betting my balls on ball state

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  • cala56
    SBR MVP
    • 02-25-10
    • 4231

    #1
    betting my balls on ball state
    Is my big play today, the line looks like a gift, they won everehting at home, mrehead is playing horrible. 5 units of my bankroll here. Good luck
  • RiverBoatGambler
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-29-10
    • 627

    #2
    Originally posted by cala56
    Is my big play today, the line looks like a gift, they won everehting at home, mrehead is playing horrible. 5 units of my bankroll here. Good luck
    I'm with you. I threw some serious cash down. Let's get it!!
    Comment
    • No coincidences
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-18-10
      • 76300

      #3
      Hate the MAC and everything about it.

      Who guards Faried?
      Comment
      • Mr Handicapable
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-23-07
        • 6067

        #4
        I don't get this line (-2) whatsoever I checked to make sure nobody got hurt on Ball State! They've won 7 in a row (4-0-1 ATS @home)....last 4 games by 9 or more (opp. only 57 ppg)! They're leading the MAC in FT attempts which is always a good sign as well! KenPom has Ball State winning by 6!

        I also like Baylor/KState Over 137 tonite! These 2 teams usually run-n-gun when they meet! They've avg. 158 ppg in their last 4 meetings....both teams score 73 ppg this year!
        Comment
        • utmoody10
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-19-08
          • 304

          #5
          Only thing I am worried about is the rebounding advantage that Morehead has but if they continue to shoot it poorly from the field Ball State should easily cover. Ball State also gets to the free throw line pretty often and the fact that Morehead plays five guys 75% of the minutes could mean trouble for the Eagles if fouls rack up.
          Comment
          • No coincidences
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-18-10
            • 76300

            #6
            Originally posted by Mr Handicapable
            I don't get this line (-2) whatsoever I checked to make sure nobody got hurt on Ball State! They've won 7 in a row (4-0-1 ATS @home)....last 4 games by 9 or more (opp. only 57 ppg)! They're leading the MAC in FT attempts which is always a good sign as well! KenPom has Ball State winning by 6!
            Not only that, but it's gone down from 2.5.

            20 cent ML drop, too.

            I think Morehead might win SU.
            Comment
            • vitalyo
              SBR MVP
              • 12-05-07
              • 1615

              #7
              Cala56 TNX for the tip .
              GL.
              Comment
              • vitalyo
                SBR MVP
                • 12-05-07
                • 1615

                #8
                Originally posted by No coincidences
                Not only that, but it's gone down from 2.5.

                20 cent ML drop, too.

                I think Morehead might win SU.
                What book are you with -2 is available at the most of the books


                pinnacle Lines effective: 1/24/2011 10:48:31 AM
                and it's been this way for the last hour .

                Ball State
                -2 1.943 , ML 1.763

                Morehead State
                +2 1.962 , ML 2.190
                Comment
                • RiverBoatGambler
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-29-10
                  • 627

                  #9
                  Originally posted by vitalyo
                  What book are you with -2 is available at the most of the books pinnacle Lines effective: 1/24/2011 10:48:31 AM and it's been this way for the last hour . Ball State -2 1.943 , ML 1.763 Morehead State +2 1.962 , ML 2.190
                  The line opened at -3 Ball State. It has progressively went down. Apparently people know something that I don't.....FML


                  My bet is already locked in though. Just gonna ride it out
                  Comment
                  • LockPickMaster
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-15-09
                    • 1943

                    #10
                    Since their loss to Valpo, Ball St has played a bunch of cupcakes according to KenPom. Now they play #149 Morehead St. Ball St is #120 on KenPom. And one of the coaches on Morehead St was a former Ball St coach so he knows their strategies. I think the play is Morehead St tonight. GL
                    Comment
                    • PaperTrail07
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 08-29-08
                      • 20423

                      #11
                      Hometeam!

                      Has Ball St Written all over it--you sure nobody is hurt?
                      Comment
                      • JMUplayer
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-27-09
                        • 2765

                        #12
                        Originally posted by cala56
                        Is my big play today, the line looks like a gift, they won everehting at home, mrehead is playing horrible. 5 units of my bankroll here. Good luck
                        As big at Georgia last week?
                        Comment
                        • cala56
                          SBR MVP
                          • 02-25-10
                          • 4231

                          #13
                          KenPom.com

                          145 Morehead St. at 120 Ball St. Ball St. 65-59 (73%)
                          Comment
                          • cala56
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-25-10
                            • 4231

                            #14
                            Originally posted by JMUplayer
                            As big at Georgia last week?


                            Is bigger, How are you friend, which side of the bet are you? Some lean?
                            Comment
                            • Vol_Bengal
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 11-30-10
                              • 480

                              #15
                              Originally posted by JMUplayer

                              As big at Georgia last week?
                              what I was thinking...
                              Comment
                              • Mr Handicapable
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-23-07
                                • 6067

                                #16
                                Originally posted by cala56
                                KenPom.com

                                145 Morehead St. at 120 Ball St. Ball St. 65-59 (73%)
                                He also has BS by 6

                                I'm throwing my Green Bay money all over the place....BS -2 for me!!
                                Comment
                                • LockPickMaster
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-15-09
                                  • 1943

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by cala56
                                  KenPom.com 145 Morehead St. at 120 Ball St. Ball St. 65-59 (73%)
                                  KenPom is good at predicting straight up winners. I would not use that score as a gauge and that predictor is 73% chance that Ball St wins. If it were above 91% then I would go with Ball St. There are better games to wager on. GL
                                  Comment
                                  • ND25
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 05-02-10
                                    • 249

                                    #18
                                    Kenneth Faried
                                    Comment
                                    • balls2wall
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-20-09
                                      • 2642

                                      #19
                                      ...so that is 2.5 units per nut??




                                      good luck
                                      Comment
                                      • BigDofBA
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 09-30-09
                                        • 19313

                                        #20
                                        I will never bet on a MAC game in any sport ever again.
                                        Comment
                                        • Mr Handicapable
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-23-07
                                          • 6067

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by LockPickMaster
                                          KenPom is good at predicting straight up winners. I would not use that score as a gauge and that predictor is 73% chance that Ball St wins. If it were above 91% then I would go with Ball St. There are better games to wager on. GL
                                          BS has won 7 in row....4-0-1 ATS at home
                                          Morehead is 2-12 SU in their last 14 road games...plus I'm only laying 2
                                          I like my chances....I can live with 73%!!
                                          Comment
                                          • RiverBoatGambler
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 12-29-10
                                            • 627

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by ND25
                                            Kenneth Faried
                                            Jarrod Jones inside.

                                            Randy Davis and Scaife and Berry strokin the 3 balls at home.....

                                            Ball State baby
                                            Comment
                                            • Mr Handicapable
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 09-23-07
                                              • 6067

                                              #23
                                              Morehead shot 25.9% and 29.6% last 2 games....going on the road against a team giving up 54 ppg at home! I'm a Hoosier....played Indiana State, Ball State, Notre Dame, & faded Purdue (vs Penn State) the other night! I'm 14-6 ATS involving Indiana teams this year!
                                              Comment
                                              • LockPickMaster
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-15-09
                                                • 1943

                                                #24
                                                I'll take shot on Morehead St.
                                                Comment
                                                • nyplayer33
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 09-27-06
                                                  • 8303

                                                  #25
                                                  Years ago i thought i had a system for lines out of whack..bet the other side..well it didn't work...so lines going in the wrong direction doesnt mean anything.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LLXC
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-10-06
                                                    • 8972

                                                    #26
                                                    If Faried keeps shooting poorly and turns the ball over, Ball St has a good chance.

                                                    Morehead St will get a ton of extra looks from their offensive rebounding advantage.

                                                    That said, I also am on Ball St. but not for anything large. I think they will get to the foul line and shoot a bunch of FTs.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Mr Handicapable
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-23-07
                                                      • 6067

                                                      #27
                                                      Morehead's last road game...lost by 7 to E. Illinois (278 rpi-KenPom)! Its hard enough for superior teams to win on the road...let alone a struggling team 2-10 SU in their last 12 road games!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 01-29-09
                                                        • 22670

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by LockPickMaster
                                                        Since their loss to Valpo, Ball St has played a bunch of cupcakes according to KenPom. Now they play #149 Morehead St. Ball St is #120 on KenPom. And one of the coaches on Morehead St was a former Ball St coach so he knows their strategies. I think the play is Morehead St tonight. GL
                                                        this is one of the single-most underrated factors in handicapping. the coaching angle plus the line movement means i'm skipping this game altogether. BOL to everyone who plays it.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • TPowell
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 02-21-08
                                                          • 18842

                                                          #29
                                                          Faried has been awful scoring the past 2 games. Something like 13 points total for a guy avering 17 a game. I think Ball State is the better team so I'm betting them AT HOME because the line should be at least 4.5 or so
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cala56
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-25-10
                                                            • 4231

                                                            #30
                                                            We have a gift of 2.5 points in thisbet. I think the line should be -4.5 too
                                                            Comment
                                                            • tonislug
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 11-19-10
                                                              • 54

                                                              #31
                                                              Morehead st is a lock
                                                              Comment
                                                              • THoll702
                                                                SBR High Roller
                                                                • 02-21-10
                                                                • 180

                                                                #32
                                                                I think David Letterman also has a play on his alma mater, Ball St. -2.5. They have been good to me so far this year. Hopefully, this is not a trap. Go cardinals!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Mr Handicapable
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 09-23-07
                                                                  • 6067

                                                                  #33
                                                                  25-15 BS at half....they play D!! 20 minutes to go but I've studied all the Indiana hoops teams pretty closely and Ball State is the most underrated (for their level of competition anyway)!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • cala56
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-25-10
                                                                    • 4231

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Morehead cant score ball too
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ebbearsfb1
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-07-08
                                                                      • 18815

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Ball state stinks
                                                                      Comment
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