St.Louis vs Virginia Commonwealth (Projection)

[suckerforparlays]

Sighhhhh. I been trying to cap this game for a good 30 minutes now. The line is set at 130 at my book online right now. Well Vegas Insider has this at 130 with 37% of the public on the over. I moved the numbers around as much as I could to try and project possible outcomes for the final score.

Scenario 1. St. 65 VCU 72

Scenario 2. St. 60 VCU 75

Scenario 3. St. 63 VCU 70

Scenario 4. St. 55 VCU 70


I based St.Louis's score off of the following teams that have fast uptempo styles like VCU. Xavier,Dayton, and Rhode Island.

St.Louis played a slow tempo team like Richmond and put up only 36 points. The pace will be dictated in favor VCU Im assuming. Ive seen a lot of VCU games and they have a quick transition offense.

I really dont no if any of those scenarios are right though. For instance the final score could easily end up being 50-60


I am going to play the over in this game though and take my chances. Im gonna say St.Louis puts up atleast 60 points. But they will not get killed by 20 points. 15 points at the max if they get killed im saying.

But I am not taking the +9 nor the -9 in this game


2 Units on the OVER

[EXpertcapper]

I also have been capping this game and I see 73-63 VCU

[suckerforparlays]

well good to see were on the same page atleast. 9 points is to many points to lay in a game like this going either way. You have it as a 10 point game so all the people backing St.Louis would be pissed and all the people Backing VCU would of been sweating the entire game out. lol

[Peregrine Stoop]

kenpom has the total at 127
funny that the public is backing the under on LVInsider, but the sbrodds online bets has the majority big on the over

[THE PROFIT]

SBRodds shows 80% on over
Vegas Insider & Covers show 37% & 38% on the over

[suckerforparlays]

line dropped to 129.5 but moved back up to 130 quickly on Las Vegas Insider with 38% on the Over

[suckerforparlays]

well im off to bed I got work in the morning

[THE PROFIT]

How does sbrodds work? I thought it might be, or at least it should be, the % at your default book. But I switched to 3 different books & still said the same. Can someone from SBR answer this?

[Shortstop]

How does sbrodds work? I thought it might be, or at least it should be, the % at your default book. But I switched to 3 different books & still said the same. Can someone from SBR answer this?

Profit, it's based on 5Dimes volume from what I understand.

[Shortstop]

Like you, I was under the impression that I could change the default book also but this is not the case.

I changed my default book to The Greek, but I've been told that it still shows 5Dimes action regardless.

[THE PROFIT]

So 5 dimes is getting 80% on the over but the average everywhere else is 40% or what? Seems weird

[Shortstop]

So 5 dimes is getting 80% on the over but the average everywhere else is 40% or what? Seems weird

I'm seeing 45% on the Over. You're talking about the St. Louis/VCU game, right?

[THE PROFIT]

I swear it just changed on mine. If you'll look at the history it shows it was 80% on the 27th. Mine just changed. Now that's quick

I swear, I hate to say it, I know its free, but it has become a joke. It's about as accurate as my 86yo grandmas stories.

[Shortstop]

I swear it just changed on mine. If you'll look at the history it shows it was 80% on the 27th. Mine just changed. Now that's quick

I swear, I hate to say it, I know its free, but it has become a joke. It's about as accurate as my 86yo grandmas stories.

Profit, were you looking at the Michigan State game by mistake?

[suckerforparlays]

Profit, were you looking at the Michigan State game by mistake?

roflmao

[suckerforparlays]

well already at 102 points with 8 minutes left in the game. Looking good to go over 129. But I apparently forgot to put my bet in for this game and screwed myself lol. I did all that research on this game just to forget to do the most important thing...... PLACING THE BET

[stealthyburrito]

good one, i've done that a few times myself

[suckerforparlays]

good one, i've done that a few times myself

woweee I went to the gym kinda disapointed I forgot to put my bet in because I think I only needed 19 points with 8 minutes left might of been minutes. But I defintly thought it was gonna go over. Guess not good thing I forgot to put my bet in