Nosco's Big East Mania

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  • noscopy
    SBR Rookie
    • 01-09-11
    • 41

    #1
    Nosco's Big East Mania
    What's up SBR. It's about that time of year again to start betting NCAA basketball heavily again. Last season, I profited 300 units during Big East conference play starting about this time and going through the Big East tournament. My strategy is simple: primarily underdogs with the points. Now that Big East conference play is starting to heat up, the system is starting to work again.

    1/8: Underdogs go 4-2 (including UConn +8 @ Texas which was an unreasonably high line). The only two underdogs that didn't cover: St Johns @ Notre Dame and Providence @ Rutgers. St Johns was a tough loss, but just as a rule of thumb... never bet on Providence. Period.

    1/9 Underdogs go 1-1. I stayed away from both of these games because I felt Cinci was overrated (and therefore didn't cover @Nova) and this was the first big game that USF has played (they covered @Louisville).

    This system is not perfect, but it is definitely a good starting point. More importantly, this system will keep you from falling into the trap bets that are so common place in college basketball. The more you watch these games, the more you will start to understand the build of each team, but as the season moves forward there will be plenty of opportunities to bet on undervalued squads who have avg records due to the consistently gruesome Big East competition.

    I will start posting my picks of the day this week.
  • noscopy
    SBR Rookie
    • 01-09-11
    • 41

    #2
    1/10: There is only one Big East conference game tonight. I love Notre Dame +3 @ Marquette. I actually like the Catholics to win this game, but play it safe and take the points.

    My standard unit is $50, but I really like this line:

    1.2 units @ -110


    On a side note, I like $cam Newton and the Tigers tonight in a high-scoring matchup
    Comment
    • El_Pateaux
      SBR High Roller
      • 06-13-10
      • 131

      #3
      I really like the ND ML here, just gotta get the balls to take it.
      Comment
      • noscopy
        SBR Rookie
        • 01-09-11
        • 41

        #4
        1/11: There is only one Big East game today and can't muster the strength to take Rutgers +11.5 @ UConn. I think it is a good pick, especially with UConn coming off an overtime thriller @ Texas, but Rutgers is strong inside but don't have enough fire power to keep up with UConn if Kemba and Co. start rolling. So here are my CBB picks for the day...

        Michigan St Over 121. 5 1.1 unit to win 1
        Auburn +24.5 1.1 unit to win 1
        Illinois -4.5 1.1 unit to win 1
        Baylor Over 131.5 1.1 unit to win 1
        Comment
        • noscopy
          SBR Rookie
          • 01-09-11
          • 41

          #5
          Some games came down to the wire tonight. Luckily, Sparty made a run to put the game in OT. Also, after a terribly slow start (down 31-9 to start the game) Auburn was able to hold on for the cover. Overall, a pretty good night...

          MSU: Win
          Auburn: Win
          Baylor: Win
          Illinois: Loss

          Win 2.9 Units.
          Comment
          • noscopy
            SBR Rookie
            • 01-09-11
            • 41

            #6
            Tonight is big night for CBB!! I have a few Big East picks and a few other picks that I like a lot!

            Here we go...

            Syracuse -2.5 (I'm really a fan of this line) 1.6 units to win 1.44
            Parlay: Syracuse -2.5/Over 144 .4 units to win 1.04
            Louisville +4.5 1.1 units to win 1
            Oklahoma St 1.1 units to win 1
            Duke -7.5 1.1 units to win 1
            Mizzou Over 141 1.1 units to win 1

            Let me know what yall think! I might have some NBA picks later thanks to El_Pateaux!!

            Go Orange!
            Comment
            • noscopy
              SBR Rookie
              • 01-09-11
              • 41

              #7
              Overall, I was only up .15 units today. By the way, the Syracuse over was 133. Sorry about the typo. Definitely happy with today's performance after the 5 combined points through the first 5 minutes of the Cuse game.

              Recap:
              Cuse -2.5: Win
              Parlay Cuse/Over: Win
              Louisville: Loss
              OK St: Loss
              Duke: Loss
              Mizzou Over: Win ("the fastest 40 mins" has consistently hit overs this season, especially at home)

              More picks tomorrow!
              Comment
              • noscopy
                SBR Rookie
                • 01-09-11
                • 41

                #8
                Late post tonight, but I thought I'd share what I bet on anyways. I took Purdue -3 which I was a little and that didn't cover. Luckily, I took the 2nd half under of 74 after both teams shot lights out for 81 combined points in the first half. I also put down .2 units on the Wizards +170 to get their first road win of the season.

                Purdue -3: L 1.1 unit to win 1
                Purdue 2nd half Under: W 1.1 unit to win 1
                Wizards +170: Pending .2 units win .27

                So far I'm down .1, but we will see John Wall can dougie his way to a victory.
                Comment
                • noscopy
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 01-09-11
                  • 41

                  #9
                  Alright here are my picks of the day. I lost .3 units last night after the Wizards choked as usual despite having the lead down the stretch. But here are tonight's picks. I'm following El_Pateaux's first half trend...

                  Spurs -5.5 1st half 1.1 units to win 1
                  Knicks -4.5 1st half 1.1 units to win 1
                  Bulls Pick Em 1st half 1.1 units to win 1
                  Lakers -7.5 1st half 1.1 units to win 1

                  Parlay: Knicks -450, Celtics -450, Butler -250 .6 to win .66

                  Good luck everyone!
                  Comment
                  • noscopy
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 01-09-11
                    • 41

                    #10
                    Not a whole lot of CBB action tonight. Unfortunately, I didn't check lines until the majority of the college games had started. So here are my picks for today...

                    Seton Hall +13.5 1.1 units to win 1
                    Mavs +160 .4 units to win .62
                    Magic -4.5 1st half 1.1 units to win 2
                    Comment
                    • noscopy
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 01-09-11
                      • 41

                      #11
                      Tough night last night. Who would've thought the Magic would be down 13 at the end of the 1st Q?? I ended up betting on the Packers after I made this post so here were last night's "stats"...

                      Seton Hall: L
                      Mavs: L
                      Magic: L
                      Packers: W (1.1 units to win 1)

                      Overall I lost 1.6 units and for the first time this week I go into the red... .


                      Here are today's picks...

                      Bears Over 43: 1.1 unit to win 1
                      Patriots Over 45: 1.1 unit to win 1
                      West Va -1.5 1st half: 1.1 unit to win 1

                      I'm still thinking about taking the Jets, but I am going to see how my early bets look first.
                      Comment
                      • noscopy
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 01-09-11
                        • 41

                        #12
                        Ok so last night wasn't bad. I didn't end up taking the Jets so I was up .9 units. (Although I still have the Jets 27-1 to win the Super Bowl!! I also have Steelers 11-2 and Pack 11-1!) I'm still deciding what I want to bet on today, but this is the only thing I've placed so far...

                        Villanova +2 1.1 units to win 1

                        I've bet on UConn multiple times this year and I've been pretty succesful doing so, but Villanova has the guard depth to neutralize Kemba Walker as much as possible.

                        GL all!
                        Comment
                        • noscopy
                          SBR Rookie
                          • 01-09-11
                          • 41

                          #13
                          Villanova is in a tight one with UConn so hopefully they can hang on!

                          Just thought I'd update that I just bet on the Mizzou game...

                          Mizzou Over 70.5 1st half 1.1 units to win 1


                          Mizzou typically puts up a lot of points in the 2nd half so stay tuned if I decide to take the halftime line, especially if the first half goes under.
                          Comment
                          • bettorjon
                            Restricted User
                            • 10-08-10
                            • 613

                            #14
                            hey man can mizzou cover the spread?
                            Comment
                            • noscopy
                              SBR Rookie
                              • 01-09-11
                              • 41

                              #15
                              Today has been some close calls. Villanova pushed at +2 despite leading the majority of the 2nd half. Mizzou covered the 1st half over so overall I'm up 1 unit on the day. Here are the rest of today' picks...

                              Syracuse Under 138 1.1 units to win 1
                              Baylor Over 141 1.1 units to win 1
                              Syracuse +6 1.1 units to win 1

                              I know that Kris Joseph is out for Syracuse, but the Orange always have depth at small forward. Southerland and CJ Fair should be fine. Pitt is a great 3 point shooting team, but it will be hard to drive and kick and to get the ball into McGhee to set up open looks.

                              Good luck everyone! Also, sorry bettorjon I didn't see your question in time, but ya I really liked Mizzou today as well, but I always feel more comfortable playing their O/U. Keep reading the thread!
                              Comment
                              • noscopy
                                SBR Rookie
                                • 01-09-11
                                • 41

                                #16
                                Ok so tonight was interesting. I ended up partially hedging the Syracuse line and the under at half so here are my results on the day...

                                Nova +2: Push
                                Mizzou Over 70.5: Win
                                Syracuse Under 138: Loss
                                Syracuse +6: Loss
                                Pitt -2.5 2nd half: (.44 units to win .4) Win
                                Pitt Over 72 2nd half: (.44 units to win .4) Win
                                Baylor Over 141: Win

                                Overall, I won .6 units today. I thought the Syracuse under was a lock, but I decided to hedge at halftime to try and create an upside spread of 8 points while limiting my risk. I came really close to bringing in a lot of money, but oh well I'm glad I partially hedged.
                                Comment
                                • noscopy
                                  SBR Rookie
                                  • 01-09-11
                                  • 41

                                  #17
                                  Ok so I have a lot of picks today that I am happy about...

                                  Tennessee +160 1 unit to win 1.6 units
                                  UNC Over 138 1.1 units to win 1
                                  TCU Under 153.5 1.1 units to win 1
                                  Georgetown -3.5 1.1 units to win 1 (I'm going against my system here, but I feel Georgetown needs a solid win to keep up in the Big East)
                                  DePaul Under 149.5 1.1 units to win 1

                                  Parlay: TCU Under, DePaul Under, Kentucky -180 .6 units to win 2.8 (I really hate betting on Kentucky because they are so young and streaky but if they can't beat Alabama then whatev)

                                  Let me know what you think of the picks and good luck everyone!!
                                  Comment
                                  • El_Pateaux
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 06-13-10
                                    • 131

                                    #18
                                    I like that TCU under, but my book isn't hosting an O/U for the game. Damn! Otherwise, i had the same thought about georgetown; almost took the DePaul points too.
                                    Comment
                                    • Bcatswin
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-21-10
                                      • 13931

                                      #19
                                      G.Town
                                      Depaul
                                      Comment
                                      • noscopy
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 01-09-11
                                        • 41

                                        #20
                                        Last night's results...

                                        Tennessee: Win 1.6
                                        UNC Over: Win 1
                                        TCU Under: Win 1
                                        Georgetown: Win 1
                                        DePaul Under: Lose 1.1
                                        Parlay: Lose .6


                                        Win 2.9 Units. I should've put more on TCU under because, unfortunately, the Frogs always lay bricks on the road. Jimmer can't score 150 by himself.

                                        Tonight's picks to come soon...
                                        Comment
                                        • Chandler
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 01-16-11
                                          • 705

                                          #21
                                          i like the idea of focusing on one conference. good luck
                                          Comment
                                          • noscopy
                                            SBR Rookie
                                            • 01-09-11
                                            • 41

                                            #22
                                            Picks of the day...

                                            Memphis +6 1.1 units to win 1
                                            Xavier -5 1.1 units to win 1
                                            Xavier -2.5 1st half .44 units to win .4
                                            West Va -10.5 1.1 units to win 1
                                            West Va -6 1st half .44 units to win .4
                                            Memphis +210 .4 units to win .85
                                            Ga Tech Under 149 1.1 units to win 1
                                            Tex A&M +4 1st half 1.1 units to win 1
                                            San Diego St Over 124.5 1.1 units to win 1


                                            A lot of CBB picks today. There are a couple of decent Big East picks today, but I can't bet on St. John's or Cinci on the road until they prove a little more. Louisville has been very streaky so I'm going to watch the first halves and take a look at my 2nd half options. I'm also going to check out a little NBA, but I will post anything I take.

                                            Good luck everyone!!
                                            Comment
                                            • noscopy
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 01-09-11
                                              • 41

                                              #23
                                              Recap:

                                              Memphis +6: Win 1
                                              Xavier -5: Win 1
                                              Xavier 1st half: Lose 1.1
                                              West Va -10.5: Lose 1.1
                                              West Va 1st half: Lose 1.1
                                              Memphis +210: Win .85
                                              Ga Tech Under: Win 1
                                              A&M +4 1st half: Lose 1.1
                                              San Diego St Over: Lose 1.1


                                              Overall I lose .65 units on the night
                                              Comment
                                              • noscopy
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 01-09-11
                                                • 41

                                                #24
                                                A little late, but here are my picks for today. I'm still considering on betting on a few other things, but this is what I've placed so far...

                                                Villanova +5.5 1.1 units to win 1 (Win)
                                                Cincinatti +120 1 unit to win 1.2
                                                Memphis +190 .8 units to win 1.5
                                                Comment
                                                • noscopy
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 01-09-11
                                                  • 41

                                                  #25
                                                  I also ended up betting on these...

                                                  Baylor -3 1st half .66 units to win .6 (Win)
                                                  Baylor -6.5 .66 units to win .6


                                                  I am also considering a few haltime lines
                                                  Comment
                                                  • noscopy
                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                    • 01-09-11
                                                    • 41

                                                    #26
                                                    Today was a really successful day. I ended up placing a small flyer on a high-paying parlay, but here are my winnings for the day...

                                                    Villanova +5.5 Win 1 unit
                                                    Cinci +120 Win 1.2 units
                                                    Memphis +190 Win 1.5 units
                                                    Baylor 1st half Win .6 units
                                                    Baylor -6.5 Win .6 units

                                                    Parlay: Minnesota +2 (W), Minnesota Over 128.5 (W), Mich St +240 (L) .2 units to win 2.21

                                                    Obviously, the parlay was a major long shot, but the fact that that Mich St money line was +240 improved the parlay odds from 6-1 to about 11.5-1 so I thought it was worth it, especially after a solid day/week of winnings. I will post some picks tomorrow morning, but good luck everyone!

                                                    Overall I won 4.7 units on the day. Very successful. I really liked Utah @ TCU as well, but decided to pick conservatively today.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • noscopy
                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                      • 01-09-11
                                                      • 41

                                                      #27
                                                      Sorry for not posting picks earlier, but here are today's selections. Two successful days in a row...


                                                      Wisconsin -1.5 1.1 units to win 1 (W)
                                                      Packers -3.5 1.1 units to win 1 (W)
                                                      Parlay: Packers -3.5, under 21.5 1st half .4 units to win 1.04 (W)
                                                      Jets +3 1st half 1.1 units to win 1 (L)
                                                      Jets Pick em 2nd half 1.1 units to win 1 (W)

                                                      Another big night as I finish up 2.94 units.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • noscopy
                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                        • 01-09-11
                                                        • 41

                                                        #28
                                                        I was honestly shocked when I saw the Wisconsin line. They were the only top 25 team in action today, yet they were only favored by 1.5 @ Northwestern. Northwestern has been playng much better this season, but Wisconsin is arguably the best team in the Big Ten is no-brainer as a close to pick-em favorite.

                                                        Also, I was very confident about the Pack today, I'm glad they held on for solid win. I was a little unsure about Jets 1st half but th line was +3 when the game line was only +3.5 so I took a shot. Really happy I made up for the loss w/ a halftime hedge. I thought the Jets might pull that one out...
                                                        Comment
                                                        • noscopy
                                                          SBR Rookie
                                                          • 01-09-11
                                                          • 41

                                                          #29
                                                          It's pretty early, but here are today's picks so far...

                                                          Baylor +5.5 1.1 units to win 1
                                                          Parlay: Baylor +200, Baylor over 136.5 .3 units to win 1.4

                                                          I'm really considering Notre Dame +11, but they had a tough game on Saturday and I'm not sure they have the size inside to match up with McGhee.

                                                          Let me know what you think and good luck everyone!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • khaden
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-19-09
                                                            • 1864

                                                            #30
                                                            I don't think ND will be able to hang with Pitt on the road. Big number but I think Pitt is on a mission and will cover.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • noscopy
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 01-09-11
                                                              • 41

                                                              #31
                                                              I was honestly considering ND money line last night, so I'm upset that I didn't at least take the ND spread. Oh well. Here are my picks for today...

                                                              UConn +160 1 unit to win 1.6

                                                              This is a great matchup. You know the conference is insane when the #5 team in the country is underdogs to an unranked team. Marquette is really scrappy, but Kemba Walker and UConn play really well against smaller teams. This game is definitely going to be close, but the odds made it worth taking in my opinion. The +4 option is good as well, but I think the money line/no juice is worth it.

                                                              Kansas -4 1st half 1.1 unit to win 1
                                                              Kansas -7.5 1.1 unit to win 1

                                                              I don't typically wager full units on the 1st half and game lines, but I am very confident about this game. Kansas, like most great teams, will rebound from a tough loss (especially when it was at home and they had a big lead). Colorado is a decent opponent and has some solid wins this year, but I believe the team has been working their asses off the last couple of days and will control the Buffs from the start.

                                                              I am also considering taking Florida, but SEC basketball sucks. Let me know your thoughts and good luck all!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • noscopy
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 01-09-11
                                                                • 41

                                                                #32
                                                                Last night had potential to be a good one. The only line that I liked but didn't take was Seton Hall so I'm a little upset about that. Also, Kansas had the first half in control before giving up few baskets to make it a push. Overall here is how I did...

                                                                Kansas -4 1st half (Push)
                                                                Kansas -7.5 (L 1.1)
                                                                UConn +160 (W 1.6)

                                                                I finished up .5 units thanks to Klutch Kemba and the Huskies on the road.

                                                                I haven't seen many interesting lines yet today, but I will check them out more later and post anything that I bet on.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • noscopy
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 01-09-11
                                                                  • 41

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Ok so tomorrow is payday for me and coming into today I'm up 6.9 units for the week. I really want to be paid at least 6 units so I am just going to take a few small parlays with high payouts. They both involve the same games, but with different lines/payouts.

                                                                  Parlay: West Va +250, Minnesota -4.5, San Diego St +200 .3 units to win 5.7
                                                                  Parlay: West Va +7, Minnesota -220, San Diego St +5.5 .4 units to win 1.72

                                                                  So obviously all my eggs are in one basket here, and the second parlay is a bit of a hedge for the other one. Whatever happens today, I'm really happy with my plays/winnings this week! Good luck everyone and let me know what you think!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • noscopy
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 01-09-11
                                                                    • 41

                                                                    #34
                                                                    My parlays were pretty close but didn't end up hitting. Jimme Fredette is amazing.

                                                                    Luckily, after a strong Northwestern run to end the 1st half, I put 1.4 units on Minnesota 2nd half which hit easily.

                                                                    So last night I finishd up .7 units.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • noscopy
                                                                      SBR Rookie
                                                                      • 01-09-11
                                                                      • 41

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Today is payday! A solid 7.5 unit payday!

                                                                      Here are today's picks to start a fresh period...

                                                                      Illinois -4.5 1.1 unit to win 1 (This line has moved to -4 on most books. I took it early this morning because I really expected it to move toward 5 so hopefully that doesn't backfire.)
                                                                      UCLA +7.5 .66 unit to win .6
                                                                      DePaul +10 .66 unit to win .6
                                                                      Parlay: UCLA +300, DePaul +450 .2 unit to win 4.2

                                                                      I've been making some pretty outrageous parlays, but I only need to hit about 1 in 20 to break even because most of the parlays have included some underdog money lines.

                                                                      Good luck everyone and let me know your thoughts!
                                                                      Comment
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