Why shouldn't I load up on Duke -3?

[Peregrine Stoop]

dear OP, you shouldn't load up because it is one game
bet kelly appropriate please

[2daBank]

If Kentucky played WVU in a 7 games series , KU would win 4-1 or 4-2 every series

come on jj your better than this

[Peregrine Stoop]

If Kentucky played WVU in a 7 games series , KU would win 4-1 or 4-2 every series

If only there were a spread on the last game and we could construct the expected best of 7 series

Sure, WVU was 'lucky' that Kentucky shit the bed shooting 3s in the sample of one game that we saw. However, would WVU take as long to get their paint game into action with more prep time? Remember, the Mountaineers were awful offensively early, but adjusted better as the game went on. Based on the market going into that game and the bayesian update of that spread for including the game, I expect that the average 7 game series outcome would be a 4-3 victory for Kentucky.

[BettingWizard]

down to 2 at pinny

[gshock1]

down to 2 at pinny

Do you guys think Vegas is luring people to take Duke here?

[Peregrine Stoop]

Vegas always has to lure people to take big public teams that are highly ranked

[Chi_archie]

duke gets thumped

[twoods215]

WVU Moneyline is the play. Duke won't be able to handle their aggressiveness and they will shoot terrible just like Kentucky.

[PAULYPOKER]

WV could have pulled off one of the flukiest wins in history when they beat Kentucky. WV only making 3 pointers in the first half and Kentucky missing about 25 3 pointers in the game. Neither of those things will happen for sometime. Meanwhile, Duke beats Baylor even though Singler doesn't score a field goal for the first time in his college career. I like Duke here to cover but I'd like to hear some other thoughts before playing it.

Why shouldn't I load up on Duke -3?
why ask? you'd think you'd know with this user name alone AnotherLoan

[AnotherLoan]

[Cappinpicks]

Duke was free money again, wow

[Checkerboard]

do you think duke takes it all?

[LT Profits]

Good call. And yes, Duke wins it all now, but it may not be without a fight.

[hoopster42]

you should have, i was wrong