2/23 Dollars & Sense

[head_strong]

NC State ML +200

-UNC won 8 of last 9 SU, 7-2 ATS.
-NC State won 3 of last 9 SU, 3-6 ATS.
-ACC home dogs are 11-15-1 ATS, 6-10 when less than 6pts.
-1/29 UNC won 84-64, covering the 10.5 line.
-States top defender and 2nd leading rebounder, Richard Howell is out. (also avg 8pts per game)
-Seemingly every statistical stat favors UNC except for the most important one imo, the line. This is an instate Rivalry game and hopefully the number reflects how close the books anticipate this game being.

[linehawk]

Agree with your reasoning. Most would look at all the stats and think UNC wins and covers. The line implores people to follow that logic. I'm all in on the Wolfpack.

[HoulihansTX]

you are the definition of a contrarian bettor

[head_strong]

you are the definition of a contrarian bettor

that's a fairly accurate assessment, its an approach I've found profitable. Does it work every time absolutely not. But I've also consciously made plays where I've backed the public that have came in to. But more times then not I will try to be on the short side, which imo the hardest thing to find is an accurate read on where the $ actually are.

[head_strong]

If this line goes up another 1/2 point, imma buy 2pts and take +8.5...honesty I wanted to see this line closer to 4.5 by tip but that's not going to happen...tip 9pm et.

[head_strong]

Heels team total is up .5 points to 76, Packs down to 70...Heels have only scored more than 76 points 1 time this year on the road @ Boston College ...this is entering into no play territory.

[head_strong]

Central Michigan @ Northern Illinois 8:00pm tip

Northern Illinois-2 (buying 1 point)

[head_strong]

Clippers @ Hornets 9:30pm ESPN

NOR leads at halftime & NOR wins game -170 (5Dimes)

[No coincidences]

I'm fully convinced NIU threw that game.

Up 58-53 with 5 minutes left, now down 60-58 with under a minute to go. Turnovers, missed FT's -- just a total meltdown (or toss job).

[No coincidences]

4 missed layups, 4 turnovers and 0-2 at the line during this stretch. You tell me.

[head_strong]

I didn't see the 2nd half, all I had to see was Jalin Thomas going off for 20+ points in the 1st half and that was enough for me to move my money off and take CMU+1.5 2nd half...feel like I've been dodging bullets all night, talked myself out of NC State cause of the movement in the team totals, paid the juice on NIU, now sweating the Hornets to get a win and get back + tonight. (luckily this game is offered live @ 5Dimes and with the 1st half already in I should probably consider insurance with the way this night has gone)

[HoulihansTX]

Why bet the MAC? Talk about trash basketball. I watched CMU vs Akron about a month ago. The game set basketball back at least 30 years. Why? because the teams had to have shot a combined 10% from the 3pt line.

[GigglyPoop]

4 missed layups, 4 turnovers and 0-2 at the line during this stretch. You tell me.

"No Coincidence's"

[head_strong]

Why bet the MAC? Talk about trash basketball. I watched CMU vs Akron about a month ago. The game set basketball back at least 30 years. Why? because the teams had to have shot a combined 10% from the 3pt line.

I took NIU because CMU was 6-18-1 ATS...CMU avg 59ppg, NIU avg 70ppg...CMU was 2-13 on the road...NIU Xavier Silas nations 8th leading scorer finished with just 10 points, while CMU's Jalin Thomas finished with a career high 29 points, all that considered and NIU still had the lead late in the 2nd half. O well bad play, luckily I realized that at halftime and hedged my play.