Xavier at Duq...whats going on here?

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  • ThingsFallApart
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-24-10
    • 880

    #1
    Xavier at Duq...whats going on here?
    From what I understand Xavier was given 5 points, over 70% of the public was on them and the line went up to 5.5?

    What in the hell does that mean?


    I have action on Xav ML and this is a little concerning
  • LolsMcwinsey
    SBR MVP
    • 06-08-10
    • 2660

    #2
    ML for duq went from -220 to -240 in the past hour
    Comment
    • Tklane21
      SBR High Roller
      • 09-18-08
      • 149

      #3
      You have to remember that consensus numbers don't calculate the amount of money on each side, just the number of bets.

      Sure 70% may be on Xavier, but if they're all casuals betting $50 a piece while the 30% on Duq are dropping $500 a piece then the line is going to shift against the public to try and balance the big bets.
      Comment
      • k13
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-16-10
        • 18104

        #4
        It means Xavier is going to lose.
        Comment
        • cockblocker
          SBR MVP
          • 04-26-09
          • 1268

          #5
          Cinci/Duq ML parlay is looking good right now.
          Comment
          • LolsMcwinsey
            SBR MVP
            • 06-08-10
            • 2660

            #6
            Originally posted by cockblocker
            Cinci/Duq ML parlay is looking good right now.
            was just thinking that
            Comment
            • oChRoNiCo
              SBR MVP
              • 07-18-09
              • 2984

              #7
              fwiw I am on Duquense. Xavier lost their last confrence game on the road @ 10-14 Charlotte as a 8.5 point favorite they lost that game 62-66. Duquense lost their last game @ St Bonaventure as a 8.5 point favorite. The Bonnies had a very hot night shooting going %46 overall and %46.2 from 3 while shooting %80 from the charity stripe. I am looking for them to bounce back in this spot here today and make a statement in the A-10. Before the St Bonaventure game Duquense had won and covered the spread in their last 9 games looking for them to get back on that track today.
              Comment
              • swaindexter
                SBR MVP
                • 02-27-07
                • 1228

                #8
                X is a great play today.....................
                Comment
                • CMNoney
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-07-11
                  • 2129

                  #9
                  Originally posted by cockblocker
                  Cinci/Duq ML parlay is looking good right now.
                  I have the exact opposite ML parlay. Took St. Johns and Xavier + money.
                  Comment
                  • CMNoney
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-07-11
                    • 2129

                    #10
                    Originally posted by oChRoNiCo
                    fwiw I am on Duquense. Xavier lost their last confrence game on the road @ 10-14 Charlotte as a 8.5 point favorite they lost that game 62-66. Duquense lost their last game @ St Bonaventure as a 8.5 point favorite. The Bonnies had a very hot night shooting going %46 overall and %46.2 from 3 while shooting %80 from the charity stripe. I am looking for them to bounce back in this spot here today and make a statement in the A-10. Before the St Bonaventure game Duquense had won and covered the spread in their last 9 games looking for them to get back on that track today.
                    X lost that game because Tu Holloway had the worst game of his career. He went 3-17 from the field (0-8 from 3 point land) and had 6 turnovers. Most of those shots were good looks too. That game was the definition of a fluke.
                    Comment
                    • Serbone
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-21-09
                      • 1300

                      #11
                      Do not get spooked by line movement like that... handicap the goddam game.
                      The other day (Thurs I think, look it up) NCAA teams that had > 60% of the bets on their side on this offshore site went 13-1.
                      Does that make it a future certainty?
                      Xavier is a quality club with tradition, Duq is a hot up and comer.
                      Xavier understands the importance of the game, has played a much tougher non conference schedule, SOS Xavier 28 to Duq's 138. They played Seton Hall, Gonzaga, Florida, Cincinnati, Iowa, Georgia
                      And Xavier has a GREAT go-to guard, Holloway.
                      I lean to Xavier + 5.5.
                      Comment
                      • oChRoNiCo
                        SBR MVP
                        • 07-18-09
                        • 2984

                        #12
                        I suppose Duquesne previous 9 before their last game were all flukes too huh LoL hey thats fine everyone jump on Xavier I will take my chances with the other guys and btw I do like seeing the RLM
                        Comment
                        • dotheopposite
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 02-12-08
                          • 426

                          #13
                          Duquesne is a great team at home. Just coming off a tough loss on the road. They should be ready to play
                          Comment
                          • Serbone
                            SBR MVP
                            • 09-21-09
                            • 1300

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Serbone
                            Do not get spooked by line movement like that... handicap the goddam game.
                            The other day (Thurs I think, look it up) NCAA teams that had > 60% of the bets on their side on this offshore site went 13-1.
                            Does that make it a future certainty?
                            Xavier is a quality club with tradition, Duq is a hot up and comer.
                            Xavier understands the importance of the game, has played a much tougher non conference schedule, SOS Xavier 28 to Duq's 138. They played Seton Hall, Gonzaga, Florida, Cincinnati, Iowa, Georgia
                            And Xavier has a GREAT go-to guard, Holloway.
                            I lean to Xavier + 5.5.
                            Save time; ask SerbOne.
                            Comment
                            • Serbone
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-21-09
                              • 1300

                              #15
                              Originally posted by dotheopposite
                              Duquesne is a great team at home. Just coming off a tough loss on the road. They should be ready to play

                              Xavier has played an NCAA Tourney ready schedule. Duquesne is a good squad, but played mostly patsies.
                              Xavier was ready for this game, they have been there...
                              Comment
                              • LockPickMaster
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-15-09
                                • 1943

                                #16
                                Dukes had no one that could take on the X 7 footer, total size mismatch today.
                                Comment
                                • fishmonger
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 12-31-08
                                  • 1492

                                  #17
                                  was kicking myself when I took Xavier +4.5 when it moved to +5.5 but I guess it didn't matter.
                                  Comment
                                  • spredzgeek
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 12-02-09
                                    • 128

                                    #18
                                    the x hooking me up on my parlay yea!
                                    Comment
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