #1
    betting entire account on wisc -5
    i couldnt put enuff on this. Belmont is not even in the same class. belmont loss to any1 w a pulse.
  • Ice House
    Restricted User
    • 07-21-10
    • 4060

    #2
    Good luck bro. Hopefully that Red headed 7 footer will be hitting 3's like he did vs Ohio State.

    I think this game will be close just b/c Wisconsin plays such a boring brand of b-ball.
    Comment
    • jarvol
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-13-10
      • 6074

      #3
      Your bookie must love you.
      Comment
      • William Walters
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-17-11
        • 6372

        #4
        line down to 4.5 and betting big with a key player listed as "questionable" sure seems risky
        Comment
        • mlb
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-04-09
          • 10509

          #5
          No awful teams have 30 wins I'm sorry.atoryif this were at the Kohl center it would be a different story and u could almost bank on them winning but They rely far too heavily on leur and Taylor hitting jumpers to risk your whole bank account. .. actually I don't care if the heat were playing the school of the blind u don't go all in
          Comment
          • agharah1
            SBR MVP
            • 09-07-10
            • 2304

            #6
            Wisconsin shoots terribly on the road, and while their offense is good their defense always gets exposed when they aren't benefiting from biased officiating. I mean really, do you expect me to believe that a team comprised of big slow white dudes is that good at defending without fouling? That all being said Belmont loves to press and play uptempo and Wisconsin's offense is good at not committing turnovers so we could see a lot of Jordan Taylor breaking the press and finding Leuer down low for uncontested layups. Wisconsin just never seems to do well in the tournament.
            Comment
            • Stallion
              SBR MVP
              • 03-21-10
              • 3617

              #7
              You should have put in on St John's -1.5.
              Comment
              • PaperTrail07
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 08-29-08
                • 20470

                #8
                they will beat belmont..i mean come on
                Comment
                • Ch3fDan
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 02-02-10
                  • 305

                  #9
                  The badgers make a living off almost losing or losing in the first 2 rounds to mediocre teams. However, I think the fact that everyone has written this game up as an upset already, and Gottlieb straight up picking Belmot to win on national TV, motivates Wisconsin and they look strong.
                  Comment
                  • GGRIF82
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 02-09-11
                    • 559

                    #10
                    SORRY FOR THE LOSS
                    Comment
                    • dotheopposite
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 02-12-08
                      • 426

                      #11
                      Its's ok. His bank roll is only 10 dollars
                      Comment
                      • Romanov
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-08-10
                        • 4137

                        #12
                        Belmonts defensive points per possession allowed is .88 = the lowest of any team in division 1
                        Comment
                        • CBASS
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-22-10
                          • 2613

                          #13
                          Awesome stat
                          Comment
                          • Grosshhit
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 07-10-09
                            • 673

                            #14
                            out of all games you pick that one. Wisky has been struggling lately man. If this game was in there building, ok no problem but I think this game will be close. I hope you didnt punch that ticket yet. Why not take Old Dominion minus the points.
                            Comment
                            • d2bets
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 08-10-05
                              • 39847

                              #15
                              I took em -4 but I sure as heck wouldn't put my entire anything on it. My line is -6. I see some value here, but don't get carried away.
                              Comment
                              • asdfghasdfgh
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 01-27-11
                                • 359

                                #16


                                Pomeroy has Belmont ranked with the 19th best chance to win the tournament, with a 39% chance of beating Wisconsin. Even though he says not to put too much stock into the Belmont and Utah State ratings, he probably has Belmont ranked that high for a reason. The guy knows what he's talking about. Regardless of the outcome, I hope you learn to properly manage your bankroll. Best of luck with your bet.
                                Comment
                                • HoulihansTX
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 02-12-09
                                  • 30566

                                  #17
                                  Belmont is this years Cornell.

                                  Wisky lost to Cornell. Handily.
                                  Comment
                                  • d2bets
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 08-10-05
                                    • 39847

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by asdfghasdfgh
                                    http://www.basketballprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=673

                                    Pomeroy has Belmont ranked with the 19th best chance to win the tournament, with a 39% chance of beating Wisconsin. Even though he says not to put too much stock into the Belmont and Utah State ratings, he probably has Belmont ranked that high for a reason. The guy knows what he's talking about. Regardless of the outcome, I hope you learn to properly manage your bankroll. Best of luck with your bet.
                                    39% implied a fair ML around +-157. A bit lower than the current median around +-190, but not terribly so. I don't quite agree. I think they have more like a 31% chance.
                                    Comment
                                    • CLASSIC ROCK
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 07-23-09
                                      • 574

                                      #19
                                      Think you will be alright with that play,but all in is never the way to go
                                      Comment
                                      • MUHerd37
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-23-09
                                        • 12816

                                        #20
                                        Belmont plays in a small conference, but a lot of their wins are blowouts. They are a very solid team. I think Wisky should cover the -5 though. It kinda scares me that they only scored 33 points in their last game, but hopefully that was just a 1 game problem. I wouldn't go all in on it tho.
                                        Comment
                                        • DennisT
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-11-09
                                          • 2029

                                          #21
                                          Will take Belmont +5 Easy play Sorry
                                          Comment
                                          • postal warrior
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 09-25-10
                                            • 1330

                                            #22
                                            I think you are under estimating this Belmont team my friend. They can score, they force turnovers and they have a deep bench. Not the game I would risk a high amount of money on the favorite. If Wisconsin can take care of the ball and force that slow paced game they should win but if Belmont can get turnovers, which they can, and up the pace of this game then Wisconsin is in some trouble. BOL on your play though.
                                            Comment
                                            • MexicanStallion
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-08-08
                                              • 20429

                                              #23
                                              No such thing as a lock and any bet worth going all in. Best of luck though
                                              Comment
                                              • KJ CottonChopper
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 11-08-10
                                                • 210

                                                #24
                                                Going the other way on this one, but good luck to you and everyone during the madness!!!
                                                Comment
                                                • CollegeOverUnder
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 10-20-10
                                                  • 5520

                                                  #25
                                                  Belmont is a team with a lot of size, they push the tempo, They are experienced
                                                  Comment
                                                  • drfunkmaster
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 11-29-08
                                                    • 11162

                                                    #26
                                                    Good luck.. you will need it....
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DirkDiggs
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 12-07-10
                                                      • 484

                                                      #27
                                                      I think the OP is right, even though I'm not putting my whole roll on it. Belmont just hasn't played good teams. Wisky is use to the pressure and the big lights. They will ROLL.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • IAMWINNER
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-28-11
                                                        • 1012

                                                        #28
                                                        Wisconsin just got Belmonted.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • nyplayer33
                                                          Restricted User
                                                          • 09-27-06
                                                          • 8314

                                                          #29
                                                          the line is never wrong..ill take Belmont
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Duby
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 3608

                                                            #30
                                                            i dont get this line...real scary cause I want Wisconsin to go far this year
                                                            Comment
                                                            • GOB
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 01-24-11
                                                              • 170

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Ice House
                                                              Good luck bro. Hopefully that Red headed 7 footer will be hitting 3's like he did vs Ohio State.

                                                              I think this game will be close just b/c Wisconsin plays such a boring brand of b-ball.
                                                              Bruesewitz is 6'6.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • dolphan34
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 04-09-10
                                                                • 423

                                                                #32
                                                                I like the pick. Not sure I like the whole account though. Goodluck.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • BuckeyeT
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 03-14-11
                                                                  • 591

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Stallion
                                                                  You should have put in on St John's -1.5.
                                                                  Gonzaga is my LOCK of the Thursday games.

                                                                  St. Johns cant beat anyone outside of the Garden.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • PRiiMO
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-24-11
                                                                    • 565

                                                                    #34
                                                                    takin belmont
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ringemup
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-24-08
                                                                      • 2112

                                                                      #35
                                                                      not so fast, belmont is a one of the teams I put into a sleeper category.Over the years teams that dominate their league handily with avg margin of victory normally in double digits are extremely dangerous in the ncaa tourney. Siena, Davidson, Murray st., cornell just to name a few of the killers in the past. Wisconsin just does not stand out in any way, they like to run a lot of ball screens on offense but belmont is terrific on the defensive end collectively as a group and will limit wisconsins opportunity for getting good looks. Look for a balanced effort to lead the way to a belmont squad that has ripped competition in their league and become the next in line of giant killers. Many forget belmont almost shocked the blue devils few yrs ago in a game that went down to the last shot. This is a solid program and they will not be intimidated at all having won at tennessee earlier in the yr.
                                                                      Comment
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