2/26 1H NCAA Baskets / POD to come later

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  • Vaioice
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 06-04-10
    • 780

    #1
    2/26 1H NCAA Baskets / POD to come later
    Early bird, value play
    5* 1H Bowling Green +3.5 (adding 3* making full 1H play)
    4* Ov 132.5

    I just got a funny feeling about this one. Miami Oh is coming off of 2 road losses, and returning home. Playing a revenge game, but this isn't the same BGSU team anymore. Since beating the Redhawks, BGSU has gone 5-6 and lost the last 4 games. But somethin inside me is telling me to fade the Redhawks 1H and take the points. And looking @ the #s it doesn't seem that bad. I guess @ somepoint we gotta take the coinflip, and i think this is one of those that will work towards our advantage. If BGSU wins 1H, then i will get better value with the Redhawks for the game. WHich of course i have them covering. But if i'm getting better odds why not? The Redhawks ARE a 2H team. Very often they trail in the 1H only to come storming back and kick some tail.

    L3 Road games, BGSU leads @ the half by an avg. of 3.3ppg
    L3 Home games, Mia OH trails @ the half by an avg. of 2.3ppg (vs better teams then BGSU IMO) but this is just to give u a rough idea of how they perform 1H's.
    BoL lets take 1H BGSU AND Mia-OH for the game to the bank!

    -vai
  • firehoyt
    SBR MVP
    • 12-02-10
    • 3569

    #2
    Tailing ya bro. Thanks!
    Comment
    • Vaioice
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 06-04-10
      • 780

      #3
      5* POD 1H Kansas St -2

      The Tigers know that the team they're facing today isn't the same team they beat handidly a lil over a month ago, even so i don't know if thats gonna make any difference. K-St has been playing with a different swagger, after 2 consecutive losses @IAST, and @Col the team has come together to pull off an impressive victory over the Jayhawks. and they pulled out a win @Nebraska, not an easy task. With their backs against the wall, they gotta go all out. Can't hold back if u have nothing to lose. Mizzou is just 2-5 on the road, while the Wildcats are 14-1 @home.

      Tigers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games as an underdog.
      Tigers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
      Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games.
      Wildcats are 9-2-1 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.
      H2H Trends
      Favorite is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
      Home team is 10-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
      Tigers are 0-6 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Kansas St..
      Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Kansas St..
      Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.

      Even with those trends, i think the value is in the 1H. K-St will want to come out and send a message, that this isn't the same team, and they'd want to return the beating they got a month back. 1H K-St -2, take it to the bank!

      -vai
      Comment
      • firehoyt
        SBR MVP
        • 12-02-10
        • 3569

        #4
        Seems like the public is on Mizz 1H, you agree?!
        Comment
        • Vaioice
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 06-04-10
          • 780

          #5
          2* 1H Virginia -1 (value play)

          Bad spot for the Eagles, catching the Cavs when they're playing best ball they have all season. With revenge on their mind, i see the Cavs come out ready to go. Not sure if BC has recooped from the beating @home by the Canes. Anyhow, don't see -1 as a problem for the Cavs. They are undervalued in this situation as bettors are so used to seeing them blown out.
          Comment
          • firehoyt
            SBR MVP
            • 12-02-10
            • 3569

            #6
            Virg already at -1.5 1H at my book. Took it at -105 instead of the normal -110 or -115.
            Comment
            • Vaioice
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 06-04-10
              • 780

              #7
              NC-Wil +6 n Over 130.5

              think NE is a bit overvalued here cause they played GMason so close on the road, and tehy've already beaten NC-Wil in NC-Wil. NE always pulls away in 1H and somehow lets opp. back into game. Lets hope its the same today.

              Huskies are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
              Huskies are 0-7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.
              Over is 7-0 in Huskies last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400.
              Over is 6-0 in Huskies last 6 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.
              Over is 5-0 in Huskies last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
              Over is 3-0-1 in Seahawks last 4 games following a ATS loss.
              Over is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

              -vai
              Comment
              • Vaioice
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 06-04-10
                • 780

                #8
                Under 135 witchita/Mizz st
                Mizz St PK
                1H Wofford PK -120
                1H SD ST -2

                -vai
                Comment
                • Vaioice
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 06-04-10
                  • 780

                  #9
                  1H NC St -3
                  Comment
                  • ridims
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-15-10
                    • 3863

                    #10
                    that first half ks cover is just unbelievable. i really didnt think we would hit it tbh watching the end of the half.
                    and the toss up at the last 5 seconds came with inchs

                    wow
                    ill take it tho. nice call
                    Comment
                    • Vaioice
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 06-04-10
                      • 780

                      #11
                      the way they it slipped away when Pullen was on the bench i thought we were done. This was a HUGE play for me. bettter lucky than good i'll take it anyday.

                      -vai
                      Comment
                      • Vaioice
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 06-04-10
                        • 780

                        #12
                        Ov 132 Wofford/Furman

                        -vai
                        Comment
                        • Vaioice
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 06-04-10
                          • 780

                          #13
                          k gonna slow down and work on afternoon group. towards the end things got real hectic...
                          Comment
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