Drexel +15 -130? - Sportsbook Review Forum

clarkj2

SBR High Roller

Join Date: 03-02-10

Posts: 106
#1

Drexel +15 -130?

12-14-10, 10:33 AM

Anyone have a model which shows this play to be +EV?
Tags: None
denn333

SBR MVP

Join Date: 09-16-05

Posts: 1191
#2

12-14-10, 12:03 PM

don't know what model.
Comment
zebra58

SBR MVP

Join Date: 09-04-10

Posts: 2283
#3

12-14-10, 12:12 PM

louisville -14 should cover easy
Comment
stikymess

SBR MVP

Join Date: 05-19-10

Posts: 3288
#4

12-14-10, 12:56 PM

I played the over myself.
Comment
ScreaminPain

SBR High Roller

Join Date: 09-17-08

Posts: 246
#5

12-14-10, 01:16 PM

Originally posted by clarkj2

Anyone have a model which shows this play to be +EV?

No help here. I run a model that seems to match Pomeroy's figures fairly closely. I ran this matchup and came up with -14 (same as WA Lines). Drexel may hold their own on the boards, but Louisville shoots better and will win the turnover battle....

FWIW, Sagarin has a lean to Drexel +14.....

It's a pass for me...
Comment
teecee

SBR Hall of Famer

Join Date: 09-18-09

Posts: 6298
#6

12-14-10, 03:25 PM

probably not, since you're wagering more than you stand to win. unless the whole concept of +EV(?) is way over my head.
Comment
clarkj2

SBR High Roller

Join Date: 03-02-10

Posts: 106
#7

12-14-10, 09:16 PM

Thanks guys
Comment
zebra58

SBR MVP

Join Date: 09-04-10

Posts: 2283
#8

12-15-10, 10:24 AM

cards let me down, congrats on drexel
Comment