1/29 False Favorites NCAAB

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  • asian.executive
    SBR MVP
    • 10-19-10
    • 1866

    #1
    1/29 False Favorites NCAAB
    3-3 Friday
    7-14 YTD

    Checking games now.
  • asian.executive
    SBR MVP
    • 10-19-10
    • 1866

    #2
    519 Xavier 12:00 PM
    520 Richmond -4

    Richmond should not be favored. The Excel file shows Xavier as a -3 pt favorite.

    The purpose of the program is to find games where the wrong team is favored.

    Xavier +4 is the pick.
    Comment
    • asian.executive
      SBR MVP
      • 10-19-10
      • 1866

      #3
      537 Florida -5.5
      538 Miss St 1:00 PM

      Mississippi St should be favored by -5. Florida is the false favorite.

      Miss St +5.5 is the pick.
      Comment
      • asian.executive
        SBR MVP
        • 10-19-10
        • 1866

        #4
        569 Wisconsin -4.5
        570 Penn St 4:00 PM

        The Excel shows Penn St as a -3 pt favorite. Wisconsin is the FF.

        Penn St +4.5 is the pick.
        Comment
        • pacocn
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 07-05-10
          • 12934

          #5
          7-14 may be fade material although u
          went 50 percent yesterday
          Comment
          • firehoyt
            SBR MVP
            • 12-02-10
            • 3569

            #6
            Great! I've got X @ +4. Thanks for the jinx
            Comment
            • Vince Lombardi
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 11-23-08
              • 841

              #7
              Fade away.
              Comment
              • asian.executive
                SBR MVP
                • 10-19-10
                • 1866

                #8
                50% is a good day for this Excel based formulation system
                Comment
                • asian.executive
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-19-10
                  • 1866

                  #9
                  There was not a total on Flor St and Clemson earlier. I input the 6 variables and it says this game is even pick. Which means the Clemson is a false favorite.

                  Florda St +2.5 is the pick
                  @ Noon
                  Comment
                  • esulima
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-20-11
                    • 901

                    #10
                    not if your trying to make money 50% + the juice your in the negative
                    Comment
                    • asian.executive
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-19-10
                      • 1866

                      #11
                      Minnesota @ Purdue (1:00 PM)

                      Excel file says Minnesota should be favorired by -5. Purdue is the FF!

                      Minnesota +9 is the pick
                      Comment
                      • ebbearsfb1
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-07-08
                        • 18815

                        #12
                        how to you figure that 50% is a good day? unless your betting teams at plus money
                        Comment
                        • asian.executive
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-19-10
                          • 1866

                          #13
                          Originally posted by esulima
                          not if your trying to make money 50% + the juice your in the negative
                          The system formula has been so badly that 50% is a relief on a night is what I am meaning.
                          Comment
                          • ebbearsfb1
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-07-08
                            • 18815

                            #14
                            Originally posted by asian.executive
                            The system formula has been so badly that 50% is a relief on a night is what I am meaning.

                            gotcha, best of luck with today
                            Comment
                            • asian.executive
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-19-10
                              • 1866

                              #15
                              Summary for Saturday

                              12:00 Xavier
                              12:00 Florida St
                              1:00 Miss St
                              1:00 Minnesota
                              4:00 Penn St

                              Late games will be cruncked through the formula later.
                              Comment
                              • kishipp
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 10-30-09
                                • 750

                                #16
                                i like florida state too. but clemson is giving points because home court advantage, going to be a good game.
                                Comment
                                • asian.executive
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-19-10
                                  • 1866

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by kishipp
                                  i like florida state too. but clemson is giving points because home court advantage, going to be a good game.
                                  System = 7-14 YTD
                                  Comment
                                  • Tower
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-15-10
                                    • 1331

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by kishipp
                                    i like florida state too. but clemson is giving points because home court advantage, going to be a good game.
                                    you're supposed to fade these picks.
                                    Comment
                                    • asian.executive
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-19-10
                                      • 1866

                                      #19
                                      9:00 PM

                                      Northern Colorado @ Weber St

                                      Northern should not be favored. According to the Excel formulation system the Weber St shold be favored by -4.

                                      Weber St +1 is the pick
                                      Comment
                                      • asian.executive
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-19-10
                                        • 1866

                                        #20
                                        9:00 PM

                                        Montana @ Montana St

                                        Montana should not be gavored. Excel formula system sauys Montana St should be favored by -6.

                                        Montana St +2.5 is the pick
                                        Comment
                                        • jds07v
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 10-19-09
                                          • 1335

                                          #21
                                          Asian, have you run the #'s with picking these teams on the ML instead of the spread?
                                          Comment
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