68% of bets on Duke -7 but only 59% on Duke ML

[pavyracer]

Do bettors think Duke has a better chance to cover the spread than winning the game?

[iceminers26]

No there is just no value in Duke on the ML at (-350) regardless of what dumb bettors like Sammy say, maybe he will change his mind though after a big favorite (-245) Everton buried him early today in the EPL.

[Rio DiNero]

Every square in the country is on Duke -7

[Chi_archie]

no value on the duke ml in most bettors eyes. this is pretty common on spreads getting near 10

and on the reverse....alot more betters that like Butler will bet both the spread and the ML.... 100 on Butler +7 and 25 on the ml for instance...

but not many bettors are gonna go 100 on duke -7 and 340 to win 100 on the ml.....

[iceminers26]

no value on the duke ml in most bettors eyes. this is pretty common on spreads getting near 10 and on the reverse....alot more betters that like Butler will bet both the spread and the ML.... 100 on Butler +7 and 25 on the ml for instance... but not many bettors are gonna go 100 on duke -7 and 340 to win 100 on the ml.....

I went 80%/20%, good post Archie

[MilfDriller]

30% on Michigan State?

[Chi_archie]

[iceminers26]

you listed 100 + the points and 25 +ml for your Butler example, 75/25, I was just stating I went 80/20 spread to ml on Butler.

If you were referring to Driller's post, who the heck knows what Driller is talking about half the time, gotta love some of his posts

[Tsoprano]

Uhh no

Maybe they just don't want to lay that kind of wood

[DennisT]

Interesting.

[THE PROFIT]

pavy hasn't been gambling long has he?

I've never seen it the other way around in 15 years of doing this. Anytime you have a 7-10 or higher fave there's usually always alot more on the dog ML because off the odds. This is as common as the sun coming up pavy because of the value

[eidolon]

Butler +7.5 it is

[Flight]

Butler +7.5 it is

I've got Butler +7

Something tells me that half point is worth more than 10 cents....

[B1GER1C828]

I love butler +7.5 after thinking bout it today and i put a little on +290.

[Chi_archie]

Duke being one of the most public college teams.... already prob gets a half point to point added onto the line right from the start.... so maybe this game in a fair market is really +6 or +6.5. and I gotta think they are giving Butler some points for pseudo home court advantage....


it basically comes to whether or not Duke will be able to hit at high (40-50+%) from behind the arc again.

[LATINOSERIO]

This is a tough choice here I'm thinking Duke but hopefully line can go back to 6 when it's confirmed players are starting for butler.