5* 1H Wildcats -1 2/24/11

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  • Vaioice
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 06-04-10
    • 780

    #1
    5* 1H Wildcats -1 2/24/11
    I'm not confident that the Wildcats come out with a "W" in this game, however i'm very confident that we'll come out with a "W" if we bet them for the 1H. The Wildcats are clickin right now, team chemistry is great and they're as focused and having fun. Its not gonna be easy dealing with the Trojan's stingy home defense, but for some reason they don't always come out with a sense of urgency. This is our "edge". With a 1 possession spread, as long as we're "up" at the half, we won't have to worry about what happens after

    1H Arizona (away) Off avg. 35.3 - Def avg. 29.4 = 5.9 Avg. margin
    1H Trojans @ home Off avg. 30.5 - Def avg. 26.5 = 4.0 Avg. margin
    theoretically, we should be up a basket @ the half, which is all we need!
    LoL i know, easier said than done.

    Wildcats last 3 away games (1H's)
    Feb 3rd @ Stanford
    39-33 Wildcats
    Feb 5th @ Cal
    44-38 Wildcats
    Feb 13th @ ASU
    34-24 Wildcats

    Trojan's last 3 home games (1H's)
    Jan 22nd
    30-22 Cal
    Feb 10th
    37-23 Trojans
    Feb 12th
    25-19 Ducks

    Again, with a ONE possession spread, its suppose to be a close game. Also "revenge" will play a factor. But i just can't fade the streakin Wildcats right now, they're winning, but very close games. IMHO it keeps them focused and honest and strive to get better. Makes them work a lil bit harder, play with passion. Which is exactly the kind of motivation we need in order to bet them 1H. Purpose, Determination, Motivation, we got it all in this Wildcats team. Where as USC is more of a "2H" team @ home. So lock it up, 1H Wildcats -1, instant deposit...to the bank! muahahha (took me a while to think of this one)

    -vai

    1H RT: 21-10 +39.5*
  • Vaioice
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 06-04-10
    • 780

    #2
    1H Georgia +1.5 2/24/11

    5* 1H Georgia +1.5

    One thing that've learned is u have to be able to gauge a team's "motivation" level in order to predict how they'll perform in the 1H. Being a "situation" capper, i think one of the biggest factors of motivation is "revenge." Just less than a month ago, Gators won 104-91 in DOUBLE OT in Athens. So i'm sure that our Bulldogs will want to return the favor in the swamp. The Bulldogs are truly road warriors, no really, (i know, EMU let us down, but they got the 1H! heh)
    Anyhow, back to our dogs.

    Bulldogs are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog.
    Bulldogs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
    Gators are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games as a home favorite.
    Gators are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.

    I know ur thinking, why aren't we taking the +3 for the game then.... well i got one word for you. REVENGE! I know Georgia will come ready to play, for how long? that i'm not sure, but probably till @ least halftime, i hope Wether they stay focused after that or not, none of our concern. Some books offer it, some don't but i'm going to bet 1H UGA ML also. why wager @-110 when we can get + money! UGA up @ half, take it to the bank!

    -vai
    Comment
    • HoulihansTX
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-12-09
      • 30566

      #3
      Dude I'm not going to read all of that. It really doenst mean much.

      You are picking winners, and thats all that matters.
      Comment
      • Vaioice
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 06-04-10
        • 780

        #4
        LoL, u crack me up bro! i'll just txt u the plays than, won't bother with the write up.
        Comment
        • HoulihansTX
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 02-12-09
          • 30566

          #5
          i think one of the biggest factors of motivation is "revenge."

          Also "revenge" will play a factor.

          ________________________________________ _______________________

          Those are the only two things that matter within your write ups. Its a stat that hold up year in, and year out. I will be on Northwestern 1stH, b/c Penn St. usually starts off slow.

          Simple answers to complicated questions...
          Comment
          • kcburg
            SBR MVP
            • 12-30-10
            • 1219

            #6
            Greek has +3 for the 1st half, on it with you BOL.
            Comment
            • Vaioice
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 06-04-10
              • 780

              #7
              lol...like this?

              10* 1H NW -2

              Too tired, to do the whole write-up gig.

              Nittany Lions are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5.
              Wildcats are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.

              H2H:
              Nittany Lions are 5-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Northwestern.
              Nittany Lions are 14-2 ATS in the last 16 meetings.

              Nittany Lions usually start games slow, outscored in 1H by avg. of 5.6ppg on the road.
              NW one of the hottest "home" teams, usually rock 1H, outscore opp. by an avg. of 9.2ppg @ home.
              Revenge will come into play, Nittany Lions abused NW 65-41 less than 2 weeks ago.

              -vai
              Comment
              • xxdjstriderxx
                SBR MVP
                • 11-25-08
                • 4740

                #8
                1-0 to start the day
                Comment
                • raiderhater9572
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 11-04-10
                  • 226

                  #9
                  I like the way you think on the northwestern game they possibly mite not win but I like this Parlay
                  NW -2 1st half + over 60.5
                  Comment
                  • xelance
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-25-10
                    • 1750

                    #10
                    its now a PK -110, go cats first half!
                    Comment
                    • HoulihansTX
                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                      • 02-12-09
                      • 30566

                      #11
                      Comment
                      • firehoyt
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-02-10
                        • 3569

                        #12
                        Tailed u on the Zona 1H thanks!
                        Comment
                        • xelance
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-25-10
                          • 1750

                          #13
                          hit it, thanks a lot man.
                          Comment
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