o and so everyone knows i was talking about taking the C bet in the system. well i pussed out and didnt take it. the play was the Clippers +8... i had the line at +7. not that it matters they won by 6.... doesnt matter how good the system is if you dont have the balls to play it
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took the t-wolves tonight -4 in one of my parlays. not sure how good i feel about it but its ok it will win. and im thinking Miami tonight. dont really care about Lebron. last i checked they still had Wade and Bosh and that foreign guy...Comment -
lots of Minn love on the board today...Comment -
I'm extremely confused...didn't you say you had 2 parlays still open with some slots left? and what is this C bet you mention? Sorry I must be missing something.Originally posted by shaggy3000Comment -
yeah getz. i was getting down on my luck with the picks. and i was putting so much thought into each pick and at that point having to risk so much of my bankroll just to get back in the game i figured i would go the parlay route. the local has parlays that you are allow to start and put plays in as you see fit. its really something great for a person that can wait and not jump the gun on picks. so i took my last $60 in the account and started 5 different parlays. just one pick in each one. i went 4-1 on those picks. so one parlay lost and the other 4 were still open to fill as i saw fit. then i got carried away and put the Oregon over in another parlay and it lost. i had 3 left. got pissed that So Miss wasnt looking good and put the lakers 1q in another open parlay. it lost...
so of the original 5 parlays i started i have two left. #1 with one winner already done and four slots that need to be filled. #2 with two winners two open slots and tonights play on the T-Wolves -4.
the have all been play ATS or O/U nothing moneyline.Comment -
as far as the C bet is concerned that is a chase system from a service called SBR Professor in the Service Forum section of the site. it has to do with the % of winners when the ATS falls on a certain number ( and if the team is home or away ) and nothing to do with the teams that are playing.
its a simple chase where you have to stay with the unit chase to make a steady profit. bet A=1 unit. bet B=2.1 units ( the unit you lost + the vig and still make 1 unit profit ) bet C=4.4 units ( i think thats right. the units you lost on the first 2 bets plus 1 unit of winnings )
the system is based on the ATS number hitting like 65% of the time then if you bet it in a chase system it should win by the 3rd bet at worse. when the system loses its C bet its concidered a losser for the system. so everytime the system loses you lose like 8 units ( roughly ) overall the pick straight up are 53-51-2 ( which basically mean that a lot of the A bets lost. plus everytime a C bet loses its 3 losers overall. ) but the system is 33-2 ( with the chase and only counting a loser when the C bet loses )
so last night the updated system had lost 2 straght picks and was on its C bet. ( the last and final chance to get a win for the system ) and C pick was the Clippers +8 ( i think that was the number ) and as you saw the Clippers won outright giving the system another winner because you made a unit. ( you had to rick 4 unts to make that one unit but the system won )
when you think about it and play every play exactly as how youre spos to for a chase system you would be up roughly 15 units for the season +33 units ( one unit for each system win ) - 18 units ( 8.9 units lost for every C bet lost and there were 2 losers so far ) = +15 units
its purely a system ATS and not against teams. ( which i feel is better because youre using the lines against themselves instead of the teams against each other ) i dont play it bet for bet and i havent really followed the system much this year but i did at the end of last year. but when they have C bets i def look at them and play them ( except last night like a dumbass ) and im playing tonights C bet for the original syatem. ( they now have 2 systems and original and an updated one to get more people to buy the system ) i must add that both system have the same system record. 33-2
hope i didnt confuse you moreComment -
come on T-Wolves keep it up! i dont even want this to be a game. make it a blood bath. get them down 30 at hafl and kill the spiritComment -
Originally posted by shaggy3000
Dude...That's fuckin sick! I've never heard of that before...Love that conceptComment -
its not bad at all. but if you lack disipline its useless. but im not making the same mistake as last night. i just need the T-wolves to get it done tonight. and go from there. im still thinking about the Heat but who knowsComment -
ok T-Wolves just hold on for one more half!!!!!!! Please!
and just so everyone knows i would take them 2h in the pk but there is already enough riding on this gameComment -
come on T-Wolves!!!!!!!!!!! just one more quarter left. whatever you do dont lose it!!!!!!!! Please!Comment -
o my god the lead by 4 or more all game and now with 5:30 left the are down. ****!!!!!!!!!!Comment -
wizards are hungry for their first road win!!
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back to back 3 from the T-wolves says otherwise!!!!!!!!!
come on Twolves just 2:17 left. hold them off just a lilttle longer with great defenseComment -
yes!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! winner!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
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trust me funk i was thinking about that a lot as i placed the bet. really hard to bet against a Professional team that is 0-16 ( i think thats the road record ) at anything. i wouldnt bet against me parking golf carts no matter how many days i had been out or under performing!Originally posted by drfunkmasterwizards are hungry for their first road win!!Comment -
was going to take Miami tonight. im about 63% sure its the right play but i dont feel like pushing my luck tonight. i would still have another parlay thats was halfway finished if i could have sat on my hands last night...Comment -
I'm going for NBA tonight...i feel lucky. I don't normally fuk with NBA. Took 4th quarter o53 in the thunder/magic game...cuz i need action. I go to submit it and the under is juiced to -120...
. So I think for a second, say fuk it and go oppo and take the o53. There's more than 2min left and it already hit!!! I didn't know NBA was this easy lol jk. BTW im on nuggets and the over
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i think the Miami game has a good chance of going over without Lebron playing defense out there. i just have to pace myself and get at least 2 more wins. but hopefully 6 more straight. then watch out ill be back to killing it againComment -
There ya go Shags...get that confidence up son!Originally posted by shaggy3000Comment -
Nuggets looking good...this over 205 is going to be close.Comment -
tough to get overs when only one team is scoring. really need a battle to get the number up. or at least that was my thought in footballComment -
Yeah, i had a good feeling the nuggets would win...miami never played good there but damn...nuggets will put up 120 hopefully. I just need miami to stop playing like garbage. This is mainly why I don't bet NBA...they choose when they want to play or not. It's bullshit. Both teams will clear their bench. This 4th quarter is going to be ugly.Comment -
Whats up peeps, hope your night is going well.Comment -
getz you should be just fine now. another winner for you!Comment -
its getting better. w few more winning nights and ill be safe againOriginally posted by PPComment -
This Portland game is unreal, 2OT, I got Portland in my ML parlay, the last leg.Comment -
LOL if Portland could hit their free throws this game would be over a long time ago, good thing he hit his last 2 to be up by 4 cause LMU hit another 3 to lose by 1, ML WINNER!Comment -
do it buddy. i might have to get on a couple of your ML parlays as soon as i get some funds freed up on the account to get the account back up.
you think you could post your ML parlays and maybe throw a # rank by each team so i cant add to my current parlay and then follow yours for a bit? im in a real need of fundsComment -
dont worry Getz im not lacking confidence i just need a few different angles to try and work out.Originally posted by shaggy3000Comment -
Definitely will do, today for instance I hadOriginally posted by shaggy3000
1.N Colorado -1200 W 57-37
2.Portland -570 W 79-78
3.Santa Clara -280 W 61-52
This week I'm at 2-1 on my ML parlays, IL ****** me when they lost to Penn St. in the last second, if it wasn't for PSU's Battle hitting crazy lucky 3s from way way behind even the NBA 3pt line with the shot clock running out IL should had that game, I'm a little bit more cautious now, I try to keep the the ML pick a home favorite unless the road team is playing a garbage team like Santa Clara played San Diego. Portland should have won easily but LMU went on a 9-2 run the last 2 mins of regulation cause of sloppy play. Then Portland should have even lost being down 2 with 3.8sec left but LMU fouled Portland to shoot 2 FT's to go into the first OT. Definitely got a huge lucky win tonight, but Ill take it.
The last 2 days I'm 2-0 ML parlay winners(a 3teamer and 5teamer) and 3-0 ATS, I'm paying close attention to goalines streak breaker thread and ImaWinners thread, that's how I got the 3-0 ATS winners yesterday with UTEP, Seton Hall, and George Mason.Comment -
whats the pay out on a ML parlay like that? say if it was a $100 bet to make it easy... with a -1200 ml in there it must be negitive right?Comment -
Good luck with your parlay tonightComment -
100 on that parlay would've payed out $72.82.Originally posted by shaggy3000Comment -
BMaddz is correctComment
