Fading top play on vegas insider?

ebbearsfb1 · 01-03-11, 10:53 PM

thinking im gonna track it as of 6:55 eastern time on there

Spartan14745 · 03-01-11, 06:36 AM

I think by using a chase system or a labby this can be very profitable, going to see what you find in the month of March.

VicVega91 · 03-01-11, 06:47 AM

Those kind of things can be profitable

ebbearsfb1 · 03-01-11, 07:04 AM

Yeah ill post the play with labby line as of 655... 1 game a night? Or should I do 655 and 855?

ebbearsfb1 · 03-01-11, 06:27 PM

March 1st, 2011
1) Philadelphia 76ers + 2 vs. Dallas Mavericks Risk 22 to Win 20

10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10

LolsMcwinsey · 03-01-11, 06:33 PM

where on the site is the top play stated?

Foggy · 03-01-11, 06:38 PM

I always check what the top 3-4 are. I'd say the #1 hits at about ~55%. Of the top 4 2 usu hit 2 don't, more or less...

ebbearsfb1 · 03-01-11, 06:39 PM

Originally posted by LolsMcwinsey

where on the site is the top play stated?

vegas insider

it shows top 10,... best i can go off of

Foggy · 03-01-11, 06:40 PM

"

Foggy · 03-01-11, 06:42 PM

Because people bet ML in basball it would be more profitable there.

Spartan14745 · 03-01-11, 06:51 PM

Originally posted by ebbearsfb1

March 1st, 2011
1) Philadelphia 76ers + 2 vs. Dallas Mavericks Risk 22 to Win 20

10-10-10-10
10-10-10-10

If you go to Sportsbook.com and click on the link on the left that says "Top Ten Bets" you see the actual line to play instead of using the Vegas Insider list that just shows "Point Spread". They are the same. So I'll be making a play on 76ers +2.5 instead of just +2.

Spartan14745 · 03-01-11, 09:23 PM

If Philly would've hit their FT's we actually could've won that bet.

HoulihansTX · 03-01-11, 09:51 PM

It only works on Saturday in college hoops, and football.

Its always a ranked team, on the road, laying a small number.

It hit at a profitable clip in College Foots.

ebbearsfb1 · 03-01-11, 10:06 PM

March 1st, 2011
1) Philadelphia 76ers + 2 vs. Dallas Mavericks Risk 22 to Win 20

10-10-10-10-22
10-10-10-10

and i know what your saying about sports book.. but i use bookmaker, and the line at bookmaker was +2

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

It only works on Saturday in college hoops, and football.

Its always a ranked team, on the road, laying a small number.

It hit at a profitable clip in College Foots.

why do you say it only works on saturdays

starfire · 03-01-11, 10:12 PM

1) pick your spots
2) national televised games
3)situation #9

HoulihansTX · 03-02-11, 12:12 AM

Originally posted by ebbearsfb1

March 1st, 2011 1) Philadelphia 76ers + 2 vs. Dallas Mavericks Risk 22 to Win 20 10-10-10-10-22 10-10-10-10 and i know what your saying about sports book.. but i use bookmaker, and the line at bookmaker was +2 why do you say it only works on saturdays

B/c the amount of games, raises the chances of there being a sucker bet.

It only works for me on Saturdays anyway.

Spartan14745 · 03-02-11, 08:59 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

It only works on Saturday in college hoops, and football.

Its always a ranked team, on the road, laying a small number.

It hit at a profitable clip in College Foots.

Thanks for your insight on this Houlihans, sounds like you've been testing this.

Spartan14745 · 03-03-11, 09:34 AM

Do you guys profit last night?? The line that Sportsbook.com had was UNC -2.5 so I jumped on Fla State +2.5 and cashed!

Spartan14745 · 03-04-11, 09:02 AM

Got another winner last night with Seton Hall +3!

Spartan14745 · 03-05-11, 11:00 AM

Winner winner....you get the point! Bulls +2 cashes as well! 3-1 on fading the 7pm list so far this month!

skidaddy28 · 03-05-11, 11:01 AM

nice

Prop Bet Master · 03-05-11, 11:19 AM

I don't think blindly fading the top public play will yield much success long term.

Spartan14745 · 03-05-11, 11:21 AM

Originally posted by Prop Bet Master

I don't think blindly fading the top public play will yield much success long term.

Vegas has made money on the public long-term, why not us??

Spartan14745 · 03-05-11, 11:24 AM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

It only works on Saturday in college hoops, and football.

Its always a ranked team, on the road, laying a small number.

It hit at a profitable clip in College Foots.

Houlihans, your theory sets up today's 12pm play......Kansas on the road laying 3.5 at Missouri.

Soxsfan9 · 03-05-11, 11:24 AM

Originally posted by Prop Bet Master

I don't think blindly fading the top public play will yield much success long term.

Keep telling yourself that.....there is a reason that vegas is still in business!

It was very profitable last year during the conference tournaments & NCAA tournament

As of right now I am on Missouri & WVU, I would bet Duquesne but they are on a huge slide and I think Richmond blows them out!

Spartan14745 · 03-05-11, 11:25 AM

Originally posted by Soxsfan9

Keep telling yourself that.....there is a reason that vegas is still in business!

It was very profitable last year during the conference tournaments & NCAA tournament

As of right now I am on Missouri & WVU, I would bet Duquesne but they are on a huge slide and I think Richmond blows them out!

Prop Bet Master · 03-05-11, 12:29 PM

Originally posted by Soxsfan9

Keep telling yourself that.....there is a reason that vegas is still in business!

It was very profitable last year during the conference tournaments & NCAA tournament

As of right now I am on Missouri & WVU, I would bet Duquesne but they are on a huge slide and I think Richmond blows them out!

Stop living in the past. Blindly fading the public isn't profitable anymore. It has good runs, but it will burn you in the long run. It's only profitable if there's significant reverse line movement. Why would the sportsbooks post information on their website that would help you beat them? Let's see where this thread is in 3 months.

HoulihansTX · 03-05-11, 01:06 PM

Today you were supposed to Fade Kansas, and take Mizzou.

I'm telling you guys, that it only works on Saturdays.

Spartan14745 · 03-06-11, 07:55 AM

I know this is supposed to be a Vegas Insider thread but I'm stressing the fact that you should follow the actual line that reflects on Sportsbook.com. About 10 mins before the game the Kansas line jumped up to 4 so I got a push on the game instead of a loss. EVERY play won't be a winner but I think with a chase or labby system this can be profitable.

AribaAriba · 03-06-11, 08:02 AM

its 50-50, believe me it doesnt worth ur bankroll. Fading someone is a great idea because "tailing and fading is an art it self" ACEquote. Take note that the plays that you see in VI are what sportsbooks.com popular trends therefore it doesnt represent the entire casino sportsbook in vegas.

HoulihansTX · 03-06-11, 10:06 AM

Like I said, it will be a early game, were the fav is on the road, and laying a short #.

Those are the types of games, that Squares love. They see a top team on the road, and only laying 3, 4. They are all over it.

Spartan14745 · 03-07-11, 09:49 AM

Yesterday I saw the Spurs as the top pick so I went with the Lakers and cashed....once again!

IAMWINNER · 03-07-11, 09:55 AM

Originally posted by Spartan14745

I know this is supposed to be a Vegas Insider thread but I'm stressing the fact that you should follow the actual line that reflects on Sportsbook.com. About 10 mins before the game the Kansas line jumped up to 4 so I got a push on the game instead of a loss. EVERY play won't be a winner but I think with a chase or labby system this can be profitable.

Let us know the picks for tonights games.

Spartan14745 · 03-07-11, 06:25 PM

Haven't seen any movement on the top 3 plays all day so as it stands the play will be on Portland Trail Blazers tonight. Sportsbook.com shows Magic -2 but if you can get your spread at +2.5 right before tip-off that's even better.