One pick tonight

[dozer]

if it doesnt hit I will leave forever.

new orelans hornets +2.5


IQ PLAY, GOY, POY, WHATEVER FLOATS YOUR BOAT.

GOOD LUCK

[Tower]

I like it, lets fukking do this.

[dozer]

yah lets, cause if not im gone like a fart in the wind!

[3GCOVERAGE]

You will leave forever? New Orleans has been terrible. They have lost 11 of their last 15 and in those wins only one game was actually a quality win. Seems like a risk on such a crap team. Seems early for one of your plays as well. Anything you can share about why you like this one? I know your why is usually based on line movements.

[Small Timer]

I like that confidence in this play, but it'd be a shame for a solid capper to leave just cause he said he would if this one play doesn't hit.

[dozer]

3g

1. hornets have sucked lately....culminating in an ass beating at the hands of toronto raptors last night.
2. knicks are loved by everyone right now, most importantly the bettors tonight. playing good ball as of late
3. line started at 3.5 and should have been 6 or 7.
4. big rlm now sits at 2.5

ill bite.

[linehawk]

BOL...How much will you be up if this play alone hits?

[dozer]

yes, i will leave for good. i havent provided much the past few days any way.

[dozer]

i will bet the same amount i bet on k st over kansas. 5k

[HR Paperstacks]

Billups is listed as doubtful in this one.

[redrum]

i love this play also the knicks are still has a long ways to go

[raiderfootball46]

Dozer I am a huge Knicks fan but without mr big shot we might be in trouble ... Also saw Tyson Chandler is out .. Not sure ego who will bang with amare at home

[3GCOVERAGE]

gl Dozer! I hope you get back on track with this game.

[Small Timer]

Now that I know Chauncey is doubtful, this play just looks even better, I'll be with you on it tonight, thanks for the pick.

[dozer]

all i know is that this play is stronger than k st was vs. kansas and we saw what happened. wouldnt be surprised if hornets win by 20 here. i dont care if they lose by 2 a win is a win, but everything i use to select games points to the hornets.

do what you will. i just give you want i am doing.

good luck

[bulichme]

Good luck.

[dozer]

playyers playing/not playing means nothing to me.

the line says it all to me.

[Stick23]

Good luck Dozer

[3GCOVERAGE]

Players playing not playing and the time of those decisions should mean something...... That could be the reason for those reverse line movements. But 82% on the Knicks with this line does make the Hornets look good.

[dozer]

i was on this play like at 9:00 last night. line started at 3.5 and should be at least 7 imo. that said it all. everything since then is bonus, which made into the play it is now.

[TPowell]

players dont mean anything? Thats probably your only real edge in the NBA outside of situationals

[No coincidences]

Spread dropped because Billups is out.

ML hasn't budged at The Greek.

BOL, dozer. I'm not crazy about this one.

[dozer]

no comment.

[dozer]

why did it start at only 3.5? billups wasnt ruled out until very recently if at all. line was 2.5 this morning.

[No coincidences]

why did it start at only 3.5? billups wasnt ruled out until very recently if at all. line was 2.5 this morning.

I do think the line favors a play on N.O., but not sure it should be 7.

Remember, the Hornets still have a better record than the Knicks despite their recent struggles.

[rofacapper]

Vegas probably had a pretty good idea Billups would be out when they made the line. GL Dozer, you seem to be on the money with these picks.

[mac miller]

so.. does this mean your not playing college ball tonight?

[PRiiMO]

did you check out new mex/BYU rLm???

[Sunde91]

3g

1. hornets have sucked lately....culminating in an ass beating at the hands of toronto raptors last night.
2. knicks are loved by everyone right now, most importantly the bettors tonight. playing good ball as of late
3. line started at 3.5 and should have been 6 or 7.
4. big rlm now sits at 2.5

ill bite.

Do not care if you win, but this is the biggest fail reasoning I've ever seen.

0-4 have practical relevance in actually capping a game, just playing on the "fade the trap" non-angle.

You must be really good when your reasoning for a play actually supports the other side.

"hornets have sucked lately"
"line should be 6 or 7"

So you're playing on a shit team on the road with bad line value and it's a GOY?

Joke, yes?

[carmeloso80]

Now if this loses, don't say someone posted under your name. Gl man!

[Checkerboard]

bol dozer

[southpaw74]

I should have known better than to bet on an rlm hunch thread hornets stink and they are on the road. Sometimes the line movement philosophy pans out but it's really not much different than flipping a coin...as we now see.

[southpaw74]

I should have known better than to bet on an rlm hunch thread hornets stink and they are on the road. Sometimes the line movement philosophy pans out but it's really not much different than flipping a coin...as we now see.

[rochestertitans]

dont worry the drama queen isnt leaving

[No coincidences]

I should have known better than to bet on an rlm hunch thread hornets stink and they are on the road. Sometimes the line movement philosophy pans out but it's really not much different than flipping a coin...as we now see.

At Bookmaker, the ML closed higher for the Knicks than where it opened. Greek never moved. Pinny dropped, but I don't look at Pinny much for totals.

If I had to play this one it would've been New Orleans, because at some point, the Knicks aren't going to cover every game. They're the public darling bet right now. I think sharps were anticipating this might be a spot where they fall. But certain books weren't convinced; in fact, other than Pinny, I'm not sure who was. If the ML doesn't drop alongside the spread, RLM can sometimes be a head-fake.