Tracking New System (80% in 1st week)

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • joekane88
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-07-10
    • 537

    #1261
    Originally posted by GGZOLA
    Aussie how manys years is this backtested. I'm thinking if its only 1 year not sufficient enough, what are your thoughts?
    Cant argue with record until yesterday but dont know how confident I can be with only 1.5 years and under 80 game sample.

    It is hard to back test it, because no one knows the rankings at that time

    that said, last year it was great, Kine (system originator) said 2 years ago was around .500 and 3 years ago it did well, those are based on backtesting it as best as we can

    The thing that concerns me is it is mainly always the same teams we will be betting on and only be around 40 or so games

    last year it went 18-3 on 1 Saturday, besides that was like .500
    Comment
    • greenshark11
      SBR Sharp
      • 01-17-10
      • 484

      #1262
      Thanks im gonna play those!
      Comment
      • Heandog
        SBR MVP
        • 12-30-09
        • 1634

        #1263
        Originally posted by Aussiecapper101
        hey heandog it says you cant receive pm's cos I tried replying to yours..
        Thanks Aussie Ill try to work on it some more
        Comment
        • TEXAS MICKEY
          SBR MVP
          • 11-14-10
          • 1398

          #1264
          Aussie & HD

          Let's get this Sac St today.

          TM
          Comment
          • Heandog
            SBR MVP
            • 12-30-09
            • 1634

            #1265
            Originally posted by TEXAS MICKEY
            Aussie & HD

            Let's get this Sac St today.

            TM
            yes good luck today By the way do you know what LGO did for the day yesterday
            Comment
            • alydar
              SBR Hustler
              • 12-19-10
              • 56

              #1266
              i know

              lets go out went 20-14 yesterday
              i got him going 51-26 for the week with my local book
              im betting just 55 a game
              and your picks i bet 77
              if there is a game where your both on i play your game for 22
              Comment
              • Heandog
                SBR MVP
                • 12-30-09
                • 1634

                #1267
                Did you see yesterday This Charger guy posting the plays on with the sevice plays
                Comment
                • Heandog
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-30-09
                  • 1634

                  #1268
                  Originally posted by alydar
                  lets go out went 20-14 yesterday
                  i got him going 51-26 for the week with my local book
                  im betting just 55 a game
                  and your picks i bet 77
                  if there is a game where your both on i play your game for 22
                  Thanks We took a bad beat yesterday but we will rebound for sure Good Luck
                  Comment
                  • Heandog
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-30-09
                    • 1634

                    #1269
                    looking good so far
                    Comment
                    • Heandog
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-30-09
                      • 1634

                      #1270
                      ok -Sac ST we broke the ice 1-4 lets hope for a good week coming up
                      Comment
                      • TEXAS MICKEY
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-14-10
                        • 1398

                        #1271
                        Originally posted by Heandog
                        Did you see yesterday This Charger guy posting the plays on with the sevice plays
                        Didn't see that, but saw where they busted some dude over on covers.com posting LGO's plays. They shut him down and deleted everything.
                        Comment
                        • Heandog
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-30-09
                          • 1634

                          #1272
                          Originally posted by TEXAS MICKEY
                          Didn't see that, but saw where they busted some dude over on covers.com posting LGO's plays. They shut him down and deleted everything.
                          Really thats cool busted
                          Comment
                          • TEXAS MICKEY
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-14-10
                            • 1398

                            #1273
                            The guy was taking all the credit, like they were his picks.

                            Dumb Ass was copying & pasting, and he left the LGO signature at the bottom of the page.
                            Comment
                            • Heandog
                              SBR MVP
                              • 12-30-09
                              • 1634

                              #1274
                              Originally posted by TEXAS MICKEY
                              The guy was taking all the credit, like they were his picks.

                              Dumb Ass was copying & pasting, and he left the LGO signature at the bottom of the page.
                              what a dumb ass is right -Thats what this guy was doing looking for pts I guess
                              Comment
                              • Aussiecapper101
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-04-10
                                • 2220

                                #1275
                                Originally posted by GGZOLA
                                Aussie how manys years is this backtested. I'm thinking if its only 1 year not sufficient enough, what are your thoughts?
                                Cant argue with record until yesterday but dont know how confident I can be with only 1.5 years and under 80 game sample.
                                Sorry for the late reply I been back at work finished my holidays.. My thoughts are that this system totally makes sense to me in every aspect and I trust what the kineproffesor has found from it in last few years although Im not sure of accurate records etc. My only problem with it at the moment is that it could of lost its edge - meaning toward the end of the season that vegas weren't adjusting their lines just because the teams are crap vs crap and they will still were giving the crap home team the extra line advantage because their at home etc. The lines we are seeing somedays now are like FIU +9.5, East Illi +9 and these teams a year ago IMO would have been getting +12.5 etc, so I think they could be trimming down the lines a bit and its costing us those close losses.. I still think by playing it through to the end of the season from now on it will still be 51%+ so I'm willing to give it a crack as it was my plan all year, if I lose a bankroll then shit I gave it a good crack and I have been making money off it all through January too.. As for anyone else willing to give it go its up to them, but theres 2 ways it could go, 1 being vegas could fuk us hard and laugh in our face because they played around with the lines or 2 we have a sneaky little agonising win and long term profit and we say we were right and we stuck it out.. Remember if they keep giving us these crappy lines then the sharps will be onto it and beat vegas anyway so maybe they knew the date that it officially started and trimmed those lines to shake people off or something I dunno
                                Comment
                                • Aussiecapper101
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-04-10
                                  • 2220

                                  #1276
                                  Originally posted by Heandog
                                  Did you see yesterday This Charger guy posting the plays on with the sevice plays
                                  Really? the kine system plays? he went 0-4 then
                                  Comment
                                  • Aussiecapper101
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 09-04-10
                                    • 2220

                                    #1277
                                    Originally posted by Heandog
                                    ok -Sac ST we broke the ice 1-4 lets hope for a good week coming up
                                    I would have been mighty depressed if they let us down I'll give you the tip'
                                    Comment
                                    • Aussiecapper101
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 09-04-10
                                      • 2220

                                      #1278
                                      Originally posted by joekane88
                                      It is hard to back test it, because no one knows the rankings at that time

                                      that said, last year it was great, Kine (system originator) said 2 years ago was around .500 and 3 years ago it did well, those are based on backtesting it as best as we can

                                      The thing that concerns me is it is mainly always the same teams we will be betting on and only be around 40 or so games

                                      last year it went 18-3 on 1 Saturday, besides that was like .500
                                      hey interesting stat you have there is that we are betting the same teams all the time sort of a thing.. It wasnt like that last year was it? I dont remember playing a team quite as much all the time last year right?
                                      Comment
                                      • Aussiecapper101
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-04-10
                                        • 2220

                                        #1279
                                        Originally posted by Lets go out
                                        Auss...Good luck in the future.....stick with the system...you know it works.its worked in the past...early losers are never an indication that future success will be down as well....systems have rolling sucess rates and if they work ...profits will be seen...


                                        GL as always
                                        LGO
                                        thanks for the kind words and I definately agree, we have to look at this thing at least after a week and a half or so to judge it completely ultimately after the season is done

                                        Also I been playing a few of your plays of late and keeping my head above water thanks to you, I got back a little of that 0-4 shocker we had, lets just make some fukkn $$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$ BOL
                                        Comment
                                        • Heandog
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-30-09
                                          • 1634

                                          #1280
                                          dose not look like any plays today guys, maybe a couple tommorrow
                                          Comment
                                          • TEXAS MICKEY
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-14-10
                                            • 1398

                                            #1281
                                            Hey Guys,

                                            Late again, fukking traffic in Dallas getting worse than LA.

                                            Looks like I didn't miss a play though. Good Deal............

                                            Will take a peek over at LGO and see what he's got up.

                                            Later
                                            Comment
                                            • TEXAS MICKEY
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-14-10
                                              • 1398

                                              #1282
                                              Beings Kine doesn't have a play tonight, think I will step out and get me some Kansas.
                                              Just thumped their dummies two weeks ago by 24.
                                              K-St something like 2-13 ATS at home against Kansas.
                                              Kansas be the play for me...............
                                              Comment
                                              • Aussiecapper101
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-04-10
                                                • 2220

                                                #1283
                                                Originally posted by TEXAS MICKEY
                                                Beings Kine doesn't have a play tonight, think I will step out and get me some Kansas.
                                                Just thumped their dummies two weeks ago by 24.
                                                K-St something like 2-13 ATS at home against Kansas.
                                                Kansas be the play for me...............
                                                I was on jayhawks aswell but I did get me a piece of lgo's 3-0
                                                Comment
                                                • spongerat
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-01-08
                                                  • 2023

                                                  #1284
                                                  interesting system, good luck
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Heandog
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-30-09
                                                    • 1634

                                                    #1285
                                                    2/15 plays-----Montana St +8,
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Heandog
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 12-30-09
                                                      • 1634

                                                      #1286
                                                      also keep an eye open for lines on these 2 games almost plays Delaware+5-and Tenn Martin+5
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Aussiecapper101
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 09-04-10
                                                        • 2220

                                                        #1287
                                                        Originally posted by Heandog
                                                        2/15 plays-----Montana St +8,
                                                        sounds good buddy
                                                        Comment
                                                        • SEAHAWKHARRY
                                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                          • 11-29-07
                                                          • 26068

                                                          #1288
                                                          Keep up great work...
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 1andOnly
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 02-12-11
                                                            • 31

                                                            #1289
                                                            overall track record? or this season?
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Luv2Play2
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 12-24-10
                                                              • 2461

                                                              #1290
                                                              when would they become plays?

                                                              Originally posted by Heandog
                                                              also keep an eye open for lines on these 2 games almost plays Delaware+5-and Tenn Martin+5
                                                              line going up or down? gl 2nite...
                                                              Comment
                                                              • TEXAS MICKEY
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-14-10
                                                                • 1398

                                                                #1291
                                                                Locked & Loaded Boys...........

                                                                Like the Montana St play, I had to buy a point back up to 8.

                                                                Rolling with LGO's plays as well. The man is on a roll..................
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Heandog
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-30-09
                                                                  • 1634

                                                                  #1292
                                                                  Tenn Martin @6 THE offical Kine system says play @6- gonna be a play for me- small
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • joekane88
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-07-10
                                                                    • 537

                                                                    #1293
                                                                    so strange, all theses system plays line moving against em, books whoever must know, It got out, it spreads fast

                                                                    interesting that the ALMOST system plays are hitting better than the system plays, & lines not moving

                                                                    I will be playing all system & almost for 1 unit, only 2-3 weeks left, i would think even w line moves we can eek out a small profit w em

                                                                    GL
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • sheffield77
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 04-23-10
                                                                      • 336

                                                                      #1294
                                                                      thanks for the pick
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Heandog
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 12-30-09
                                                                        • 1634

                                                                        #1295
                                                                        tenn martin up 27-7 looks good
                                                                        Comment
                                                                        Search
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        SBR Contests
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                        Collapse
                                                                        Working...