yea 2nd halfs usually are more high scoring than first.. only worry would be is if byu is up 30 what happens
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shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#319
yeah i stayed away. 80.5 was a little too much for me in a possible blow out
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ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#320
yeah if tcu could get to 65 or 70 it should go over
Comment
ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#321
well that sucks scoring died in the 2nd half... down for the day will update in the am
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No coincidences
SBR Aristocracy
01-18-10
76300
#322
I've found that college basketball totals are the most erratic thing you can bet on.
Just some bizarre stuff happens with them IMHO.
Comment
ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#323
agreed I figured if tcu got to 67 we would of covered. O well.. one thing I noticed that's interesting is in the past 3 weeks I've yet to have a winning tuesday
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jnsbanman
SBR Wise Guy
01-08-11
526
#324
could some one explain how to interpret line movements? eg what does it mean when a line goes higher say from -7 to -8, and what does the opposite mean when it goes from -7 to -6. Thanks guys
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10mDive08
SBR Hustler
12-12-08
79
#325
I believe it's all about evening out the money coming in on each side.
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jnsbanman
SBR Wise Guy
01-08-11
526
#326
Ok so is my interpretation correct... Say if the opening line on team x is -6 and public is heavily betting the +6 the line is likey to move to 5.5 to make the negative line look better?
This would also make it better if we were laying the points to i guess.
Comment
10mDive08
SBR Hustler
12-12-08
79
#327
I'm definitely not an expert on this but here is how I understand it. Say team x is -6 and y is +6. If team y is getting hammered by the public, it is likely for the line to move downward to say +5.5. This may or may not make team x look better. It certainly can if the line moves a lot. Just the other day this happened. I don't remember what team it was or what the exact line was but it started out where x was -1 or something and ended up moving to +1.5 or something. Therefore, you could have put money on both and pushed or won a little. If anyone remembers the details of this game, feel free to explain more. Anyway, the money coming in on a team can greatly effect the line change. That is why you have major players placing money on one side in order to move the line so they can eventually hammer the other side when they get the line they wanted. Vegas tries to get the sharpest lines to even it out.
Does this make sense. Anyone can correct me if I'm wrong bc I am no expert but I believe thats how it all works. I recommend you watching ESPN's 30 for 30 about Jimmy the Greek bc it explains this a bit. Or you can watch last Sunday's 60 minutes about the gambler (there's a post somewhere on this forum about it). Hope this helped.
Bears, sorry to clutter up the thread with this.
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ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#328
95) New Jersey Nets +7 vs. Utah Jazz Risk 48 to Win 40
96) Detroit Pistons +12.5 vs. Boston Celtics Risk 48 to Win 40
97) Oklahoma City Thunder +4 vs. Denver Nuggets Risk 39.37 to Win 33.15
98) New Orleans Hornets -3 vs. Memphis Grizzlies Risk 102 to Win 85
99) New Orleans Hornets -3 vs. Memphis Grizzlies Risk 56.88 to Win 47.4
100) Florida Panthers ML -150 vs. Columbus Blue Jackets Risk 30 to Win 20
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ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#329
101) La Salle +6.5 vs. Duquense Risk 60 to Win 50
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ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#330
102) Hofstra ML 350 to Win 100
103) Ball State Risk 340 to Win 200
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ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#331
lets hope hofsrta and ball state win tonight.... i was messing with some number on bookmaker and hit confirm rather than closing it out.... yikes
liked both plays... to this point... no ... but i still believe they both win comfortable
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tallchickens
SBR High Roller
01-03-11
150
#332
Missed the ball st. play bears.....on hofstra though and like the others! also on Notre Dame ml
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JGetz
SBR Wise Guy
04-19-10
752
#333
Bears! You gotta post your picks before tip-off! How are we supposed to get em in?
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ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#334
Most of the plays were posted early... and talll sorry I didn't get back to u about ur parlay... did u end up playing it? And nd looks good
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tallchickens
SBR High Roller
01-03-11
150
#335
yea played the parlay but switched from the xavier ml to hofstra ml and put a small play on xavier which doesnt look good.
Hopefully New Orleans plays well tonight
I almost went big on Notre Dame ml but just went with small play....wish i went big as of now (knock wood)
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JGetz
SBR Wise Guy
04-19-10
752
#336
Originally posted by ebbearsfb1
Most of the plays were posted early... and talll sorry I didn't get back to u about ur parlay... did u end up playing it? And nd looks good
Yeah I saw that. Tell you the truth, I don't really like betting NBA...don't want to tail blindly. I was talking about your CBB plays. I wouldv'e loved to have gotten on some ML plays.
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tallchickens
SBR High Roller
01-03-11
150
#337
Come on La Salle!
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JGetz
SBR Wise Guy
04-19-10
752
#338
Originally posted by tallchickens
Damn Hofstra in trouble
They're up by 8 with 2:00 left...wish i would've been able to get on them
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ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#339
Never betting the hornets again.. everytime I bet them it seems they have season low scoring out puts... impressive if u ask me lol
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tallchickens
SBR High Roller
01-03-11
150
#340
Hofstra and Ball st looking good bears! (knock wood) wish i would have jumped on ball st.
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ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#341
A&M ml +240 risk 50 to win 120
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ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#342
werid line either a&m wins or loses by dd.. might as well take a chance at +240... will update later as everything will be over by 11 or so
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tallchickens
SBR High Roller
01-03-11
150
#343
Bears ....Magic in a crazy one to complete the parlay!!!
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ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#344
dang florida panthers.. give up a goal with a minute left u bums
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ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#345
105) Under 214 Golden State Warriors/Indiana Pacers Risk 321.24 to Win 267.7
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ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#346
hornets exact reason i take mls on -3 or less... stupid me
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ebbearsfb1
SBR Posting Legend
12-07-08
18815
#347
so ok city leads the whole game then doesn't cover, florida leads then lose, hornets can't cover 3... if this game goes over then im gonna take a few days off and probably withdraw then to 500....
see what happens first
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shaggy3000
Restricted User
12-29-09
5801
#348
i still suggest a withdraw. youve proven you can win HUGE money with a small bankroll. you have a good system that makes it look easy but we all know we cant win them all. and you have some big bets out there this week. youve earned them but still you cant lose whats not in the account. but the sky is the limit to what you can win!
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drfunkmaster
SBR Posting Legend
11-29-08
11162
#349
nice run bro!!!
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jnsbanman
SBR Wise Guy
01-08-11
526
#350
Withdrawl and start again... waiting anxiously for tonite.