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Dogs System Thread for Remainder of the Season

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  • thfootball
    SBR MVP
    • 01-16-11
    • 1771

    #36
    better start sticking to home favorites with things coming to an end looks like to me. Hopefully your not betting any money and just making picks. I could never follow you. Way too many individual picks.
    Comment
    • AbeFroman
      SBR Sharp
      • 11-21-10
      • 384

      #37
      Hi Vai,

      I'm going to take money off these plays for the time being to see if we can catch a reversal here that stays profitable.

      Over the same two weeks period last season, the reversal was 30-14 ATS, so while we have a small sample size, it's a start. That being said, we don't want to data mine, so I will compare past seasons at the conclusion of this one when I get some more time.
      Comment
      • AbeFroman
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-21-10
        • 384

        #38
        Per the above post, going to post all games with short spreads, and we will see what hits at the more consistent clip from here on out.
        Tier A:
        Memphis +1 at East Carolina -1.5
        Colorado +1.5 at Iowa State -1.5
        Eastern Michigan +1.5 at Northern Illinois -1.5
        Tier B:
        Florida State +2.5 vs. UNC -2.5
        Miami +1 vs Maryland -1
        Comment
        • AbeFroman
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-21-10
          • 384

          #39
          Tier A:
          Memphis +1 at East Carolina -1.5
          Colorado +1.5 at Iowa State -1.5
          Eastern Michigan +1.5 at Northern Illinois -1.5
          Tier B:
          Florida State +2.5 vs. UNC -2.5
          Miami +1 vs Maryland -1

          Well an interesting night.

          The normal system:
          Tier A:
          0-3
          Tier B:
          2-0
          Week:
          Tier A:
          1-9
          Tier B:
          2-0
          Comment
          • AbeFroman
            SBR Sharp
            • 11-21-10
            • 384

            #40
            Originally posted by thfootball
            better start sticking to home favorites with things coming to an end looks like to me. Hopefully your not betting any money and just making picks. I could never follow you. Way too many individual picks.
            Hey TH,

            Thanks for stopping by.

            I picked the system up mid-way through the season, and by pulling out now, it still leaves me with some profit.

            When I first started posting this system's picks a little while back, I did it with the premise of a belief that I needed to reaffirm come the off-season with past statistical data so I could see if there was an edge and not just data mining from this season.

            Will check back in the off-season with updated information, but that's my rationale. Thanks!
            Comment
            • AbeFroman
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-21-10
              • 384

              #41
              Here we go for tonight, 3-3-11 plays:
              Tier A:
              Oregon +1.5 at Arizona State +1.5
              Bradley +1 at Drake -1
              Mercer +1.5 at Lipscomb
              Tier B:
              Seton Hall +3.5 vs St. Johns -3.5
              La. Tech +2.5 vs. Nevada -2
              Comment
              • IAMWINNER
                SBR MVP
                • 02-28-11
                • 1012

                #42
                Originally posted by AbeFroman
                Here we go for tonight, 3-3-11 plays: Tier A: Oregon +1.5 at Arizona State +1.5 Bradley +1 at Drake -1 Mercer +1.5 at Lipscomb Tier B: Seton Hall +3.5 vs St. Johns -3.5 La. Tech +2.5 vs. Nevada -2
                Which team are you suppose to bet on
                Comment
                • AbeFroman
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 11-21-10
                  • 384

                  #43
                  Hey IAMWINNER,

                  The premise of this thread was to bet short dogs, however, I've noticed over the last week and a half to two weeks that short dogs have gone down the crapper, which was consistent with this time last season. So I am no longer playing these picks, merely tracking for the purpose of further research for next season. Sorry I am of no help in the pick making process.
                  Comment
                  • AbeFroman
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 11-21-10
                    • 384

                    #44
                    Tier A:
                    1-3
                    Tier B:
                    2-0

                    Results from last night above from a record standpoint

                    Week:
                    Tier A:
                    3-12
                    Tier B:
                    4-0
                    Comment
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