Should I lock it in? Don't know a damn thing about Long Beach state will they def win? I usually don't like betting on teams I've never seen play or can't watch on tv.
Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#2
The ML parlay according to Pinnacle odds has a 48.11% probability of winning
Ken Pom says you have a 55.77% chance of hitting.
Tis up to you
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Ice House
Restricted User
07-21-10
4060
#3
how are those percentages made up? Which team should I remove ? This looks like a winner to me. Any insight?
I feel confident in Pitt
I just looked at Long Beach Schedule/results they are on fire
Davidson is playing Elon.... If you are any good at basketball you wouldn't be playing for Elon right?
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Wackabrew
SBR Rookie
09-23-10
20
#4
If you are asking questions like this then you should not be gambling. Taking large money line favorites is a recipe for disaster (especially if you do not know one of the teams!)
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Ice House
Restricted User
07-21-10
4060
#5
I would agree that if you are taking large money line favorites and betting large amounts to win little amounts straight up that would be a recipe for disaster. However if you parlay money line favorites to win close to even money than it is a good alternative to betting against spreads.
I have found that in order to do this you should not bet on road teams. I have actually had success with ML Parlays and I am up $4,000 in the last 4 months. Recently I had $1500 in my account all house money.... that I lost on my recent cold streak due in large part to making bets while I was drunk.
The reason I ask about these teams is b/c I want to know if anyone has any insight on the Long Beach State and Davidson basketball teams.... On paper this matchups look good and a lot of times its game like this that you can profit off of b/c the books have sooo many games to cap this might be a good spot.
I have seen Pitt and West VA play and I feel confident in taking Pitt ML I just need to know for sure before I add Long Beach and Davidson... this is going to be a big play for me if I pull the trigger.
Thanks for any input guys...
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Boxer300
SBR Sharp
02-17-10
498
#6
I don't do a lot of ml picks but I would go with College of Charleston ml. App St will not hang with CofC.
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Ice House
Restricted User
07-21-10
4060
#7
Its at App. State though... and App State has beaten some decent teams right?
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Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#8
The pinny probability was calculated by taking the implied probabilities of each moneyline and multiplying them. A basic rule of probability
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Brian891
SBR MVP
04-28-10
2049
#9
romanov do u know who u r playin tonight for ur competition? old dominion is your opponent's pick.
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Romanov
SBR MVP
10-08-10
4137
#10
Originally posted by Brian891
romanov do u know who u r playin tonight for ur competition? old dominion is your opponent's pick.
I'm not posting my plays on this site for a couple of weeks. I am going to be betting odd sports wherever I see an edge. I lost a lot of my br yesterday, a lot!, and I need to get it back to where it was to be comfortable betting mls in ncaab
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Ice House
Restricted User
07-21-10
4060
#11
Do you guys like this ML Parlay
Pitt ML
Valpo ML
UCLA ML
???
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Boxer300
SBR Sharp
02-17-10
498
#12
App St has beat some good teams? None that I can see. CofC is much better and they are 9-1 in their last 10. The game is at App St but I don't see CofC losing here.
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JT OZ
SBR MVP
08-16-10
2076
#13
The Beach has been playing well lately but too often this season they have played down to inferior opponents. However they should be fine at home tonight and I don't see UCLA or Pitt losing 2 straight.
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Snowball
BARRELED IN @ SBR!
11-15-09
30064
#14
Originally posted by Ice House
Do you guys like this ML Parlay
Pitt ML
Valpo ML
UCLA ML
???
this is better. i like Cleveland St (-440) a bit more than Valpo (-500),
here are my bets in CBB tonight.
3 Team PARLAY
Odds : 0.81 to 1 PARLAY
CB ML-CLEVELAND ST to Win Even(-440)
CB ML-PITTSBURGH to Win Even(-360)
CB ML-UCLA to Win Even(-650)
3 Team PARLAY
Odds : 1.30 to 1 PARLAY
CB ML-KENT to Win Even(-155)
CB ML-WESTERN CAROLINA to Win Even(-600)
CB ML-VALPARAISO to Win Even(-500)
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ringemup
SBR MVP
11-24-08
2112
#15
long beach state at those odds? they are on fire but cal poly has been streaking in conference play i expect a tite ballgame bet. 2 of the better teams in the league.