Tom Hamilton's CBB Season Thread (2010/2011)

[Tom Hamiltom]

• Kentucky - Oklahoma (2:30 PM)

The difference between these two teams is definitely big but I doubt that in very beginning of season, Kentucky should be rated as -15 favorites. They're surely one of the best sides in the country, being ranked 13th right now but they're not worldbeaters yet and are facing a very steady team.Oklahoma is 3-0 for the season and showed that is ready to be competitive against top teams and I expect them to keep this one relatively close. Kentucky lost three key players from last season, including John Wall, so they should be finding it difficult to cope with solid sides early in the season. odds dropped a bit, Stan James still has it at +15, so as I'm projecting this one as a 6-10 win for the hosts, Oklahoma is the play. Taken earlier, now dropped but still se a value.

• Oklahoma (+15) (1 unit to win 0.90 units)

[Tom Hamiltom]

• Wichita State @ Connecticut (3:00 PM ET)

Sorry for being that late but I was waiting for line movement because public was heavily pounding Wichita State of late. Line dropped just half of a point but -2 is still very valuable. Connecticut is rock solid team and they've started 2-0 this season, however are said to be worse than last year. They're kind of an underestimated side, while especially at home, they should be winning, as well as covering spreads.Wichita State is solid, most probably at home they could have chances for a SU win but not on the road. They match-up not too good against UCONN. They're more experienced but it'll be tough for them to stop SF Kemba Walker. Actually it's neutral ground in Hawaii, so pure quality will previal, while it's on Huskies side.

• Connecticut (-2) (6 units to win 5.58 units)

BTW, first game is also 6 units to win 5.40 units.

[Tom Hamiltom]

Some might say that UCONN win was lucky but I think that I predicted the match-up in exact way - when Walker was on the court, he was unstoppable for the Wichita State and at the end he led Huskies for the win.

YTD: 1-0 +5.58

[Tom Hamiltom]

The second play will be decided in last minutes... Let's hope Oklahoma keeps this close.

[Tom Hamiltom]

YTD: 2-0 +10.98

Great start with sweeping Monday board going 2-0. Still it wasn't easy and I have to say that both picks weren't brilliant ones.

[Tom Hamiltom]

• Yale @ Illinois
  

I'm sure that Illinois laying 25 points against nearly anyone is a good fading spot. They're totally overrated and I don't rate them as a ranked team at all. They're 4-1 but didn't impress at all and I very doubt they're capable of a 15+ blowout in here. Yale may be only 1-2 so far but they're quite solid and should keep the game relatively close (in range of 7-14 points deficit) for entire contest. A close end ain't impossible, while 25+ win isn't an outcome which is likely to happe. +25 at even odds on Yale is a great offer and I'm gladly taking it.

• Yale (+25) (6 units to win 6 units)

[zebo1337]

Since i've had a bad run with the soccer lately, NCAAB and NCAAF is probably where i'll stay + nfl/NBA. I'll follow you on that tip. Do you think it's wise to pick a lower line, +23?

[Tom Hamiltom]

I doubt Yale will be defeated by 20+ in here, though definitely +23 has got less value than +25. Still, it should hit easily. Good luck

[Tom Hamiltom]

• La Salle @ Providence

A gut play totally. Don't wanna even search for deeper information, in my opinion it should be an extremely close contest.

• La Salle (+6) (6 units to win 5.64 units)

[Tom Hamiltom]

• Bucknell @ Princeton

Princeton is very solid at home and they ought to improve their 1-2 record in here, with second straight home win against a mediocre opponent. Bucknell wasn't bad so far, going 2-3 but they're generally struggling away and they've already lost three consecutive games on the road, so it's difficult to believe they're gonna notch a win overnight. -3 spread isn't big (bought half of a point but odd is still solid) and Princeton is gonna win pretty easily.

• Princeton (-3) (6 units to win 5.40 units)

[Tom Hamiltom]

First early game cashes in, Princeton covers against Bucknell, 3-0 for the year for me.

[Tom Hamiltom]

La Salle covers as well and actually they didn't need a +6 spread because they won SU. 4-0 start of CBB year, hope Yale delivers and makes it 5-0

[Tom Hamiltom]

• UL Lafayette @ Houston U

I simply have to pull the trigger in here, UL Lafayette ain't a lot worse team than Houston U, so even on the road they won't lose this one by double digits difference. +9 is a great line and I'm gladly taking it.

• UL Lafayette (+9) (6 units to win 5.40 units)

[Tom Hamiltom]

• Western Michigan @ Wisc Milwaukee

Wisc Milwaukee is A LOT better and more quality team, they're over .500 team with 3-2 and 1-0 at home, so such a miserable side like Western Michigan can't stand any chances in such a missmatch contest. I'm surprised not to see guests being underdogs by at least 12-13 points, conidering their bad 0-2 start and hopeless performance on court. -8.5 is very good, odd is good enough.

• Wisc Milwaukee (-8.5) (6 units to win 5.70 units)

[Tom Hamiltom]

• Rice @ North Texas

Last play of the day. Rice is a very tough and solid team, hardly beatable for average opponents. North Texas was said to be a consistent side but they haven't shown it yet. They got trashed in the sole competitive game this season and looked pathetic on court. Their 2-1 can't be comparable to Rice 3-1, so dunno how come Rice is +8 underdog in here. Not glad it dropped but with buying half of a point I'm taking guests.

• Rice (+8) (6 units to win 5.40 units)

[mightyminnow]

thanks for the plays. GL