Your IQ HAS TO BE UNDER 70 IF.....

kylehen_son · 02-14-11, 07:17 PM

lol at fading the public with zero analysis of what's going to occur ON THE COURT

I pity people that bet like that

yurnero · 02-14-11, 07:22 PM

gee guys, if i always bet on the minority when the public is heavily favored, then i am sure to become a millionaire next week RIGHT? RIGHT GUYS?

Tower · 02-14-11, 07:29 PM

Originally posted by yurnero

gee guys, if i always bet on the minority when the public is heavily favored, then i am sure to become a millionaire next week RIGHT? RIGHT GUYS?

You won't become a millionaire, but you have a better chance than betting WITH the public! I'm not saying the public will win tonight, but how the f\*\*k do you think vegas stays in business?!?!

ACoochy · 02-14-11, 07:42 PM

Managed to get KU early at -3.5 (-114 titanbet)....So tempted to try and middle KSU at +5 (+119 12bet) but would prefer +5.5....GL all

Tower · 02-14-11, 07:50 PM

Originally posted by ACoochy

Managed to get KU early at -3.5 (-114 titanbet)....So tempted to try and middle KSU at +5 (+119 12bet) but would prefer +5.5....GL all

Ah, don't do it. I'm on KSU but if you're KU already, it doesn't make sense to try split the window at +5 or 5.5. Just ride it out and enjoy the game!

BettingWizard · 02-14-11, 07:56 PM

blindly fade 70+ public plays, especially on national tv, and you win. Would love for somebody to post stats that say im wrong

Tower · 02-14-11, 07:59 PM

Originally posted by BettingWizard

blindly fade 70+ public plays, especially on national tv, and you win. Would love for somebody to post stats that say im wrong

I would like to see those stats as well. Blindly following in either direction is a recipe for bankruptcy.

Serbone · 02-14-11, 08:02 PM

Originally posted by BettingWizard

blindly fade 70+ public plays, especially on national tv, and you win. Would love for somebody to post stats that say im wrong

So being on TV changes the way the kids play?
This makes the KU kids worse than usual, and the KSU kids better than usual?
Or what?

BettingWizard · 02-14-11, 08:07 PM

Originally posted by Serbone

So being on TV changes the way the kids play?
This makes the KU kids worse than usual, and the KSU kids better than usual?
Or what?

books are more likely to take sides (gamble) with a lot of action, IF they have good reason to. National TV games have a lot of action, of course

GemSportsPicks · 02-14-11, 08:16 PM

Dozer I really hope, your plays are more then just going against public in Marquee matchups... It is hot right now, but it will swing back to cold... I really hope you have other criteria that you look into... Cause otherwise you are in for a disaster when things swing back... Generally first 2-3 weeks of CBB are public, then next 5-6 weeks are Anti public... Then it swings back, I don't want to see you get crushed right before the tourney.

Tower · 02-14-11, 08:16 PM

Originally posted by BettingWizard

books are more likely to take sides (gamble) with a lot of action, IF they have good reason to. National TV games have a lot of action, of course

So why would it be a better idea to follow public plays on national tv and have a higher chance of winning.... I'm not quite following...

sjzoo915 · 02-14-11, 08:20 PM

The fact that it is going up to 6 show Vegas wants people off Kansas and onto Kansas St.........i am with you on KSU or no play but the line moving to 6 isnt a good sign as you are trying to make it seem

warriorfan707 · 02-14-11, 08:23 PM

Originally posted by BettingWizard

blindly fade 70+ public plays, especially on national tv, and you win. Would love for somebody to post stats that say im wrong

what is your source for this?

GemSportsPicks · 02-14-11, 08:31 PM

For the record here, I wasn't hating on Dozer, his record is very good and I wish him all the best... I too am generally antipublic player.. .And I've went on runs over the years where I hit 70% over a 300 play span... But then things turn... Even after the turn I was still ahead on paper, but the thing is when it turns bad, you start adjusting bets and switching bets, and that leads to trouble... Tonight I can't see Kansas State hanging around, but the fact that it went up to 7 kind of sucks value out of kansas... The first game they played was the biggest under ever with like 48 points at the half, then they dropped 100 in second half cause Kansas state plays no Defenese... In the first game in the first half there was alot of missed layups, I would say sstay away from the side and go with the over in this one... If you like KSTATe the only way for them to hang around is to score, therefore over is better to me.

GemSportsPicks · 02-14-11, 08:33 PM

Originally posted by sjzoo915

The fact that it is going up to 6 show Vegas wants people off Kansas and onto Kansas St.........i am with you on KSU or no play but the line moving to 6 isnt a good sign as you are trying to make it seem

The line going to 6 is actually very bad, would have much rather seen it go to +2 if I was on KSATE

Tower · 02-14-11, 08:52 PM

Originally posted by GemSportsPicks

The line going to 6 is actually very bad, would have much rather seen it go to +2 if I was on KSATE

Thats odd, I would prefer the line move to +27 if I was going to go on KSU.

3GCOVERAGE · 02-14-11, 09:49 PM

Originally posted by GemSportsPicks

The line going to 6 is actually very bad, would have much rather seen it go to +2 if I was on KSATE

No the books just knew people would take kansas at. -6.

BettingWizard · 02-14-11, 10:12 PM

BettingWizard · 02-14-11, 10:13 PM

Originally posted by kylehen_son

lol at fading the public with zero analysis of what's going to occur ON THE COURT

I pity people that bet like that

PRiiMO · 02-14-11, 10:52 PM

well dozer you grabbed one outta the air bro. good call

BOM BOM

dozer · 02-14-11, 11:03 PM

tick tick tick.....

dozer · 02-14-11, 11:04 PM

not even close start to finsh.

dozer · 02-14-11, 11:04 PM

grabbed out of the air....hahahaha

xelance · 02-14-11, 11:10 PM

congrats dozer, another good call.

Balco10 · 02-14-11, 11:10 PM

Originally posted by LordCC

My guess is the line was very slow to start with, and thus it looked fishy. Since the public is on Kansas and it's a prime time game in Kansas St., the thinking is to side with them.

I have heard that the books are wanting people to play Kansas, so I am not sure what I am going to do as I have been burned a few times by Kansas St. this year.

Exactly this was a fixed game for Vegas to make a bundle!

fishmonger · 02-14-11, 11:11 PM

wish I would of seen this earlier. Went to get a late night hair cut after work.

EDDIE MONEY LINE · 02-14-11, 11:17 PM

hahahaha love the title of this thread....Let's cash that K state money!!!

EasyHustlin · 02-15-11, 12:00 AM

Congrats on the win. Pullen shot the lights out and had a great game. I've never seen Ku play so flat in my life.

Gonad · 02-15-11, 12:03 AM

Dozer, in the strictest form of hetero possible, I love you...

pacocn · 02-15-11, 12:12 AM

dozer, the only thing lower than my iq is my
bankroll, i took a beating on kansas tonight

i am a believer

dozer · 02-15-11, 12:16 AM

Throw me some points gonad you got over 4g

dozer · 02-15-11, 12:17 AM

Yah, me too. They are called winners

Rob7168 · 02-15-11, 12:36 AM

mmmm,,gotta agree there....Kst. picks the GAME of games,,to come out and control,,,,makes you wonder,, did Vegas pull a "Runner"????.............

BigDofBA · 02-15-11, 12:50 AM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

I like K-State to cover. They might even win the game.

to K-State backers. I love how people that were betting on KU with the public called us K-State backers idiots even though we had legit reasons for our pick.

Vegas doesn't like giving out money for free people. If a line looks way too easy, it usually isn't. K-State has talent and was at home in a game they had to have. I'm not surprised they knocked off their rival tonight. Getting 7 in a game like this was a gift.