Pitt ML, Davidson ML , Long Beach ML ????

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  • Ice House
    Restricted User
    • 07-21-10
    • 4060

    #1
    Pitt ML, Davidson ML , Long Beach ML ????
    Should I lock it in? Don't know a damn thing about Long Beach state will they def win? I usually don't like betting on teams I've never seen play or can't watch on tv.
  • Romanov
    SBR MVP
    • 10-08-10
    • 4137

    #2
    The ML parlay according to Pinnacle odds has a 48.11% probability of winning

    Ken Pom says you have a 55.77% chance of hitting.

    Tis up to you
    Comment
    • Ice House
      Restricted User
      • 07-21-10
      • 4060

      #3
      how are those percentages made up? Which team should I remove ? This looks like a winner to me. Any insight?

      I feel confident in Pitt
      I just looked at Long Beach Schedule/results they are on fire
      Davidson is playing Elon.... If you are any good at basketball you wouldn't be playing for Elon right?
      Comment
      • Wackabrew
        SBR Rookie
        • 09-23-10
        • 20

        #4
        If you are asking questions like this then you should not be gambling. Taking large money line favorites is a recipe for disaster (especially if you do not know one of the teams!)
        Comment
        • Ice House
          Restricted User
          • 07-21-10
          • 4060

          #5
          I would agree that if you are taking large money line favorites and betting large amounts to win little amounts straight up that would be a recipe for disaster. However if you parlay money line favorites to win close to even money than it is a good alternative to betting against spreads.


          I have found that in order to do this you should not bet on road teams. I have actually had success with ML Parlays and I am up $4,000 in the last 4 months. Recently I had $1500 in my account all house money.... that I lost on my recent cold streak due in large part to making bets while I was drunk.


          The reason I ask about these teams is b/c I want to know if anyone has any insight on the Long Beach State and Davidson basketball teams.... On paper this matchups look good and a lot of times its game like this that you can profit off of b/c the books have sooo many games to cap this might be a good spot.


          I have seen Pitt and West VA play and I feel confident in taking Pitt ML I just need to know for sure before I add Long Beach and Davidson... this is going to be a big play for me if I pull the trigger.

          Thanks for any input guys...
          Comment
          • Boxer300
            SBR Sharp
            • 02-17-10
            • 498

            #6
            I don't do a lot of ml picks but I would go with College of Charleston ml. App St will not hang with CofC.
            Comment
            • Ice House
              Restricted User
              • 07-21-10
              • 4060

              #7
              Its at App. State though... and App State has beaten some decent teams right?
              Comment
              • Romanov
                SBR MVP
                • 10-08-10
                • 4137

                #8
                The pinny probability was calculated by taking the implied probabilities of each moneyline and multiplying them. A basic rule of probability
                Comment
                • Brian891
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-28-10
                  • 2049

                  #9
                  romanov do u know who u r playin tonight for ur competition? old dominion is your opponent's pick.
                  Comment
                  • Romanov
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-08-10
                    • 4137

                    #10
                    Originally posted by Brian891
                    romanov do u know who u r playin tonight for ur competition? old dominion is your opponent's pick.
                    I'm not posting my plays on this site for a couple of weeks. I am going to be betting odd sports wherever I see an edge. I lost a lot of my br yesterday, a lot!, and I need to get it back to where it was to be comfortable betting mls in ncaab
                    Comment
                    • Ice House
                      Restricted User
                      • 07-21-10
                      • 4060

                      #11
                      Do you guys like this ML Parlay
                      Pitt ML
                      Valpo ML
                      UCLA ML

                      ???
                      Comment
                      • Boxer300
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 02-17-10
                        • 498

                        #12
                        App St has beat some good teams? None that I can see. CofC is much better and they are 9-1 in their last 10. The game is at App St but I don't see CofC losing here.
                        Comment
                        • JT OZ
                          SBR MVP
                          • 08-16-10
                          • 2076

                          #13
                          The Beach has been playing well lately but too often this season they have played down to inferior opponents. However they should be fine at home tonight and I don't see UCLA or Pitt losing 2 straight.
                          Comment
                          • Snowball
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 11-15-09
                            • 30064

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Ice House
                            Do you guys like this ML Parlay
                            Pitt ML
                            Valpo ML
                            UCLA ML

                            ???

                            this is better. i like Cleveland St (-440) a bit more than Valpo (-500),
                            here are my bets in CBB tonight.

                            3 Team PARLAY
                            Odds : 0.81 to 1 PARLAY
                            CB ML-CLEVELAND ST to Win Even(-440)
                            CB ML-PITTSBURGH to Win Even(-360)
                            CB ML-UCLA to Win Even(-650)

                            3 Team PARLAY
                            Odds : 1.30 to 1 PARLAY
                            CB ML-KENT to Win Even(-155)
                            CB ML-WESTERN CAROLINA to Win Even(-600)
                            CB ML-VALPARAISO to Win Even(-500)
                            Comment
                            • ringemup
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-24-08
                              • 2112

                              #15
                              long beach state at those odds? they are on fire but cal poly has been streaking in conference play i expect a tite ballgame bet. 2 of the better teams in the league.
                              Comment
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