1/30 False Favorites (11-17 YTD)

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  • asian.executive
    SBR MVP
    • 10-19-10
    • 1866

    #1
    1/30 False Favorites (11-17 YTD)
    4-3 Saturday
    11-17 YTD

    2:00 PM Detroit @ Wisc GB -3
    * Detroit should be favored by -6.
    * Wisc GB is a False Favorite!
    * Detroit +3 is the Lock!

    2:00 PM Providence @ Seton Hall -4.5
    * Providence should be favored by -11.
    * Seton Hall is a False Favorite!
    * Providence +4.5 is the Lock!

    3:05 PM Drake @ Illinois St -6
    * Drake should be favored by -4.
    * Illinois St is a False Favorite!
    * Drake +6 is the Lock!

    4:00 PM Iowa @ Michigan -7.5
    * Iowa should be favored by -5.
    * Michigan is a False Favorite!
    * Iowa +7.5 is the Lock!


  • Tower
    SBR MVP
    • 04-15-10
    • 1331

    #2
    So GB, SH, Ill St, and Mich are the bets?
    Comment
    • PP
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 11-27-10
      • 816

      #3
      ? same question as Tower
      Comment
      • chiliv5
        Restricted User
        • 02-16-10
        • 1273

        #4
        iowa favored by 5 at michigan? how do you come up with that?????????????????/
        Comment
        • asian.executive
          SBR MVP
          • 10-19-10
          • 1866

          #5
          Originally posted by Tower
          So GB, SH, Ill St, and Mich are the bets?
          I can't tell you what to do. I post what the Excel says and I posted update records.
          Comment
          • esulima
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-20-11
            • 901

            #6
            any NBA today?
            Comment
            • NinjaShoes
              SBR Hustler
              • 01-27-11
              • 93

              #7
              Originally posted by Tower
              So GB, SH, Ill St, and Mich are the bets?
              lol that is exactly what this means. im def taking michigan and i already took seton hall
              Comment
              • RiverBoatGambler
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 12-29-10
                • 627

                #8
                Yes you fade his excel bets. His formula works backwards from what he wanted, but hell it works if u fade it
                Comment
                • asian.executive
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-19-10
                  • 1866

                  #9
                  Originally posted by esulima
                  any NBA today?
                  I stopped checking NBA. The new semester started and I have bullshit busy work papers due every week. Such bullshit syllabuses this semester. What does it show if I can type 2-3 papers each week if I want to enter the finance field one day? Nothing.
                  Comment
                  • PP
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 11-27-10
                    • 816

                    #10
                    What inputs do you use for the formula?
                    Comment
                    • asian.executive
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-19-10
                      • 1866

                      #11
                      Originally posted by PP
                      What inputs do you use for the formula?
                      1. Average PF
                      2. Average PA
                      3. The O/U total for the game.

                      a. Visitor PF squared.
                      b. Visitor PA squared.
                      c. a minus b.
                      d. O/U total times a.
                      e. O/U total times b.
                      f. d minus e.
                      g. Do the same calculations above for the Home team.
                      Comment
                      • asian.executive
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-19-10
                        • 1866

                        #12
                        It amazes me how you this system evolved. You would think a math major could take variables you provide and be able to do something with it. I was hoping to have this great program to take Las Vegas down and then maybe sell the rights to it for millions to a corporation. I admit I was mad when we started to backtest it. But I know how to check my ego. If the inverse occurs then a smart person would fade it. It is just disheartening to watch this be faded but money is money. Right mami?
                        Comment
                        • Tower
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-15-10
                          • 1331

                          #13
                          Originally posted by asian.executive
                          It amazes me how you this system evolved. You would think a math major could take variables you provide and be able to do something with it. I was hoping to have this great program to take Las Vegas down and then maybe sell the rights to it for millions to a corporation. I admit I was mad when we started to backtest it. But I know how to check my ego. If the inverse occurs then a smart person would fade it. It is just disheartening to watch this be faded but money is money. Right mami?

                          Comment
                          • primetime27
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 12-26-10
                            • 256

                            #14
                            it may not be working like you wanted it to, but if it stays like this you have built a great fade system. Keep posting and tracking
                            Comment
                            • PP
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 11-27-10
                              • 816

                              #15
                              Nice you went 1-3, or shall I say 3-1 for those that fade it. Keep on posting...
                              Comment
                              • asian.executive
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-19-10
                                • 1866

                                #16
                                1-3 Sunday

                                12-20
                                YTD


                                Comment
                                • PP
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-27-10
                                  • 816

                                  #17
                                  What is PF and PA for you, as in abbreviation?
                                  Comment
                                  • Kustac
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 10-15-09
                                    • 550

                                    #18
                                    I'd be curious to know what were the results when you back tested it? how "bad" were they
                                    Comment
                                    • Fang-Banger
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-04-10
                                      • 2805

                                      #19
                                      Frupta Juice!!
                                      Comment
                                      • asian.executive
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-19-10
                                        • 1866

                                        #20
                                        pts for
                                        pts against

                                        How bad? 25%-40% winners.
                                        Comment
                                        • spargament
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-22-09
                                          • 1739

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by asian.executive
                                          pts for
                                          pts against

                                          How bad? 25%-40% winners.
                                          Or 60-75% winners....
                                          Comment
                                          • ccat1133
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 12-06-09
                                            • 45

                                            #22
                                            you got anything today A.E.
                                            Comment
                                            • primetime27
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 12-26-10
                                              • 256

                                              #23
                                              where are you at
                                              Comment
                                              • jarvol
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-13-10
                                                • 6074

                                                #24
                                                False favorite fade winners where are you?
                                                Comment
                                                • peteymal
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 08-03-09
                                                  • 49

                                                  #25
                                                  where is my boy?

                                                  Originally posted by jarvol
                                                  False favorite fade winners where are you?


                                                  i love you man!you got the hottest system year to date. Bless us with your fades sir
                                                  Comment
                                                  • asian.executive
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-19-10
                                                    • 1866

                                                    #26
                                                    Sorry friends! I had class and if vegas doesn't release total early enough I cannot crunk the numbers.

                                                    I am checking right now for me and my friends who like to fade.
                                                    Comment
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